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Posted By Topic: SBOTOP: Champions League & Europa League(Previews & Reviews)       - Views: 1977
SBOTOP
02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 7:49 PM (533 days ago)               #1
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Champions League: Red Bull Need A Result Against The Might Of Madrid

Borussia Dortmund vs Manchester City

There has been many a night of Champions League highlights in the Westfalenstadion – known to others as Signal Iduna Park – and it is where the hosts, usually cheered on by almost 80,000 ardent followers, love seeing their boys give the opposition a bloodied nose.

For a club which has spent much of its modern life selling its top players, such scalps are now greeted even more sweetly.

So, it could be quite a welcome which awaits Manchester City as they travel to Germany to face Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday night.

It may also be an opportune time to play the side considered by many as favourites to win this season’s tournament.

Talking Points

Both sides warmed up in their domestic leagues in fine fashion on Saturday afternoon.

Talented England youngster Jude Bellingham scored twice as Borussia Dortmund thrashed Stuttgart to move into the Bundesliga top four.

The midfielder, who has been linked with a move to the English champions, started and finished a slick move as Dortmund made a fast start, then curled in a sumptuous fourth soon after the break.

Dortmund led 3-0 at half-time after further strikes from Niklas Sule and Giovanni Reyna, with Youssoufa Moukoko adding a fifth.

There was also a home win for City in the Premier League, although Brighton put up a bit more resistance before eventually going down 3-1.

That was a match which saw the return to the starting XI of Aymeric Laporte, while fellow centre back John Stones was fit enough to be named on the bench and young midfield gem Phil Foden was also among the substitutes.

That really highlighted the strength at the disposition of manager Pep Guardiola who returns to Germany where he had three years managing Dortmund’s rivals Bayern Munich.

Of course, Dortmund have spent more than a decade selling their best players, mainly to Bayern – who they drew with recently – but potentially the player who will turn out to be the biggest name of all was captured by City in the summer.

There was a certain inevitability when Erling Braut Haaland scored a late winner against his former employers in their Champions League meeting in Manchester last month.

Haaland also netted a brace in the weekend victory over Brighton to take his tally to 17 in 11 league games.

While many eyes will again be on the Norwegian, the development of Bellingham, who scored against City in that Etihad Stadium encounter, is being closely tracked by other leading clubs and media alike – and not just because the World Cup is less than a month away.

With City’s place in the last 16 already secured and Dortmund probably requiring only a point to seal their route to the knockout stages, this may not have quite the intensity of the first meeting.

Nevertheless, it should be as entertaining – the sides’ respective styles of play will dictate that.

History

John Stones will aim to produce Champions League highlights as Manchester City face Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League
Manchester City’s John Stones celebrates after scoring against Borussia Dortmund

Before last month’s meeting, which City edged 2-1 thanks to goals from Stones and Haaland, the two sides had met on four the other occasions – all in this tournament and all in the past decade.

The first meeting in October 2012 saw the sides play out a 1-1 draw in Manchester with City needing a last-minute penalty from Mario Balotelli to cancel out a Marco Reus opener.

The return a few months later saw Julian Scheiber score the only goal as City were eliminated at the group stages. Dortmund went onto reach the final.

By the time they next met, the emerging force of City was a full force and they won both legs of the 2021 quarter-final tie.

A 2-1 home success, sealed by Kevin de Bruyne and a last gasp Foden goal, was repeated in Germany with Foden on target again, along with a Riyad Mahrez penalty.

Betting Tip

City are clear favourites with the SBOTOP Champions League betting odds and can be backed 1X2 @ 1.61 and Asian Handicap -1.00 @ 2.07.

Dortmund, meanwhile, are well adrift of that with 1X2 @ 5.00 and Asian Handicap +0.75 @ 2.17 among the options.

A fourth successive 2-1 City victory will pay out @ 6.80 with Correct Score, while the unlikely outcome of a goalless draw is on offer @ 18.00.

I do not think it will be goalless but I do think it will be tight.

City do not need to win, but will not want to lose. Likewise, Dortmund would love the scalp of the club which snared their prized asset this summer.

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 02-Nov-2022 at 7:52 PM





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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 7:54 PM (533 days ago)            #2
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Champions League: Point of No Return for Barcelona

Barcelona vs Bayern Munich

You could be excused for thinking Champions League: Barcelona vs FC Bayern sounds like a fixture from the later stages of Europe’s premier competition but it could be the Blaugrana’s swansong if they fail to beat the German champions at the Camp Nou on Wednesday night.

Xavi’s team may be out of the competition and into the Europa League by Thursday morning, and possibly even earlier. With four wins from four Julian Nagelsmann’s Bayern have been relentless in Group C and they sit five points clear of Inter Milan. Meanwhile one win in four has left the Blaugrana in serious peril. I Nerazzurri need to beat Viktoria Plzen to guarantee their place in the knockout phase and as they kick off at the San Siro over two hours earlier than Barca, it could be curtains for the Catalans before they step on the pitch.

If that’s the case the Barcelona vs FC Bayern updates won’t really worry the Italians, but it will be a matter of huge pride for the Blaugrana, and particularly their star striker Robert Lewandowski, who left Bayern for the Camp Nou in summer.

Barca come into the game on the back of a thumping 4-0 win over Athletic Bilbao, while Bayern won 2-0 away to TSG Hoffenheim.

Talking Points

Will Xavi continue with a four man midfield?

Following a damaging El Clasico loss just over a week ago Barca have responded by slapping Villarreal 3-0 and then Athletic Bilbao 4-0, but they are still playing catch-up as Real Madrid show little sign of any weakness. The Barca boss started the game against Athletic with four midfielders, Sergio Busquets, Gavi, Pedri and Frenkie de Jong, with Lewandowski alongside Ousmane Dembele in attack. Barca’s midfield dominance eventually paid dividends and Barca romped home with four different goal scorers, Lewandowski, Dembele, Sergi Roberto and Ferran Torres.

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Xavi was delighted, saying: “We thought it was a game of intensity and rhythm. We understood that they were going to pressure us high. We added one more midfielder and today we attacked inside. Ousmane was especially good and the team understood that.”

Lewandowski is the main man though, in addition to scoring 12 league goals, five more than anyone else, the Polish striker has hit five Champions League goals and he would dearly love to add to that tally against his old employers.

FC Bayern have a point to make

Leon Goretzka will try to win for Bayern Munich when they visit Camp Nou against Barcelona in the Champions League
Midfielder Leon Goretzka in action for Bayern Munich against bottom placed Viktoria Plzen in Champions League Group C

Ultimately this game may be just about pride for the Catalans, but that is already the case for Bayern who are safely through. And Nagelsmann’s team is particularly keen to ram home to Lewi that he made a wrong decision in leaving Bavaria.

Following the departure of their star striker Bayern recruited Sadio Mane from Liverpool and he has settled well, scoring two goals in the Champions League, but it is another former Premier League star, Leroy Sane, who is top scoring with four. Attacking midfielder Leon Goretzka is as influential as ever and he has contributed two goals and three assists to Bayern’s near perfect campaign.

The German champions are currently trailing Union Berlin in the Bundesliga and a trip to Hoffenheim was a good test of Bayern’s current form, which they passed with flying colours. Goretzka set up Jamal Musiala’s opener, and his ability to pick out passes has been a key feature to Bayern’ success in recent years. Playing in the centre or out wide he is always one of the first names on the team sheet and Goretzka is well up for this game: “When we play against FC Barcelona at the Camp Nou, be it a friendly game or a Champions League final, it doesn’t matter, “ he says. “It’s going to be a great game that we’re looking forward to and we will also do everything we can to win it.” 

History

In terms of head to head records the Bundesliga champions have won eight of these encounters to Barca’s five and there has been one draw; but the last five games have all gone the way of Die Bayern, the last being a 2-0 win in Munich just six weeks ago as Sane and Musiala struck early in the second half.

Bayern’s recent form is better too, with five wins and a draw from the last six games, and they have won their last three away matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding four. Meanwhile Barca have won three, drawn one and lost two, including a damaging 1-0 defeat to Inter Milan.

Betting Tip

The Barcelona vs FC Bayern betting oddsare backing a home win, for all the good it may do the Catalans, with Barca at SBOTOP odds of 2.32, the draw at 3.30 with Bayern at 2.73. Whatever is at stake both teams have a point to prove, for differing reasons, and I expect a full on attacking game. For an alternative bet Over 3.25 goals is available at 1.96 and a correct score line of 2-2 is at 9.40. If there is a positive result then I think Barca, and Lewi, might just edge it.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.


 

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 02-Nov-2022 at 7:54 PM





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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 7:56 PM (533 days ago)            #3
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Champions League: Just One More Step For Club

Club Brugge vs Porto

Champions League: Brugge vs Porto may not sound like the biggest or most glamorous of European ties, but in Belgium and Portugal it’s a huge clash.

And let’s not forget, in Madrid there will be plenty of nervous watchers too, as Diego Simeone’s Atletico are in serious danger of going out at the group stage, particularly if Porto can get a result on Wednesday. Club Brugges lead Group B on ten points, four ahead of FC Porto and six ahead of Atletico Madrid. The Belgian side has been the surprise package across the competition, dominating a group with heavyweights such as Atleti and Bayer Leverkusen, not to mention a strong Porto side.

Brugges have beaten all three and are the strong favourites to win the group at SBOTOP odds of 1.13, while Porto are second favourites at 6.00; and both teams are in good form as they prepare to meet in the penultimate round. But the hosts come into the game on the back of a 2-2 draw away to Union Gilloise while Porto lost a five match winning run with a 1-0 home defeat to Benfica.

Talking Points

Brugges have been clinical

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The Belgium champions have stormed Group B so far and they are the only side not to let in a single goal in the competition. They have won three matches and played out a goalless draw with Diego Simeone’s Atletico away from home. Head coach Carl Hoefkens has put together a strong and well organised unit with former Liverpool goalkeeper Keeper Simon Mignolet as the last line of defence and ex Fulham centre back Denis Odoi as a key figure in the back four. And this team has a serious attacking threat with former Barcelona striker Ferran Jutgla leading the line with six goals from 12 league games while Danish under 21 international Andreas Skov Olsen has also scored six goals in the league.

Jutgla may not be in the running for the Champions League Golden Boot but he has scored two goals and two assists in the four games so far and, at 23 years of age, he has plenty of time to improve. Jutgla left Barcelona to get game time and Brugges are benefiting.

And now Porto must be ruthless

Currently sitting third in the Portuguese Primera Division, FC Porto lost to Benfica at the weekend but they have been in superb form in recent weeks. They battered Anadia 6-0 in the Portugal Cup and beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 in their last Champions League outing. And Porto have a brilliant record in defence this season, conceding just seven goals in ten games. Following his transfer from Club Braga 6ft 5in David Carmo has stepped in alongside Fabio Cardoso with club captain Pepe another stalwart of the back line. Up front, Iranian striker Mehdi Taremi has two goals and two assists so far. He bagged his brace with two second half penalties in the 3-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen and he is Porto’s best chance of breaking down the hosts.

Mehdi Taremi scored a brace in Porto's last Champions League win
Mehdi Taremi celebrates scoring Porto’s third goal against Bayer Leverkusen

Head coach Sergio Conceicao has brought his side to the brink of success and Porto are now at odds of 1.50 to advance to the knockout phase, with Atletico Madrid at 2.80. But Los Rojiblancos are at home to bottom side Bayer Leverkusen on Wednesday and are odds on at a price of 1.80 to take all three points. The last meeting between Atleti and Bayer resulted in a 2-0 home win for the Germans, but Leverkusen are currently struggling in 15th place in the Bundesliga and Atleti will smell blood.

Porto need a result.

History

Both teams have impressive records in their domestic leagues. Brugges are 18 times Belgian league winners and 11 times cup winners and were runners up in the 1978 European Cup, the forerunner of the Champions League; while FC Porto are 30 times Primera Liga winners and 18 times Portuguese Cup champions.

There is little to work on in terms of head to head Brugges vs Porto results as the two teams have met just three times, Porto winning two and Brugges winning the other, crucially a 4-0 victory in Portugal earlier in the competition.

In terms of recent form the Portuguese side has the edge, with five wins and one draw from the last six games, while Brugges have won three, drawn two and lost one; and Porto have a winning streak of three matches away from home, scoring 11 goals without reply.

Betting Tip

The Brugges vs Porto betting odds reckon the visitors could easily win this game. The hosts are at 3.30 while Porto are favourites at a price of 2.08. This is a finely balanced contest and as Brugges need just a point to progress, I think they will get over the line with a draw; and a 1-1 score line is the most likely outcome at 6.50.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.


 

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 02-Nov-2022 at 7:56 PM





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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:01 PM (533 days ago)            #4
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Champions League: Amsterdam Encounter Provides Reality Check

Ajax vs Liverpool

Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp said Saturday’s Premier League reverse at newly-promoted Nottingham Forest had caused to him feel as ‘low as possible’.

The frustration was etched all over his face, just six days after his side had defeated the champions.

However, assessing the wider picture, how Ajax would love to be in the position Klopp finds himself in.

For this Wednesday’s Champions League meeting in the Johan Cruyff ArenA in Amsterdam sees them welcome a team which is in rude health compared to their own.

Talking Points

Indeed, for the proud Ajax of Amsterdam, this has been a summer just like so many others in recent memory; a club again forced to sell many of its star players.

This year was a case in point as Holland’s finest parted company with, amongst others, Noussair Mazraui and Ryan Gravenberch for Bayern Munich, Sebastien Haller to Borussia Dortmund, Lisandro Martinez and Antony for Manchester United and even their manager.

So, forgive Ajax for having little sympathy with the issues of many of their opponents in the Champions League who are able to regularly cherry-pick their leading talents, often developed through the Dutch club’s fabled academy.

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Yet here we are and Ajax still have a chance, albeit slim, of qualifying for the knockout stages of the tournament with two games remaining.

They will need to beat Liverpool though to keep alive their hopes.

It would be fascinating to see how Ajax would fare if they had managed to keep hold of the likes of Frenkie de Jong, Matthijs de Ligt and Hakim Ziyech in recent years That is not the case, of course and so the class of 2022 take on last season’s defeated finalists very much as underdogs.

They did come within a few minutes of an impressive point at Anfield last month.

Since then, they have shipped 10 goals in two games to Serie A high-fliers Napoli so, first and foremost, will need to tighten up if they are to create Champions League highlights.

The reigning Dutch champions are at least back on track domestically after dropping five points in two matches either side of the international break, having smashed 15 goals past their opponents in their last three games to open up a four-point gap over PSV Eindhoven at the top of the Eredivisie table.

This will be a much bigger test though for new boss Alfred Schreuder who will be without youngsters Ahmetcan Kaplan, Devyne Rensch and Mohamed Ihattaren due to injuries, while midfielder Kenneth Taylor is a doubt with a muscle strain.

Despite bagging a brace in his side’s 4-1 victory away to RKC Waalwijk at the weekend, Brian Bobbey is likely to make way for Mohammed Kudus in attack.

Liverpool's previous Champions League match against ajax ended in a 2-1 victory
Liverpool’s Trent Alexander-Arnold applauds fans after their match against Ajax at Anfield

Liverpool, meanwhile, will travel to Holland without Luis Diaz, Diogo Jota and Joel Matip due to injury, although could welcome back Darwin Nunez, Thiago Alcantara and Ibrahima Konate to their matchday squad.

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Naby Keita have both resumed training after long-term muscle injuries, but neither were included in their Champions League squad which just shows the depth they have.

Ajax have overcome the odds so often in the past but there comes a time when constant rebuilding takes its toll. This will be an acid test of how equipped they are following another summer exodus.

History

Liverpool defeated Ajax 1-0 home and away in the group stages of the competition two seasons ago.

There was the first meetings between the two clubs since the mid 1960s (1966/67) in the second round of the European Cup.

It was one-way traffic then, however, as Ajax, managed by the late great, Rinus Michels, thrashed Liverpool 5-1 in Amsterdam before drawing 2-2 in the second leg on Merseyside.

The scorer of the two Liverpool goals that night was Roger Hunt who had lifted the World Cup wit England just a few months earlier.

Betting Tip

The SBOTOP Champions League betting odds clearly back Liverpool.

The visitors are priced 1X2 @ 1.88 and Asian Handicap -0.75 @ 2.11.

Ajax are available to tip 1X2 @ 3.65 and Asian Handicap +0.50 @ 2.05.

The Draw is on offer @ 3.80, whereas a repeat of Liverpool’s 2-1 victory from last month will pay out @ 7.20 with Correct Score.

One option which has caught my eye was Half Time Full Time Home Draw @ 17.50. I would imagine both teams will go on the attack in this one and should lead to a fair few goals.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.


 

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 02-Nov-2022 at 8:01 PM





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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:03 PM (533 days ago)            #5
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Champions League: Juve Embarrassment but No Surprises in Quest for Last 16

The Champions League group stages are drawing to a close and we are getting closer to knowing who will make the last 16, who will have the ‘consolation’ prize of the Europa League and who will miss out altogether.

Of course, holders Real Madrid and the favourites for this season’s tournament with the SBOTOP Champions League 2022 betting odds, Manchester City, had already qualified with two matches to spare and that would likely have played a part in their penultimate group games.

A Westfalenstadion welcome greeted City in Germany and the result went exactly the way this SBOTOP writer predicted.

Level-pegging suited both sides as it meant City topped Group G and Dortmund made it through as runners-up, consigning Sevilla to third place.

City had a golden chance to win the contest just before the hour mark but Riyad Mahrez’s penalty was saved by Gregor Kobel after the Algerian had been fouled by Emre Can.

Riyad Mahrez failed to score in Manchester City's Champions League match against Borussia Dortmund
Manchester City’s Riyad Mahrez has his shot saved from the penalty spot

In truth, it didn’t matter in a match in which both sides were risk averse knowing they didn’t have to win.

It was a similar story elsewhere in Germany where RB Leipzig put themselves in the box seat to get out of Group F along with Real.

Croatia defender Josko Gvardiol headed the hosts ahead before France forward Christopher Nkunku doubled the lead.

Vinicius Jr, the matchwinner in last season’s final, reduced the deficit but ex-Chelsea forward Timo Werner made sure of a memorable win for the hosts.

Again though, Real – who notched a late second with a penalty from Rodrygo – won’t be too disappointed at going down to a first defeat of the season and their destiny remains in their own hands.

Some of the Champions League 2022 highlights of the night came in Portugal where Benfica edged a seven-goal thriller with Juventus to send the 2017 finalists packing.

The Portuguese side were 4-1 ahead before two quick goals for the Italian visitors from Arkadiusz Milik and Weston McKennie reduced the deficit to 4-3.

The Bianconeri knew anything less than a victory would cast their die after managing just three points in four games.

At one point in the first half they equalised an early goal from Antonio Silva, albeit in chaotic fashion, not aided by the fact goal-line technology was not working due to a fault.

A corner was flicked on by Danilo for Dusan Vlahovic at the back post, his header was parried from point-blank range, but a combination of Vlahovic and Moise Kean managed to bundle the rebound over. It took a very long VAR check for both the goal line and a potential offside, until it was eventually given.

However, Joao Mario soon converted a penalty to put Benfica back in front and they then extended the advantage before the break when Rafa Silva completed a give-and-go with Joao Mario down the right and completed the move totally unmarked with a cheeky back-heel flick from six yards.

It was the first time in Champions League history that Juventus had conceded three goals in the first half of a game.

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Silva completed his brace with a dinked finish to seal the victory and more misery for Juve, whose only bright spark saw teenage substitute Samuel Iling-Junior set up two goals in three minutes, the first volleyed in by Milik, the second fumbled by the goalkeeper until McKennie turned in the rebound.

The ‘Old Lady’ of Turin are out and one suspects the inquest is only beginning with very little sympathy for boss Max Allegri, even with a lengthy injury list.

There were no such issues for Paris St-Germain who have also qualified from Group H after a 7-2 rout of Israeli’s Maccabi Haifa.

The sight of Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe and Neymar lining up must have added to the foreboding before a ball was kicked and, sure enough, the former netted two each with the Brazilian also on the scoresheet for a club which craves success in this competition.

All it means after tonight is that Juve could still face the ignominy of being knocked out of Europe altogether, that Chelsea, who only took one point from their opening two encounters, are home and hosed with Italian champions AC Milan likely to join them, and that Celtic have been dumped out.

A 1-1 home draw with w by Shakhtar Donetsk consigned them to a bottom-placed finish in Group F ahead of their final game against Real in Spain next week and blocked their escape route to the Europa League.

Hot on the heels of Rangers’ humbling in the same competition, this was yet another nail in the coffin for the standard of Scottish football.


 

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 02-Nov-2022 at 8:04 PM





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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:06 PM (533 days ago)            #6
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Champions League: Drama, Desire and Damn Disappointment

After another night of Champions League action, there was always going to be drama, uncertainty and, as predicted at the outset of a ‘group of death’, a big name casualty.

And so it all proved as, for the second season running, the mighty Barcelona failed to progress beyond the group stages of the tournament.

In truth, the point of no return had already been reached for Xavi’s Barca before they entertained Bayern Munich – my tip to win the tournament this season.

What followed though was an emphatic Bayern victory as they delivered another group-stage masterclass to make it five wins out of five and show a gulf in class.

Bayern didn’t have to give it their all as Simone Inzaghi’s Inter Milan had outplayed Viktoria Plzen earlier with a 4-0 home victory to send Barca out before a ball was kicked in the Nou Camp.

The Bavarians still turned on the style though and were ahead inside 10 minutes when Sadio Mane latched onto Serge Gnabry’s brilliant through-ball and chipping an exquisite finish over Marc-Andre ter Stegen.

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting doubled the advantage with a clinical strike through the legs of the goalkeeper.

It had long been over by the time Benjamin Pavard turned in a Joshua Kimmich corner in the closing moments.

The manner in which Barcelona have been despatched from the group raises many questions so soon after the club spent a small fortune to sign several top players, such as ex-Bayern man Robert Lewandowski, Raphinha, Jules Kounde and Marcos Alonso.

Barcelona have ended their Champions League match against Bayern Munich in a 0-3 defeat
Barcelona’s Frenkie de Jong in action against Bayern Munich’s Marcel Sabitzer during their match at Camp Nou

They spent more than 150 million euros and put together a competitive team ready to fight for all titles.

Tonight, they didn’t have a shot on target and haven’t scored in their last four Champions League games. They still have some way to go.

If Bayern (and Inter) – for whom Romelu Lukaku scored within four minutes of coming off the bench in his first appearance since August because of a hamstring injury – enjoyed a night of Champions League highlights, there was a certain predictability about some of the events elsewhere.

Ajax’s home encounter with last season’s beaten finalists Liverpool provided a reality check as the gap between England’s leading sides (which strengthen) and Holland’s leading teams (which regularly sells its prized assets) was clear.

The SBOTOP Champions League betting odds still tip Napoli to top Group A though after Giovanni Simeone’s brace in the opening 16 minutes saw off Rangers.

The son of Atletico Madrid boss Diego, his double portended a chastening contest for the Scottish Premiership side, and the Serie A leaders added a late third through Leo Ostigard.

This was all for a team which was without the likes of Pitor Zielinski, Hirving Lozano, Victor Osimhen and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, all rested, – presumably with tougher tests in mind.

It’s fair to say Giovanni had a better night than his dad who saw his Atletico team eliminated after they could only draw 2-2 at home with Bayer Leverkusen

Twice they fought back but Los Rojiblancos could not net a winner and the 2014 and 2016 finalists and bowed out of Group B following the most dramatic of endings.

It was Bayer who twice went into the lead, first through Moussa Diaby and then Callum Hudson-Odoi, but Atleti pegged them back through Yannick Carrasco and Rodrigo De Paul.

Premier League
LEICESTER CITY
MANCHESTER CITY
1X2 Draw @ 5.60
First Half Under 1.25 @ 2.05
Total Goals 2-3 @ 2.20
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Then, with the full-time whistle already sounded, match official Clement Turpin was told there was an incident he needed to review. He duly went to the screen and awarded the home side a penalty, only for Carrasco’s spot-kick to be saved by the excellent Lukas Hradecky before Saul crashed the rebound against the crossbar.

FC Porto go through with Club Bruges and that was something no-one predicted at the start of the group stages.

If one animated manager was frustrated in Spain, the scene in North London was of a another passionate boss briefly enjoying himself and then becoming angry.

The match between Spurs and spirited Sporting Lisbon was level at 1-1 deep into stoppage time when an Ivan Perisic cross was knocked back down by Emerson Royal for Harry Kane to fire in from close range.

Antonio Conte let out all his pent- up frustration, running and hugging everyone on the touchline. Yet it wasn’t over because, after a lengthy check, VAR ruled it was offside and Conte let rip at the officials, earning him a red card.

It means only two points separates the four sides in Group D with Spurs (eight points) followed by Sporting and Eintracht Frankfurt (seven points) who were 2-1 winners over Marseille (six points).

Next week’s final fixtures in that group should be the ones to watch.


 

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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:09 PM (533 days ago)            #7
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Champions League: Liverpool Need Recovery…and Revenge

Liverpool vs Napoli

Liverpool entertain Napoli in their last group stage match in the 2022/23 Champions League and, on paper, it is a meeting with little pressure on either side. 

Both teams have qualified from Group A; Napoli with five wins from five and Liverpool with four wins and one loss, and they leave Ajax and Rangers in the far distance. So what’s at stake when Liverpool vs Napoli plays out in front of a packed Anfield crowd on Tuesday? 

Well, Gli Azzurri humiliated Liverpool in the return match, the opening tie of the group stage, with a 4-1 hammering at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. So revenge is a dish the Anfield faithful would like to taste. But a more serious matter for Jurgen Klopp is the worrying lack of momentum in his side’s Premier League challenge as their latest defeat, a 2-1 loss at home to Leeds, left Liverpool languishing in ninth place and a whopping 13 points behind leaders Manchester City.

The gap to the top may get even bigger if, as expected, Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest on Sunday. The fact that Liverpool’s loss to strugglers Leeds came on the back of a defeat to rock bottom Forest is a big worry on Merseyside and Klopp needs a quick recovery from his beleaguered stars.

Luciano Spalletti’s Napoli, in stark contrast, are flying high as Serie A league leaders and have a 100 per cent record in the Champions League; they are unbeaten in both competitions and will be very keen to maintain their own impressive momentum.

Talking Points

Liverpool need a reset, not a revolution 

The Reds lost 2-1 to Leeds at Anfield in 2001 but nobody outside Leeds expected them to lose to the Whites again. But, on Saturday lightning stuck twice as Crysencio Summerville scored an 89the minute winner after Mo Salah had cancelled out Rodrygo’s early opener. It was the Reds’ fourth league defeat of the campaign and another frustrating one, as Liverpool dominated possession and the shot count, with ten on target as Leeds keeper Illan Meslier put in a man-of-the-match performance.

A title-challenging team doesn’t suddenly become bang average overnight and, while the loss of Sadio Mane to FC Bayern has had an impact, with players such as Salah, Virgil Van Dijk and the fit-again Andrew Robertson in the side, Klopp has leaders on the pitch who can lead a recovery.

The Champions League 2022 odds reckon the hosts should beat the red-hot Italians and six-goal Salah  is a contender for the Golden Boot. It is surely a matter of time until the Reds start to click; and the fans on the Kop would dearly love their team to make a statement at Anfield on Tuesday.

Osimhen is back and firing for Napoli

Luciano Spalletti’s Napoli have been simply sensational this season, in Italy and in Europe, and a 4-0 win over Sassuolo cemented their place at the top of Serie A, with a six-point gap before the Sunday games. Ten wins and two draws is a fantastic return for a team which began the season wondering how they would cope without the departed talisman Lorenzo Insigne and with star striker Victor Osimhen trying to shake of an injury his year.

Piotr Zielinski gears up to lead Napoli to another dominating form against Liverpool in upcoming Champions League game
Napoli’s Piotr Zielinski celebrates after scoring a goal during Champions League match against Liverpool

Spalletti has put together a confident, well organised and dangerous side in the post-Insigne era and they were at their brilliant best when they swept Sassuolo aside on Saturday, and it was Osimhen who wrote the headlines with a brilliantly taken hat-trick. But this is a team with multiple threats. Giacomo Raspadori and Giovanni Simeone have provided plenty of Champions League 2022 highlights with four goals each while midfield general Piotr Zielinski has three goals and Andre Frank Anguissa has weighed in with three assists.

But the clash to watch out for is Van Dijk vs Osimhen. 

History

The head-to-head Liverpool vs Napoli results see the Azzurri with their noses in front with four victories to Liverpool’s three, and there have been two draws between the two sides.

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Of course, the Azzurri whacked Liverpool 4-1 in September as Zielinski scored twice after Osimhen had hit the post, and Anguissa and Simeone both piled on the agony for the Reds while Luis Diaz scored a consolation. 

In terms of recent form; Napoli are unbeaten in 27 games and have won the last 13 but Liverpool’s eight-match unbeaten run at Anfield came crashing down against Leeds. 

Betting Tip

Liverpool are the clear favourites to win this last game of the group at SBOTOP odds of 1.64 while Napoli are out at 4.55 and the draw is 3.88.

With a huge match away to Spurs next weekend Liverpool may have one eye on the future and Napoli too have a big game away to Atalanta. So, while the Liverpool fans will desperate for some revenge I suspect this game will go with form.

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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:11 PM (533 days ago)            #8
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Champions League: Can Inter Prevent Another Perfect Bayern Group Stage?

Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan

Bayern Munich are closing in more Champions League history. The German giants are one win away from becoming the first club to complete back-to-back perfect Champions League group-stage campaigns, which would be an incredible feat.

Standing in their way are Inter Milan, who are also in fantastic form at the moment. The Nerazzurri have already sealed a place in the last 16 along with Bayern, though, and may opt to rest their stars ahead of their big Derby d’Italia clash with Juventus on the weekend.

Talking Points

Bayern on the brink of history

Bayern Munich are looking unbeatable once again. After a bumpy start to the Bundesliga campaign, they have since reeled off eight wins in their last nine games in all competitions, three of which have come in the Champions League.

Bayern’s form in the Champions League has been simply outstanding, with five wins out of five, 16 goals scored, and a mere two goals conceded. They are now unbeaten in their last 12 Champions League group games and could very well become the first team to go perfect in the group stage in two successive seasons.

Europa League
ARSENAL
ZURICH
TO SEE UPDATED ODDS

After their 3-0 beatdown of Barcelona in their last Champions League match, they then handed out a 6-2 mauling of Mainz in the Bundesliga on the weekend.

As expected, the in-form Eric Choupo-Moting once again got the start at centre-forward for Bayern, and he was excellent again. The Cameroonian has now collected six goals and two assists in his last five games.

Meanwhile, Sadio Mane had one of his best games for Bayern while playing on the left wing as he finished with a goal and two assists. Not to be outdone, teenage sensation Jamal Musiala scored yet another goal and is now up to seven Bundesliga goals and four assists on the season, both of which lead the team.

While Bayern are in flying form at the moment and are on the cusp of making history, there is a decent chance that coach Julian Nagelsmann will make wholesale changes to his side and rest star players with top spot in the group already secured.

But Leroy Sane and Lucas Hernandez, who have both been missing with their respective injuries, are returning to fitness and could get a run out against Inter.

Inter in irresistible form

Inter had an even worse start to their domestic campaign than Bayern, which put some pressure on coach Simone Inzaghi. But the Nerazzurri have successfully navigated through that rough patch and are back to their dominant ways.

Inter beat struggling Sampdoria 3-0 over the weekend to extend their unbeaten run to seven games in all competitions (six wins, one draw). During that stretch, Inter have scored three or more goals in four games.

Romelu Lukaku prepares ahead of Inter Milan's Champions League match against Bayern Munich
Romelu Lukaku during Inter Milan’s match against Viktoria Plzen at San Siro

And there’s even more good news for Inzaghi as Romelu Lukaku continues to get back into shape after missing several weeks with a hamstring injury. Lukaku has come on as a substitute in each of the last two games, but he could be in line to start at the Allianz and try to make some Champions League 2022 highlights.

Like Bayern, Inter have already secured their spot in the knockout round, so they may very well rest some of their key players. And that scenario is even more likely considering they have the Derby d’Italia against fierce rivals Juventus coming up on the weekend. The likes of Lautaro Martinez, Nicolo Barella, and Hakan Calhanoglu could be rested so they are fresh for that massive match.

History

This will be the ninth ever meeting between Bayern Munich and Inter. The two famously met in the 2010 Champions League final, with Jose Mourinho’s Inter winning 2-0.

But Bayern have now edged ahead with 4 wins to 3 after beating Inter 2-0 in their first meeting in Milan thanks to a Leroy Sane goal and a Danilo D’Ambrosio own goal.

However, Inter are unbeaten in three away games at Bayern Munich, with two wins and a draw, which makes them the team that has faced Bayern the most times away from home in European competition without suffering defeat.

Bayern are currently on a 33-game unbeaten run in the Champions League group stage and have won each of their last 12 group games – both tournament records.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP Champions League 2022 betting odds have Bayern installed as 1.42 favourites to win and clinch their second straight perfect group stage. Inter Milan are priced at 6.20, while a Draw is 4.80.

In all honesty, a draw would probably suit both teams, and I think that’s what the result will be. As impressive as finishing the Champions League group stage perfect for a second straight season would be, I doubt Bayern would be all that motivated to go all out for that record. Similarly, Inter will likely have their focus shifted toward Juventus and will be content to just go through the motions without much trouble in Munich.

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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:13 PM (533 days ago)            #9
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Champions League: Top 5 Performers of 2022-23 Group Stage

The 2022-23 Champions League group stage is coming to a close. The tournament has once again seen some terrific performances from established superstars such as Lionel Messi and Erling Haaland.

But this year has also seen some unexpectedly strong showings from surprising players, who have led their respective clubs to much success.

So without further ado, here are SBOTOP’s picks for the top five performers in the 2022-23 Champions League group stage.

Simon Mignolet, Club Brugge

Club Brugge were the biggest surprise of the group stage as they made their way to the knockout round for the first time in the club’s history. Touted as likely last-place finishers, they could potentially finish top of a group that includes Atletico Madrid, Bayer Leverkusen, and FC Porto.

Much of the Belgians’ success has been down to their fine defence – they had not conceded a single goal before getting smashed 4-0 by Porto – and the brilliant form of goalkeeper Simon Mignolet.

The 34-year-old former Liverpool shot-stopper has turned back the clock this season and put up some outstanding performances. His superhuman showing against Atletico Madrid stands out among the rest as he made nine saves to help Brugge claim the point they needed to qualify for the last 16.

Mignolet will now look to make more Champions League 2022 highlights with Club Brugge in the knockout rounds.

UEFA – Champions League
SHAKHTAR DONETSK
RB LEIPZIG
1X2 RB Leipzig @ 1.74
Over 2.50 @ 1.72
Total Goals 2-3 @ 1.95
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Lionel Messi, Paris Saint-Germain

As great as Kylian Mbappe has been in these group stages – six goals (tied with Mohamed Salah for the tournament lead) and two assists – he still isn’t the best Champions League performer on his own team.

That honour goes to the GOAT Lionel Messi, who has turned in a vintage performance in the group stages. The Argentine has scored four goals and provided three assists while playing one game fewer than his PSG teammate.

Messi joined PSG with the main goal of becoming European champion one last time, and in the form he is in at the moment, PSG’s Champions League 2022 odds of winning the title are looking rather enticing.

Leroy Sane, Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich have basically mastered the Champions League group stage at this point. The German giants are unbeaten in group play for five years now and have a chance to seal back-to-back perfect group stages if they beat Inter Milan.

It’s hard to pick a standout performer from what has been a tremendous collective, but Leroy Sane has likely been the best of the bunch.

Leroy Sane is considerably one of the top performers in the current season of the Champions League
Bayern Munich’s Leroy Sane celebrates with Sadio Mane during their Champions League match against Viktoria Plzen

The German international has been in terrific form this season, and especially in the Champions League. He leads the team with four goals and scored against both Inter Milan and Barcelona.

If Jamal Musiala – arguably Bayern’s best player in the Bundesliga – can raise his mediocre play in Europe and match Sane’s, Bayern will definitely be a dangerous side to face in the knockout round.

Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Napoli

Napoli have been the most dominant side in the Champions League group stage this season, with five wins out of five, 20 goals scored and a +16 goal difference.

While the young strikers, Giacomo Raspadori and Victor Osimhen, and breakout star Kvicha Kvaratskhelia, have grabbed the headlines, it’s been Andre-Frank Zamba Anguissa who has been every bit as crucial to the team’s success.

The Cameroonian midfielder is known more for his defensive abilities, but he has been unleashed as a true box-to-box beast this season. He has already contributed a goal and three assists in the Champions League, and more could be coming in the knockout rounds if the Neapolitans are able to make a deep run.

Erling Haaland, Manchester City

Haaland has been an absolute goal machine throughout his career in the Champions League, and this season has been no different.

With five goals in just 248 minutes played for Manchester City – 45 of which he played with a fever and an injured foot against former club Borussia Dortmund – Haaland has now scored an incredible 28 goals in just 23 Champions League games, with a strike rate of a goal every hour.

With Haaland continuing to bang goals in for fun, Manchester City fans are hoping that he could be the missing piece they need to finally claim that elusive European crown.


 

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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:20 PM (533 days ago)            #10
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Europa League: Five Matches to Look Forward to in Penultimate Round

The Europa League group stage is slowly coming to an end, but there is still much to play for heading into the penultimate round of matches.

Although, tournament favourites Arsenal essentially have top spot in Group A all sewn up, but they can officially secure their place in the last 16 when they face PSV again.

Elsewhere, Real Betis are hoping to hold onto their Group C lead as they take on Ludogorets, while there is still everything to play for in the most competitive group of all – Group F – where all four teams are locked on five points.

Read on below as SBOTOP selects the five most intriguing matches in the second-to-last round of the Europa League group stage.

PSV Eindhoven vs Arsenal

Arsenal are in firm control of Group A. They have won all four games thus far and have a five-point lead over closest rivals PSV.

Arsenal utterly dominated PSV in their first meeting at the Emirates last week. The Gunners had an overwhelming 25-4 shot advantage, although they only got their lone goal through Granit Xhaka in the 70th minute.

PSV suffered a shock 4-2 defeat away to FC Groningen over the weekend, but they will be looking to bounce back at the Philips Arena to keep Bodo/Glimt at bay in the battle for second in Group A.

PSV have been incredibly prolific at home this season, with 15 goals scored in their last three games. They also smashed FC Zurich 5-0 in their last Europa League home game.

Lazio vs FC Midtjylland

Can Lazio win without star striker Ciro Immobile in their next Europa League game?
Lazio’s Ciro Immobile comes off the field after sustaining an injury

Lazio may be flying high in Serie A – they have won five of their last six in the league and are up in third place – but they have a fight on their hands in the Europa League.

Lazio are locked in an extremely tight battle in Group F, which sees all five teams in the group tied at five points through four rounds.

The Europa League 2022 odds still have the Italian side as favourites to go through, and they could take a major step toward the last 16 if they can beat Midtjylland at the Stadio Olimpico.

The Danish club caused one of the biggest shocks in the Europa League to date as they thrashed Maurizio Sarri’s side 5-1 in the reverse fixture.

Lazio will still be without captain and star striker Ciro Immobile, but they are still more than capable of producing plenty of Europa League 2022 highlights.

Sturm Graz vs Feyenoord

Speaking of revenge, Sturm Graz will similarly be hoping to get some against Feyenoord in Group F’s other match.

Sturm Graz were smashed 6-0 by Feyenoord in their first meeting this season, although they recovered quite well to take two points in two games against group favourites Lazio.

Feyenoord have been the biggest entertainers of the Europa League thus far. All four of their group games have involved four or more goals, with two seeing six goals fly in.

And with both clubs still very much in contention to claim top spot in the group, they will be going all out for the win in what could be another high-scoring contest.

Ludogorets vs Real Betis

Few gave Ludogorets much hope of getting out of Group C, which included two leading Europa League contenders in Real Betis and Roma. But lo and behold, the Bulgarian champions are second in the group with just two games to go.

Although, Ludogorets face a tough assignment as they host group leaders Real Betis at the Huvepharma Arena this midweek.

Betis are navigating Group C quite well as they remain unbeaten with three wins and a draw and went unbeaten in two games against Roma. But the Spanish side’s overall form has dipped of late, with just one win in their last five games.

This recent Betis wobble could be the opening Ludogorets need to see them claim top spot in the group.

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Union Berlin vs Braga

Is the comeback on for Union Berlin? It could be. After losing each of their first two games, the surprise Bundesliga leaders have reeled off back-to-back wins and are back in contention for knockout round qualification.

But Union’s hopes of making it through hinge on their match against Braga. The Portuguese club are heading in the opposite direction to Union as they’ve gone winless in their last two after winning their first two group games.

With just one point separating Braga and Union, the winner of this match would take one massive step toward making it out of Group D alongside Union St. Gilloise, who might seal top spot if they beat bottom-side Malmo.


 

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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:22 PM (533 days ago)            #11
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Europa League: Ronaldo is a Stretford End Hero Once Again

Cristiano Ronaldo was back on the scoresheet after being handed a disciplinary cut against Chelsea last week, and it was the icing on the cake for Manchester United as they’re one step closer to fully confirm their place in the Europa League knockout stage.

Elsewhere, Arsenal missed their chance to seal the top spot in Group A following an upset loss to PSV, while several teams from the Champions League were relegated here in the second-tier, which should make the competition proceedings much more intriguing.

As the group stage is slowly coming to an end, continue to read on below as SBOTOP brings to you the latest Europa League 2022 updates in case you missed the entertainment from Thursday night football.

Premier League
LEICESTER CITY
MANCHESTER CITY
1X2 Manchester City @ 1.28
Over 3.25 @ 1.89
Total Goals 2-3 @ 2.28
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Manchester United and Real Sociedad set for final showdown

Manchester United and Real Sociedad took care of business last night as they defeated Sheriff Tiraspol and Omonia via 3-0 and 2-0 scorelines.

Diogo Dalot opened the scoring for the Red Devils two minutes before the break, before half-time sub Marcus Rashford and Cristiano Ronaldo wrapped up the game with two more goals in the second half.

Ronaldo’s 701st club goal was his first at Old Trafford this term, and after the game Erik ten Hag said that he expects more from the five-time Ballon d’Or awardee.

Over at Cyprus, Imanol Alguacil rotated his lineup and they didn’t skip a beat as Robert Navarro also scored before the break, while Brais Mendez added one for good measure.

With five group stage wins on the bounce, Real Sociedad lead Group E with 15 points, while Manchester United are right behind them with 12. Next Thursday will be the rematch between these two sides at the Estadio Anoeta in Spain.

The Red Devils have mathematically qualified for the knockout phase of this competition, but they’ll need to win against La Real by two goals to ensure they win the group and avoid a Round 32 clash.

Real Sociedad won the reverse fixture 1-0 courtesy of a phantom penalty decision, so you better believe that Manchester United have next week’s match circled on their calendars.

PSV deliver shock upset to Arsenal

Can PSV qualify for the Europa League knockout stage?
PSV Eindhoven defender Philipp Max with manager Ruud van Nistelrooy

Another (former) Manchester United man has won against Arsenal this season as Ruud van Nistelrooy’s PSV secured a 2-0 home win in order to boost their Europa League 2022 odds of qualifying to the knockout stage.

After a scoreless first half, Joey Veerman and substitute Luuk de Jong netted in just a span of nine minutes, which was enough to subdue the Gunners and leave Mikel Arteta disappointed.

Arteta was frustrated because his team didn’t bring it on the defencive end. Other than the two goals scored by Veerman and de Jong, there were three goals that were ruled out for offside which would’ve made it worse for the Premier League side.

A point from this match would’ve secured the Group A top spot for the Gunners, but now they need to beat Zurich – who they defeated 2-1 last September – in their final group stage match next at the Emirates to guarantee their Round 16 berth. 

If they fail to win and PSV beat Bodo/Glimt next week in Norway, Arsenal are going to be in a precarious position since they’ll have to face two more games in the knockout round playoffs, which also includes teams who were demoted from the Champions League.

Arsenal are still the favourites to come out of Group A, but Arteta no longer has the luxury to rest key players before their upcoming London derby versus Chelsea next Sunday at Stamford Bridge.

Several UCL teams join the UEL fray

Ajax, Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, and Juventus are going to make the Europa League more interesting following their unceremonious exits from the Champions League. The funny thing about these four clubs, though, is that they’ve slighted Manchester United in one way or another this year.

Atletico Madrid were the ones who eliminated Manchester United in the Champions League last season. Ajax manager Alfred Schreuder ridiculed Antony for moving to Old Trafford during the summer. Frenkie de Jong and Paul Pogba both spurned United for Champions League football with Barca and Juve, and look where they are now.

Because of this, Xavi and Max Allegri’s coaching seats are getting warmer in particular, although they have the capability to make some noise here in the second-tier like Ajax and Atletico Madrid.

Four more teams are going to join them soon, but first we’ll have to wait and see the results in the final matchday.


 

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02-Nov 2022 Wednesday 8:31 PM (533 days ago)            #12
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Europa League: Sociedad and Manchester Clash for Group E Supremacy

Real Sociedad vs Manchester United

Two of Europe’s biggest clubs are in the Europa League spotlight on Thursday as Manchester United head to the beautiful city of San Sebastian in Northern Spain to take on Real Sociedad.

Both clubs are safely through to the knockout phase, sitting first and second in Group E with 15 points and 12 respectively. Sociedad have the 100 per cent record and the Red Devils are looking for revenge after losing the return fixture at Old Trafford. La Real come into the game on the back of a 2-0 home defeat to Real Betis while Manchester United fought hard for a 1-0 victory over West Ham United. And last time out in the Europa League Sociedad beat Omonia Nicosia 2-0 while the Red Devils saw off Sheriff Tiraspol 3-0.

This is a clash between two teams with genuine aspirations of winning the trophy, and it’s a chance for either to set down a marker; but United must win by two clear goals to topple the Spaniards.

Talking Points

Sociedad keen to avoid a serious stumble

Back to back defeats in La Liga have seen Real Sociedad drift to fifth place in La Liga and ten points off the lead. A home match against Real Betis gave them a chance to cement their place in the top four, but they fluffed it and Betis took advantage. Having lost to Valladolid the previous week, you could class this as a stutter. But another defeat would make Real’s predicament start to look like a full on stumble in the run up to the World Cup break.

Head coach Imanol Iguacil has led his team to a perfect set of Europa League 2022 results, so clearly La Real are doing plenty right, but he is using his full squad with a seemingly never ending injury list to manage. Mikel Oyarzabal, Umar Sadiq and Aihen Munoz were are all sidelined against Betis but Brais Mendez and Martin Zubimendi returned after missing out in the win over Nicosia.

Real Sociedad won their previous Europa League match against Manchester United
Real Sociedad’s David Silva in action against Manchester United’s Casemiro at Old Trafford

Manchester United fans know plenty about Sociedad’s number ten, David Silva, and the former Manchester City man will be a key player sitting in behind strikers Alexander Sorloth and Takefusa Kubo. And midfield man Robert Navarro is another man to watch; the 20 year old Spain U21 star has scored two goals and made two assists already in this competition.

Hope is returning to Manchester

Erik Ten Hag’s first three months in charge have given the Old Trafford faithful reasons to be cheerful, with a decent start in the Premier League, a return to form of Marcus Rashford and a sign that the boss is the first in a while to have full authority over his player, after slapping down Cristiano Ronaldo when CR7 refused to come on in a game against Spurs.

If I were to offer a United fan (maybe my SBOTOP writing colleague James) three things; a trophy in 2023, a top four place in the Premier League and finishing above Liverpool…I suspect he’d bite my hand off!

But Ten Hag’s men are pretty much on track for all three, thanks to the Merseysiders’ miserable start to the Premier League campaign.

Rashford’s bullet header from a Christian Eriksen cross gave the Red Devils their hard fought 1-0 win over West Ham United in Sunday; and there was credit too for David De Gea who made two brilliant late saves to keep the Hammers at bay and ensure Ten Hag’s team could hang on to all three points. Rashford is looking back to his confident best and is top scoring with three goals in the Europa League.

Eriksen has turned out to be a shrewd signing for United and with two assists in this competition and he is providing real creative quality in the final third. And, of course, Cristiano Ronaldo is back in the fold after he resolved his spat with the boss.

Manchester United fans need to manage their own expectations, but at least Ten Hag is giving them hope.

Serie A
UDINESE
US LECCE
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History

The Red Devils have an illustrious history in European football with three Champions League titles and a Europa League win in 2017. But they have the painful memory of the 2021 final which they lost to Villarreal on penalties. The shootout went all the way to the goalkeepers at 10-10, and when Gero Rulli saved David De Gea’s penalty the Spaniards celebrated.

While Real Sociedad are twice winners of the La Liga title, in 1981 and 1982, they are yet to taste European success, but the Europa League 2022 betting odds give Iguacil’s side a decent chance of at least making the last four of the 2022/23 competition.

These two teams have met five times so far and Manchester United have the edge, with two wins to one and there have been two draws. Real Sociedad claimed their victory in the return match in this competition with an impressive 1-0 win at Old Trafford, as Mendez slotted home the winning penalty.

In terms of recent form, both teams have won four of the last six, but while the Spaniards lost the other two, United drew theirs and are unbeaten in eight matches in all competitions.

Betting Tip

The Red Devils are favourites to win this tie at odds of 2.14, while La Real are priced at 2.72 and the Draw is at 3.16. Both teams have been in good form though Real’s recent blip might spark them to make a strong response. Neither side will hand this tie over and I can see a tight match, maybe ending in a low scoring draw.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.


 

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03-Nov 2022 Thursday 1:06 PM (533 days ago)            #13
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Champions League: An Ace Coach for Champions and Last-Gasp Benfica Bamboozle Parisians

And so, in double quick time, the Champions League group stages are over.

The World Cup in Qatar has seen to that but there has been no less excitement these past two months and, now we know the final 16, many fans and players will be eagerly anticipating next Monday’s draw.

What we witnessed on the final night of group games were few surprises as the big hitters flexed their muscles – whether they needed to or not – yet there was still late drama as the tournament often provides.

None more flexed their muscles than holders Real Madrid.

Memorably crowned champions of Europe for a record 14th time last May, they despatched Scottish champions Celtic with almost arrogant ease.

To show you how impressive the triumph was, the victory means boss Carlo Ancelotti now has 102 Champions League wins to his name, moving level with the great Sir Alex Ferguson for most wins in the history of the competition by a manager.

Real were 2-0 up after 21 minutes as Luka Modric and Rodrygo converted penalties awarded for handball.

Champions League: Real Madrid finished first in Group F
Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti reacts from the sidelines during their match against Celtic

Celtic then missed a penalty of their own before Marco Asensio, Vinicius Junior and Federico Valverde made it a rout for the defending champions, the visitors managing a late consolation.

It means that Real have won all three home group stage matches in a Champions League season for the first time since 2015-16, a campaign in which they went on to win the competition.

Victory meant they secured top spot in Group F with RB Leipzig netting four without reply against Shakhtar Donetsk to end the Ukrainians’ hope of pipping them to second spot.

It was a similar story in Group E where the two clubs expected to progress created more Champions League 2022 highlights to do exactly that.

Chelsea were in trouble when they took just one point from their opening two group matches but four successive victories – culminating in a 2-1 success against Dinamo Zagreb, courtesy of Raheem Sterling and Denis Zakaria – secured top spot from Italian champions AC Milan, themselves 4-0 winners over Red Bull Salzburg.

The only downside for Chelsea was the sight of Ben Chilwell hobbling off at full-time with a suspected hamstring injury and the World Cup not far away.

Manchester City, favourites to win the tournament with the SBOTOP Champions League 2022 betting odds, showed why as they rested a number of key players and still saw off Sevilla 3-1 at home.

They had already won their group with Borussia Dortmund guaranteed second spot.

That left Group H where Juventus were already embarrassed and eliminated.

La Liga
GETAFE
CADIZ
1X2 Getafe @ 2.00
Over 2.00 @ 2.00
Total Goals 2-3 @ 1.96
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

There was one more twist though as Benfica pipped big-spending Paris St Germain to top spot in Group H in the most dramatic of fashions.

Benfica thrashed Maccabi Haifa 6-1 and PSG won in Turin 2-1.

Yet the order at the top was not as predicted.

Amazingly, two late goals – in the 88th and 92nd minutes – meant Benfica topped the group on… away goals after finishing level with the Parisians on points, goal difference, goals scored and wins.

That won’t happen again for a long time, if ever.


 

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04-Nov 2022 Friday 3:56 PM (531 days ago)            #14
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Europa League: Arsenal Finish on Top While United Missed the Mark

The excitement of Thursday night football was in full display once more and the playing field in the knockout phase of the Europa League is almost all set.

The top teams from Group A to H have moved on to the Round of 16, but the second-seeded sides behind them will have to wait on Monday’s draw since they’ll be joined by the relegated sides from the Champions League.

Arsenal and Real Sociedad are some of the clubs who would no longer have to wait until Monday since they’re already through. Meanwhile, Manchester United are among those whose fate is going to be determined next week.

In case you missed the final matchday, don’t fret as SBOTOP is here to bring to you the latest Europa League 2022 updates.

Arsenal secure Round of 16 berth in narrow win

The Gunners needed to win against Zurich to guarantee their top spot in Group A, and they did earn it the way.

With PSV – a team who beat them last time – winning over Bodo/Glimt, Arsenal were under pressure to deliver at the Emirates Stadium, although their confidence never wavered as they’re fresh from a 5-0 rout against Nottingham Forest on Friday to remain on top of the Premier League.

It took Arsenal 17 minutes to get in front, courtesy of Kieran Tierney’s thumping strike from 20 yards. However, tensions grew as the game went on since the visitors were aggressive in searching for the equaliser.

After a dominant first half display from the Gunners where they outshot their visitors 12-4 and spending most of the time on the offencive, Zurich frustrated them throughout the second half to set up a nervy finale.

Adrian Guerrero’s left-foot effort almost pegged the game back to even terms, but was flagged for offside. And if it weren’t for a couple of inches too wide, Zurich would have snatched a point thanks to Bohdan Viunnyk’s rocket attempt at the 80th minute.

Arsenal are winners of 10 in their last 12 matches across all competitions and they’ve now won all eight of their meetings against Swiss clubs in European competition.

Mikel Arteta’s side remains one of the favourites in the Europa League 2022 odds and they’ll learn their Round of 16 opponent in the draw on February 2023 when the knockout playoffs are done and dusted.

Almost but not quite for Manchester United

Manchester United beat Real Sociedad, 0-1, in the Europa League
Manchester United’s Alejandro Garnacho celebrates scoring their first goal in the Europa League against Real Sociedad

Alejandro Garnacho was living the dream in Spain last night as he tallied his first-ever senior goal for Manchester United to give them the 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad.

The strike was made even more memorable for him since it was his idol and Streford End hero Cristiano Ronaldo who put him in the ideal position to score through a sumptuous through ball.

Despite with the win, however, Manchester United fell short of achieving their main objective of topping Group E and progress directly to the Round of 16 since they needed to win by a two-goal margin.

But while they didn’t get the desired result, there was plenty to cheer about for the Red Devils as other than Garnacho’s maiden goal, David de Gea remained solid at the back since he prevented certain chances from Real Sociedad that would’ve turned the match into a draw.

Manchester United’s path to winning the Europa League just got even harder as they’ll have to go through the knockout playoffs first before the Round of 16. But with the way that they’re playing right now, they’re certainly ready for the challenge.

Premier League
LEEDS UNITED
AFC BOURNEMOUTH
1X2 Draw @ 3.85
Over 2.75 @ 2.02
Total Goals 0-1 @ 3.80
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Feyenoord and Midtjylland make it out of crazy Group F

Group E saw all four teams finish level with eight points apiece, but it was Feyenoord and Midtjylland who are in the top two after last night.

Feyenoord defeated Lazio 1-0 in Rotterdam as Santiago Gimenez came off the bench and delivered the marginal goal at the 64th minute and forward Luka Romero was dismissed late to cap off the frustrating defeat for Lazio.

Midtjylland also beat Sturm Graz at home despite having fewer shots. Top scorer Anders Dreyer was the difference maker for the Danish side as his brace was pivotal to secure the 2-0 victory.

Feyenoord and Midtjylland both have a healthy goal difference of four, but the Eredivisie side is the one who was given the top spot since they netted one more than the Danish side. Furthermore, rounding out the top finishers from the other groups are PSV, Fenerbahce, Rennes, Real Betis, AS Roma, Union Saint-Gilloise, Union Berlin, SC Freiburg, Nantes, Ferencvaros, and AS Monaco.


 

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09-Nov 2022 Wednesday 1:14 PM (526 days ago)            #15
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Champions League: Real Madrid and Liverpool Meet Again in Round of 16

For the third season in a row, Real Madrid and Liverpool will meet in the Champions League knockout rounds.

Real have had gotten the better of the Reds in their recent meetings, including in last year’s final. And with Liverpool lacking in form this season, Los Blancos may just break Liverpudlian hearts once again.

Meanwhile, there’s another Champions League final rematch in the round of 16 as Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern Munich – who contested the 2020 final, which Bayern won – meet once again.

Read on below as SBOTOP breaks down the Champions League round of 16 draw, complete with key matchups, top storylines, and other interesting tidbits.

AC Milan vs Tottenham Hotspur

Antonio Conte will lead his Tottenham side against Italian champions AC Milan.

Conte will be well familiar with Milan from his days coaching Juventus and Milan’s main city rivals, Inter. Recent Serie A imports Dejan Kulusevski, Rodrigo Bentancur, and Ivan Perisic will also know what to expect.

On the other side, Olivier Giroud has much experience taking on Tottenham. He has faced Spurs 18 times during his career and will be keen to outshine Spurs talisman Harry Kane.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich

The Champions League 2022 odds have both PSG and Bayern Munich among the favourites to win the title, but one top contender is sure to crash out early.

Will Kingsley Coman help Bayern beat his former team in the Champions League last-16?
Bayern Munich’s Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting and Kingsley Coman celebrate after winning against Inter Milan in the Champions League group stage

This will be the third time in four years that Bayern and PSG will meet in the knockout rounds. Bayern famously beat PSG in the 2020 final thanks to a goal from former PSG youngster Kingsley Coman, although the Parisians got their revenge the following season by beating Bayern in the quarter-finals.

PSG’s much-improved defence has been among the best in Europe this season, but it will be put to the ultimate test against Bayern, who have scored 41 goals in just 13 Bundesliga games and 18 goals in six Champions League group games.

Club Brugge vs Benfica

Benfica’s big 6-1 win over Maccabi Haifa – which saw them top Group H over PSG – paid off in a big way as they drew arguably the weakest team left in the competition, Club Brugge.

Benfica are still unbeaten this season and could emerge as this season’s dark horses. But they must not overlook the Belgian giants Brugge, who have finally made it to the Champions League knockout round for the first time on the back of some outstanding performances from veteran keeper Simon Mignolet.

Borussia Dortmund vs Chelsea

Christian Pulisic and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang are set to meet their old club as Chelsea drew Borussia Dortmund.

Neither Pulisic nor Aubameyang is in particularly good form at the moment, though, as the Blues’ new manager bounce under Graham Potter has begun to wane.

As for Dortmund, they will be led by their budding English superstar Jude Bellingham, who has been fantastic in the Champions League this season with four goals in five games.

Bundesliga
BORUSSIA MONCHENGLADBACH
BORUSSIA DORTMUND
1X2 Draw @ 3.35
Borussia Dortmund Asian Handicap -0.25 @ 1.95
Over 3.25 @ 1.90
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Liverpool vs Real Madrid

Liverpool and Real Madrid are about to go at it again. The two European giants will meet for the third year running and the fourth time in six seasons in the knockout rounds.

But the Reds have yet to get one over on Los Blancos, who have gone undefeated in each of their last six matches, including a couple of Champions League finals.

Liverpool no longer look like the force they once were and are languishing in midtable in the Premier League, but the Reds have still been able to raise their game in the Champions League. Mohamed Salah is the tournament’s co-leading scorer with seven goals and will be looking to outduel Real’s rising star, Vinicius Jr.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli

Napoli were one of the biggest surprises of the Champions League group stage as they topped Group A despite suffering a 2-0 defeat to Liverpool in their last game.

Luciano Spalletti’s side – led by the brilliant Kvitcha Kvaratskhelia – were the highest scorers in the group stage with 20 goals, and they will be looking to secure safe passage to the quarter-finals as they face reigning Europa League champions Eintracht Frankfurt.

The Eagles were tied with Club Brugge as the lowest-scoring side to progress to the round of 16 with just seven goals. But they do have a capable goalscorer in Daichi Kamada, who has already scored 12 goals this season.

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City

Man City and RB Leipzig meet again after they squared off in the group stage last season. City smashed Leipzig 6-3 in Manchester, but the Red Bulls got their revenge with a 2-1 win in the reverse fixture.

Erling Haaland had a fantastic record against the Red Bulls during his time in the Bundesliga. The big Norwegian scored six goals in just four games against Leipzig and will be out to deliver more Champions League 2022 highlights over the two legs.

Inter Milan vs Porto

Former team-mates collide as Simone Inzaghi leads his Inter side against Sergio Conceicao’s Porto. The two were part of Lazio’s Scudetto-winning side in 1999-2000. Conceicao went on to leave that summer and also wound up playing a couple of seasons for Inter.

Inter qualified despite top striker Lautaro Martinez scoring just once in six Champions League appearances. He and Romelu Lukaku will need to be on their best to overcome Porto’s prolific strike partnership of Mehdi Taremi and Evanilson, who have already scored 19 goals in all competitions, including six in the Champions League.


 

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10-Nov 2022 Thursday 1:10 PM (525 days ago)            #16
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Europa League: No More Pleasantries Needed Between United and Barca

Barcelona vs. Manchester United is the pick of the Europa League draw since it pits two sides who share a history together.

The Catalan giants have had the Red Devils’ number in Europe, and this also marks the first time in two years that Cristiano Ronaldo meets his old La Liga nemeses.

Elsewhere, Sevilla – the competition’s winningest team with six titles – are back and they’re slated to go up against an up-and-coming side. The same can be said for Ajax and AS Monaco.

Read on below as SBOTOP examines the compelling matchups to give football fans a preview of what to expect in the Round of 32.

RB Salzburg vs AS Roma

Jose Mourinho is keen to add the Europa League trophy to AS Roma’s cabinet after winning the Conference League last season, but it’ll be easier said than done with RB Salzburg currently in their way.

The Red Bulls, after all, are the defending Austrian Bundesliga and Cup champions and they offer plenty of European experience after making it to the Round of 16 in the Champions League last term before falling to Bayern Munich.

Benjamin Sesko – one of the most coveted youngsters today – is the one to watch out for from RB Salzburg, but he’ll be up against AS Roma’s Nicolo Zaniolo and Paulo Dybala.

Barcelona vs Manchester United

Will Xavi recover from their UCL exit and regain their status in Europa League?
Xavi wasted a good opportunity in the UCL: Will he be able to make up for it in the Europa League Play off?

Failing to secure the second goal versus Real Sociedad proved to be costly for Manchester United as they’ll now take on Barcelona.

This matchup means that one of the two managers, Erik ten Hag and Xavi, will be out of European contention so early, so there’s a huge sense of urgency for both squads.

Another backdrop of this fixture is Frenkie de Jong since he spurned Manchester United to stay at Barcelona to play in the Champions League, but fate has a funny way of putting things into place.

Ajax vs Union Berlin

Ajax have suddenly emerged as one of the favorites in this competition, but Union Berlin will look to defy the Europa League 2022 odds once again.

This is going to be a battle of two different styles as Ajax love to have possession of the ball, while Union Berlin are happy to play on the counter.

Both teams have some young attackers that can easily put up Europa League 2022 highlights, namely Brian Brobbey, Steven Bergwijn, Sheraldo Becker, and Theoson Siebatcheu.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rennes

This is going to be an attacking affair since both sides aren’t exactly known for their defences.

Shakhtar Donetsk bowed out of the Champions League after a winless group stage, while Rennes fell short behind Fenerbahce in Group B that’s why they’re here.

Strikers Junior Moraes and Martin Terrier are tasked to lead their respective teams up front. Whoever wins this particular matchup is likely to move on to the Round of 16.

Sevilla vs PSV

Jorge Sampaoli is looking to revive Sevilla’s season and winning the Europa League is their ideal scenario. However, they are struggling right now since they haven’t won in their last three matches.

In contrast, PSV are on the rise. They’ve beaten Arsenal in the group stage and Ruud Van Nistelrooy has an exciting project in his hands.

PSV are hoping that Cody Gakpo stays after January since it’s their best shot of beating Sevilla and making it far in this competition.

UEFA – Europa League
BARCELONA
MANCHESTER UNITED
1X2 Barcelona @ 1.81
Barcelona Asian Handicap -0.50 @ 1.82
Over 2.75 @ 2.00
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Sporting CP vs Midtjylland

Sporting and Midtjylland square off for the first time since 2001/02 at this exact stage. Back then, it was the Portuguese team who won via an aggregate tally of 6-2.

The key matchup for this fixture is the one between strikers Pedro Goncalves and Anders Dreyer. The two of them have combined for 14 goals so far this season.

Juventus vs Nantes

Nantes head into this matchup with nothing to lose and they can give Juventus some problems.

Given I Bianconeri’s inconsistencies at the back, Ignatius Ganago and Mostafa Mohamed can score a goal or two for the Ligue 1 side, although they might be overpowered by the likes of Dusan Vlahovic, Arek Milik, and Filip Kostic.

Max Allegri’s side has yet to convince anyone that they can contend for trophies this season, so they’re keen on stamping their authority here.

Bayer Leverkusen vs AS Monaco

This matchup against Monaco is Xabi Alonso’s first real test. And compared to his coaching counterpart Philippe Clement, the Spaniard is quite inexperienced.

Die Werkself are hopeful that their top hitman Patrik Schick is 100-per cent fit come January and they’ll need him for them to outgun the likes of Monaco’s Wissam Ben Yedder and Breel Embolo.


 

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08-Feb 2023 Wednesday 4:41 PM (435 days ago)            #17
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Champions League: Bother for Bayern Before a Paris Match

Europe’s flagship competition is back on the agenda folks, because next week, the Champions League Round of 16 will hit our screens with the first eight clubs set to do battle.

While favourites Manchester City and Serie A runaway leaders Napoli are scheduled for the 21st and 22nd of February, the pick of the first week’s fixtures sees the blockbuster clash between Paris Saint-Germain and FC Bayern.

Of all the Champions League 2023 results over the next couple of weeks, this clash between the champions of France and Germany is the most highly anticipated.

At SBOTOP odds of 7.00 and 7.50, PSG and Die Bayern are second and third favourites for the title and the winner of this clash will rapidly drop in price. The first leg outcome might throw up a favourite, but at odds of 2.44 and 2.50 to win, it’s hard to split Paris and Munich.

It’s a rather different story in their domestic leagues though, as PSG have moved eight points clear at the top of Ligue 1 while Bayern are in a real fight, just one point clear of Union Berlin at the top of the Bundesliga and with Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig breathing down their necks.

UEFA – Champions League
PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN
BAYERN MUNICH
1X2 Bayern Munich 2.56
Bayern Munich Asia Handicap 0.00 @ 1.99
Over 3.00 @ 1.71
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

And the club has had off-field problems to deal with, which head coach Julian Nagelsmann really doesn’t need at the moment.

Club legend and national team goalkeeper Manuel Neuer has been busy doing interviews in the German press which have been less than complimentary of the club. His gripe surrounds the sacking of goalkeeper coach Toni Tapalovic and that hasn’t gone down well with the Munich hierarchy, particularly after their star returned from a midseason skiing trip with a broken leg.

Bayern moved immediately to bring the excellent Yann Sommer in as a replacement, but Neuer is a big character who epitomizes the success the club has enjoyed over the past decade.

The fact that he has broken ranks will not help the mood at Bayern, but officials say they will not follow the example of Manchester United, who parted company with Cristiano Ronaldo after he did his media revelations in the UK press.

This latest headache for Bayern came a week after their forward Serge Gnabry was photographed at the Paris Fashion Week during a day off training. The club’s sporting director, Hasan Salihamidzic, called Gnabry’s behavior amateurish and it’s difficult to disagree with him.

It’s hardly the way the German champions expect their players to carry themselves and the once unbreakable unit is showing signs of weakness off the pitch.

These problems won’t necessarily translate themselves onto the pitch, of course, but they won’t help and Die Bayern will think themselves fortunate that Kylian Mbappe is doubtful for their clash with PSG; but a certain Lionel Messi will be looking forward to making Bayern’s problems worse.

Conflicting form of London’s Big Two

Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea are both in action next week in fascinating duels with AC Milan and Borussia Dortmund. Spurs will meet I Rossoneri; on the crest of a wave having just beaten Manchester City as Harry Kane became the club’s top scorer of all time, notching his 267th goal in the shock 1-0 victory.

In contrast, Milan have just lost their third league match on the bounce to drop to sixth in the Serie A table and 18 points behind leaders Napoli. To make matters worse, the latest defeat was in the Milan derby, and in their previous two matches they were spanked 5-2 by Sassuolo and 4-0 by Lazio.

Harry Kane is determined to aid Tottenham win their Champions League game vs Dortmund
Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane celebrates scoring their first goal against Manchester City in Premier League

Kane will be licking his lips.

While Tottenham are well in the hunt for a top four place, Graham Potter’s Chelsea are ninth in the Premier League with just one win from their last six league games and they could only pick up a point from their West London derby against Fulham last Friday.

Owner Todd Boehly has spent upwards of £400-M on players since his arrival last summer and, while this is a transitional period for the club, such expensive talent really can’t take too long to blossom.

And next week they will meet a BVB side banging in form. Borussia’s 5-1 win over top four rivals SC Freiburg made it six wins on the bounce, scoring a whopping 22 goals along the way.

The latest Champions League 2023 betting odds back neither Club Brugges nor Benfica to make it to the last four, but one of them will be a single step away after this two-leg battle, which starts in Belgium on Wednesday 15th February.

Benfica come into the game in better form but Brugges have been brilliant in this competition so far, seeing off Bayer Leverkusen and Atletico Madrid at the group stage.

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:05 PM (423 days ago)            #18
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Champions League: Conte Returns to Milan

AC Milan vs Tottenham Hotspur

The Italian stallion Antonio Conte is going back home on Tuesday for a Champions League clash with some old Serie A ‘friends’ as Tottenham take on AC Milan at the San Siro Stadium.

The last time Conte prowled the touchline in this stadium he was leading Inter Milan to the 2021 Scudetto and he is highly unlikely to get a warm welcome from the Rossoneri fans! Stefano Pioli’s Milan ended a run of four consecutive defeats with a 1-0 victory over Torino, so the stadium will be packed to the rafters with fans baying for another win.

Meanwhile, Spurs were thumped 4-1 by Leicester City on Saturday, a result which left them outside the Premier League top four and Conte will expect a reaction. Tottenham are SBOTOP’seighth favourites to win the tournament at odds of 18.00 with AC Milan 11th at 55.00 and that makes this the tightest tie of the Round of 16… and I’m expecting an Italian classic.

Talking Points

Giroud lifts Milan

Olivier Giroud and co. are expected to put on a good show in their upcoming Champions League game against Spurs
AC Milan’s Olivier Giroud in action during their Serie A match against Sassuolo

Former Arsenal striker Olivier Giroud has been Milan’s most productive player with four goals so far in the competition and he has also made two assists; and he scored the goal to earn Milan a much-needed win over Torino. His trademark glancing header from a Theo Hernandez’ cross ended a seven match winless run and, while Milan were never fully in control of the game, they could have doubled their lead when Rafael Leao teed up Hernandez but he dragged his shot wide.

Leao is having another strong campaign, as he did last year when he became one of the hottest properties in European football, and he’s sure to provide some Champions League 2023 highlightson Tuesday night. He’s scored eight goals and made five assists in his 21 games in the league and he’s ready to give the Spurs defence a torrid time.

Milan’s hopes of retaining the Scudetto have all but disappeared. They are in fifth place, 15 points behind leaders Napoli but on the same points as Atalanta in third. They have important business to complete in the domestic game, but I Rossoneri love a European game and they will be right up for this one.

Which Spurs will turn up in Milan?

After beating Manchester City last week, a 4-1 spanking at the hands of Leicester City was not exactly what Spurs fans expected. And after the game assistant boss Cristian Stellini apologised for his players’ limp performance against the Foxes. Leicester were impressive though, recovering from a Rodrigo Bentancur opener to fight back with two goals in three minutes. First Nampalys Mendy scored a screamer to level the scores and when James Maddison turned the game around with the second Spurs simply had no answer. Kelechi Iheanacho and Harvey Barnes piled on the misery for Spurs who’s problems continued to mount up in the physio room.

Captain and goalkeeper Hugo Lloris is out for up to eight weeks and Bentancur picked up a niggle during the mauling in Leicester and is doubtful. And Conte has problems in the left wing back position as Ryan Sessegnon has also been sidelined with an injury. That means Ivan Perisic is the only fit player in the squad who can fill that position. He has made three assists in the competition but his role will be more defensive in Milan. 

Of course, Harry Kane is the man I Rossoneri will be wary of. He has recently become Spurs highest scorer of all time and can win any game with his lethal finishing.

Spurs don’t need to dominate…they just need one moment.

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History

Of course, Milan are Champions League royalty having won seven titles, the last in 2007, while Spurs came close in 2019 but failed to show up in the final against Liverpool.

But here’s a worrying stat for the home fans: Milan have met Spurs four times without yet scoring a goal, losing three games and drawing one.

And in terms of recent form neither team is pulling up trees. With three wins and three defeats from the last six games Tottenham are struggling for consistency but Milan have been in the doldrums, losing four of the last six and finally winning on Saturday.

Betting Tip

Our Champions League 2023 betting oddsmake this a wide open leg with Milan the slight favourites at a price of 2.52. Tottenham are slightly longer at 2.61 and the draw is at 3.11.

This is going to be a tight game. Milan want to build on their hard earned win over Torino while Spurs need to prove they are not the pushovers who met Leicester on Saturday and a 1-1 draw, at odds of 5.11, is the most likely outcome.

Conte would bite your hand off that right now!

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:06 PM (423 days ago)            #19
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Champions League: Big Guns Clash in City of Love

Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich

A repeat of the 2020 Champions League Final when a Frenchman won the day and broke Parisien hearts.

Now, on Valentine’s night, more hearts could well be broken in the city of love.

For that 2020 showpiece remains the closest the French champions have come to what many consider their holy grail and, as they prepare to face my tip for this season’s tournament, in my opinion they are actually further away from glory than they have been for some time.

How come you may ask.

After all, this is the club which has been able to buy a place at the top table of European football ever since it was taken over by Qatari investors QSI in 2011 and has made its presence firmly felt.

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Yet even with the likes of Angel di Maria, Thiago Silva, Marquinhos, Neymar, Kylian Mbappe and now Lionel Messi in their ranks, Paris St Germain has fallen short over the past decade when it comes to Europe.

Talking Points

Now let’s be fair. The team has suffered a stroke of misfortune to be without its best player for this last-16 tie and it was a massive blow when it emerged Mbappe had been ruled out with a thigh injury.

The irony will not be lost on Bayern Munich who were without their main man, Robert Lewandowski, when the two clashed at the quarter-final stage two seasons ago and the tie went the way of PSG.

Form wise, though, they are not in a good place either.

Indeed, after they went down to their second defeat in four days on Saturday night, defender Presnel Kimpembe apologised to the team’s fans through a megaphone.

The 3-1 reverse at Monaco in Ligue 1 followed a midweek loss at Marseille which saw them eliminated from the French Cup.

Not only is top scorer Mbappe out of the first leg at the Parc des Princes, but PSG coach Christophe Galtier is unsure if Messi will recover in time from the hamstring problem that ruled him out of the trip to Monaco.

All in all, it means the club from the French capital have lost three of their seven league matches in 2023 which is why only a minority of their supporters will be confident of Champions League highlights.

Thomas Muller will try to score goals for Bayern Munich against Paris Saint Germain in the Champions League
Thomas Muller of Bayern Munich during their match against Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga

By contrast, Bayern seem to be coming into a run of form.

Their 3-0 home win against Bochum on Saturday maintained their one point lead at the top of the Bundesliga and, after three successive draws, was their third victory in a row – including an impressive outing at Wolfsburg last weekend.

That extended their unbeaten run to 19 matches in all competitions.

When you consider the Bavarians have reached the Champions League quarter-finals in 10 of the last 11 seasons, winning the competition for the sixth time in 2020, and that Julian Nagelsmann’s class of 2022/23 are the second-highest scorers (18) after Napoli (20) – and boast the joint-best defence (just two conceded) in this season’s competition – it’s easy to see why PSG have it all to do.

History

Aside from the 2020 Final in Lisbon, won by a Kingsley Coman goal, there have been some thrillers.

The following season, PSG edged out a Lewandowski-less Bayern on away goals after the two-legged quarter-final had ended 3-3 on aggregate – Mbappe with two of the PSG goals.

They also had three home victories apiece when they met in the group stages in 1997, 2000 and 2017.

Their very first meeting in this competition came in 1994, also at the group stage, when George Weah and Daniel Bravo scored in a 2-0 win in Paris before Weah scored the only goal of the return in Munich.

Overall, PSG have six wins to Bayern’s five with no draws.

Betting Tip

As betting odds go, these two teams could barely be closer – odds which are backed up by the closeness of their encounters.

For a PSG victory, the best options are 1X2 @ 2.50 and Asian Handicap -0.25 @ 2.23.

For a Bayern success, it’s worth considering 1X2 @ 2.56 and Asian Handicap 0.00 @ 1.99.

Then there’s the chance of a re-run of their last meeting two seasons ago when Bayern won 1-0 in Paris but went out of the competition on away goals.

That is available with Correct Score @ 13.50.

A 1-0 home triumph will also pay out @ 13.50 – again illustrating the closeness between these two.

Goal options to feature include over 3.25 @ 1.91 – which suggests there will be a fair few goals – Total Goal 0-1 @ 5.80, 2-3 @ 2.16 and 4-6 @ 2.35.

Ultimately, after 11 meetings, I think it’s about time these two had a draw.

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:08 PM (422 days ago)            #20
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Champions League: Can Potter’s Chelsea stand up to the Yellow Wall?

Borussia Dortmund vs Chelsea

The Champions League is back folks; and it returns with a bang, with a Wednesday night looming that Chelsea fans are unlikely to forget in a while when they visit Bundesliga high-flyers Borussia Dortmund.

The Yellow Wall will be at its magnificent best, 25,000 fans producing an atmosphere like no other, and Graham Potter’s Blues can expect a torrent of pressure on the pitch too from Borussia’s exciting young team. While Chelsea have been stuck in mid-table in the Premier League, currently ninth, Edin Terzic has guided BVB to third place in the Bundesliga table and just three points behind leaders Bayern Munich.

The latest Champions League 2023 betting odds price Chelsea’s star studded side at 1.55 to navigate this tie with Dortmund at 2.44, an offer which will be good enough to interest many of the German side’s fans after watching their boys rip up the Bundesliga in recent weeks.

Talking Points

Borussia on the rampage 

Five successive wins in the league, scoring 15 goals along the way has rocketed Die Schwarzgelben up from mid table to a title challenging position. After beating Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 and spanking top four hopefuls Freiburg 5-1, they kept the run going away to Werder Bremen on Saturday. Jamie Brynoe-Gittens opened the scoring with a screamer into the top left corner before Julian Brandt added a last second, latching onto a through ball from Raphael Guerreiro and slotting coolly home.

Bynoe-Gittens is the latest player to come off the Dortmund academy conveyor belt and, at 18 years of age, he’s a superb prospect for both BVB and England. And we might see more of Borussia’s young guns on Wednesday, led by England’s Jude Bellingham who already has four goals in the competition and is still, remarkably, only 19. Then there is 21 year old Karim Adeyemi, the fastest player in the Bundesliga registering a blistering 36.65 kph, and he scored against Freiburg alongside Gio Reyna, 19 years of age and back to his best after a lengthy injury.

Borussia Dortmund will be confident of taking on Chelsea in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie
Borussia Dortmund’s Sebastien Haller reacts during their DFB Cup match against VfL Bochum

And the return of striker Sebastian Haller has been a huge boost for both the player and the club after he returned from cancer treatment to lead the line.

There is a lot for Dortmund fans to be excited about… 

James return is so good for Chelsea

And there is plenty for Chelsea fans to look forward to, but they may have to be patient, although they did see a glimpse of what is to come as new recruits, Joao Felix and Enzo Fernandez were both superb in the first half of Chelsea’s match with West Ham.  

The Blues started strongly against the Hammers and when the two new boys combined Potter’s side took a deserved early lead. Fernandez floated over a delightful ball which Felix met and fired home for his first goal in the Premier League, the perfect way to return from suspension. Emerson equalised for West Ham but Chelsea should have won all three points when a shot from Conor Gallagher was blocked by Tomas Soucek’s hand in the penalty area and, predictably, the VAR officials didn’t see a ‘clear and obvious error’! 

Potter wasn’t impressed and it was a harsh way to lose two points but, as well as his new players shining, there was a big performance from the returned Reece James. Chelsea have had a terrible time with injuries and the England wingback is the player they have missed the most.

This could be a turning point for the Blues. 

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History

Both teams were previously European champions, Dortmund in 1997 and Chelsea in 2012, and then again in 2021 when a Kai Havertz goal was enough to beat Manchester City.

This is the first time these two teams have met but, in terms of recent form the hosts have the edge. Chelsea are unbeaten in four (drawing the last three), but have not won away on their last eight away trips, while BVB are unbeaten in ten at home.

Betting Tip

With some exciting young players on both sides we can expect to see plenty of Champions League 2023 highlights in this fixture and there will be a tough edge to the match too, with both sides determined to stay in the competition.

Chelsea are at SBOTOP odds of 17.00 to win the tournament and Die Schwarz Gelben at 55.00, neither are front runners but they could both be a decent dark horse for a final place with the Blues priced at 7.00 and BVB at 21.00.

Neither Borussia nor Chelsea would be a quarter final pushover whoever they face, but in this Round of 16 clash first leg, I’m predicting a particularly hard test for the Premier League side.

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:10 PM (422 days ago)            #21
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Champions League: Coman Returns to Haunt Paris

FC Bayern took a grip on their Round of 16 Champions League clash away to Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday, as Kingsley Coman scored the only goal of the game to give his former employers a European headache.

The ex PSG star volleyed home the winner early in the second half to stun the Parc des Prince crowd and the hosts’ Qatari owners, who are desperate to win the Champions League. But they will have to overturn this deficit when they visit Munich on 8th March or it will be curtains again.

They hosts were at full strength with Lionel Messi declared fit to start and Kylian Mbappe on the bench, and they also blooded midfielder Warren Zaire-Emery who, at 16 years and 343 days, became the youngest ever player to start a Champions League knockout fixture. 

Coman scored on 53 minutes and Christophe Galtier brought Mbappe on four minutes later and the World Cup top scorer thought he’d levelled, late in the game, when he smashed a cross from Nuno Mendes into the roof of the net. But as the home crowd celebrated wildly VAR was hard at worked and found that Mendes was a whisker offside in the build up. Hard as they tried PSG couldn’t beat Yann Sommer in the Bayern goal and that meant it was three losses on the run for the French champions, having recently fallen to Monaco in the league and Olympique Marseilles in the Coupe de France. TheChampions League 2023 betting odds have drifted away from Paris and now they need to cause an upset in March.

Coman also scored the winner when Bayern beat PSG to win the 2020 Champions League three years ago and the Parisiens will find it hard to get him out of their minds. 

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Under 2.25 @ 2.21
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Adeyemi too fast for Chelsea 

The Dortmund Yellow Wall is one of the most daunting sights a visiting player can witness, but Graham Potter’s Chelsea kept the Borussia fans quiet, for a half at least. At the break the hosts were winning the shot count by 11 to five but neither team had a single effort on target. Joao Felix came close twice for Chelsea while Sebastian Haller was the nearest BVB player to break the deadlock, but his shot went into the side netting.

But a breakaway goal slotted home by Karim Adeyemi, the fastest player in the Bundesliga, made it 1-0 on the hour. He outpaced Enzo Fernandez before gliding past Kepa and slotting the ball into the net.

Chelsea really had a go and ended up winning the shot count by 20 to 14, and centre back Kalidou Koulibaly almost levelled but his effort was brilliantly cleared off the line by Emre Can; and that meant Adeyemi’s goal was enough to give BVB the advantage.

Tottenham fans are not happy

Brahim Diaz's goal was the fastest for Milan in a Champions League knockout game
AC Milan’s Brahim Diaz celebrates scoring their first goal with Theo Hernandez and Rafael Leao

In the other Tuesday game AC Milan beat Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 thanks to an early goal from Brahim Diaz. Here at SBOTOP we previewed the game, predicting a low scoring affair and so it was as, in a cagey affair, neither side deserved to add to the scoring after Diaz poked the ball home from close range with just seven minutes on the clock. It could have been worse for Spurs though as Charles De Ketelaere and Malick Thiaw both missed headed chances when they should have scored. And, though the North London side is still well in the tie, a section of their fans are becoming increasingly frustrated by the style of play under Antonio Conte, particularly having been thumped 4-1 by Leicester City last weekend. The boss said: I know the San Siro and I know the difficulty to play with this atmosphere,” which is all well and good, but Tottenham fans want to see their side scoring goals and winning games. They currently sit outside the top four in the Premier League and supporters groups have been hoping for a change at the top, but owners say the club is not for sale unless an astronomical offer comes in.

Advantage Benfica

In the fourth of this week’sChampions League 2023 results Benfica took a two goal lead away from their first leg tie against Club Brugges in Belgium. After a goalless first half the visitors broke the deadlock on 50 minutes. Jack Hendry felled Goncalo Ramos in the penalty area and Joao Mario slammed the spot kick into the top right corner. Benfica made it 0-2 when David Neres slotted home in the dying minutes and Benfica have one foot in the quarter finals.

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:12 PM (422 days ago)            #22
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Champions League: Can Frankfurt Fend Off Kvaradona’s Napoli?

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli

With the Scudetto seemingly all sewn up, runaway Serie A leaders Napoli now set their sights on the Champions League as they face reigning Europa League champions Eintracht Frankfurt in the first leg of their Round of 16 tie.

The Neapolitans have been close to unstoppable all season long, and with their dynamic duo of Victor Osimhen and Khvica Kvaratskhelia in fantastic form, they look like the best team in all of Europe at the moment.

But the Eagles of Frankfurt are in fine form themselves, particularly at home, and will be keen to defy the Champions League 2023 odds against red-hot Napoli.

Talking Points

Frankfurt in fabulous form, especially at home

Eintracht Frankfurt will head into this round of 16 tie in fine form. They are coming off a 2-0 home win over Werder Bremen over the weekend, their third win in their last four games.

Their 2-0 defeat to Koln the other week was their first loss in their last 11 games in all competitions (7 wins, 3 draws).

Frankfurt’s home form has been simply fantastic of late. They have won each of their last five games in all competitions at Deutsche Bank Park, with 16 goals scored and just 4 conceded.

Although, their Champions League home record during the group stage was mixed. After a stunning 3-0 loss to Sporting, they rallied to draw with Tottenham and defeat Marseille.

Napoli the best team in Italy – and Europe?

The Serie A title race seems to be all over as Napoli continue to run away at the top. They preserved their 15-point lead over Inter with another routine 2-0 win over Sassuolo at the weekend. It was the Azzurri’s seventh straight win in Serie A as they remain the hottest team in all of Europe at the moment.

Luciano Spalletti aims to continue Napoli's impressive display when they battle in the Champions League stage
Napoli manager Luciano Spalletti gives instructions from the sideline during Serie A match against Sassuolo

Luciano Spelletti’s side have suffered just three defeats all season long: the first was a 2-0 loss to Liverpool at Anfield in a dead rubber Champions League group stage finale. The second was their 1-0 loss away to Inter upon returning from the World Cup break. And the third was a penalty shootout loss to Cremonese in the Coppa Italia.

The plaudits continue to rain down on Napoli’s dynamic attacking duo of Victor Osimhen and breakout youngster Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (more on them in a bit), but their defence also deserves much credit. Napoli have conceded just 15 goals in 23 games – the best defensive record in Serie A – with just 3 goals conceded in 8 games in 2023.

Osimhen and Kvaratskhelia vs Kolo Muani

This round of 16 tie will showcase not one, not two, but three of the brightest young attacking talents in all of Europe who will be keen to deliver some Champions League 2023 highlights.

Napoli possess two of them in the incredible Osimhen and Kvaratskhelia, who have both been outstanding since the break. Osimhen has scored in five straight Serie A games to take his tally up to 18 goals on the season. Not to be outdone, Kvaratskhelia has scored in 4 out of the last 5 games, with 4 assists.

But Eintracht Frankfurt have a rising star of their own in Randal Kolo Muani, who has also been absolutely phenomenal since returning from the World Cup with France. The 24-year-old forward has scored 7 goals in his last six games to give him 10 goals on the season.

He also leads the Bundesliga with 10 assists, the only player in the top 5 European leagues besides the great Lionel Messi and Neymar to have double-digit goals and assists this season.

Frankfurt also have a couple of other capable attackers in Daichi Kamada and Jesper Lindstrom (7 Bundesliga goals each), but Kolo Muani will be the key to unlocking Napoli’s outstanding defence.

History

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This will be the third time Eintracht Frankfurt and Napoli will meet in European competition. Their last encounter came back in the last 16 of the 1994-95 UEFA Cup. Eintracht Frankfurt came out on top as they won both legs 1-0.

Frankfurt have a fine record against Italian opposition, with 6 wins, 3 draws and just 2 defeats in their last 11 matches.

Meanwhile, Napoli have a spotty away record against German opponents, with just 2 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 12 away assignments. Although, they have beaten each of their last two German foes, Wolfsburg in 2015 (4-1) and RB Leipzig in 2018 (2-0).

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Napoli installed as slight 2.19 favourites to escape with an away win in the first leg in Frankfurt. Eintracht are priced at 2.84, while a draw is 3.45.

Given how well they are playing, it’s hard to bet against Napoli. Osimhen and Kvaratskhelia have been simply outstanding of late, and as impressive as Frankfurt’s home form has been, the Eagles will struggle to keep those two quiet.

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:14 PM (422 days ago)            #23
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Champions League: Porto Prepare to Pull Off Another Italian Job

Inter Milan vs Porto

FC Porto are back in the Champions League round of 16. Under the guidance of coach Sergio Conceicao, the Dragons have made it to the quarter-finals twice in the last six years, both times by beating Italian opposition.

And Porto are preparing to pull off yet another Italian job this year as they take on Simone Inzaghi’s Inter Milan side at the San Siro.

Inzaghi and Conceicao were team-mates at Lazio during the late-90s, and Conceicao also played for Inter in the early 2000s.

But there will be no love lost between the two as Inzaghi looks to lead Inter to the Champions League quarter-finals for the first time in over a decade.

Talking Points

Inter in fine form in 2023

Inter Milan’s hopes of catching Napoli for the Scudetto are all but over as they remain 15 points back with 15 games to play. So the Nerazzurri will now set their sights on winning the Champions League for the fourth time in their history.

Inter emerged from a tough group that included Bayern Munich and Barcelona to reach the round of 16 for the second straight season. Despite losing both games against Bayern, they got four points from Barca to finish runners-up.

And they will head into their round of 16 first leg against Porto off a 3-1 win at home against Udinese. Romelu Lukaku scored from the penalty spot, his first goal for Inter since late October. Although, he still didn’t look quite at his best as that penalty was his only shot of the game.

Inter Milan will depend on Lautaro Martinez’ scoring form to win their Champions League last-16 tie against Porto
Inter Milan’s Lautaro Martinez celebrates scoring their third goal against Udinese in Serie A

Meanwhile, Lautaro Martinez came on for Lukaku and scored the clinching goal one minute from time. The Argentine has been in excellent form since returning from the World Cup; he has scored 8 goals in 11 matches in 2023.

Inter have quite a stellar record since returning from the World Cup break. They have won 8 of their 11 games in 2023, with two draws and just one loss.

Simone Inzaghi has a settled side at the moment, with Joaquin Correa their only injury absentee. Goalkeeper Andre Onana, defender Milan Skriniar, and midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu were all rested against Udinese, but they are all expected to return to the starting lineup in midweek.

In-form Porto have injury problems

As good as Inter’s recent form has been, Porto’s has been even better. The Portuguese champions have won 10 games in a row in all competitions and have gone unbeaten in their last 22 matches (19 wins, 3 draws).

Coach Sergio Conceicao continues to do an outstanding job as he’s led the team to the Champions League knockout rounds for the fourth time in his six seasons in charge; they have advanced to the quarter-finals on two occasions, in 2019 and 2021.

However, Conceicao will have work to do as an injury crisis has hit his club at the wrong time. Key players such as forward Evanilson and key playmaker Otavio are injury doubts. Winger Wanderson Galeno and midfielder Mateus Uribe are certainly out for the first leg, but defender Wendell will be available after making his return on the weekend.

Luckily, main man Mehdi Taremi is fit and ready to make more Champions League 2023 highlights against Inter. The 30-year-old Iranian striker is having another excellent season with 11 goals and 5 assists in the league, and 5 goals and 2 assists in the Champions League.

With the likes of Evanilson, Otavio and Galeno potentially out, Taremi Porto may opt to play a more conservative style in the away leg in Milan.

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History

Inter and Porto have met on four previous occasions, all of which came in the year 2005. They faced off in the 2004-05 Champions League round of 16, with Inter emerging victorious 4-2 on aggregate.

They then crossed paths once again in the 2005-06 group stage. The home side won both fixtures; Porto prevailed 2-0 at the Estadio do Dragao, while Inter won 2-1 in Milan.

Inter have not had a convincing home record in the Champions League in recent years, though. They have won just 5 of their last 15 games at the San Siro, with 5 draws and 5 losses.

As for Porto, they have had a terrific recent record against Italian clubs. They knocked out Roma in 2018-19 and Juventus in 2020-21, both after extra-time, in the round of 16. Porto also cross paths with eventual Serie A champions AC Milan in the group stage last season and went undefeated in two games; they won 1-0 at home and drew 1-1 at the San Siro.

Betting Tip 

The SBOTOP Champions League 2023 betting odds are leaning heavily toward Inter, who are installed as 1.78 favourites to win the first leg at home. Porto are priced at 3.80, while a draw is 3.60.

Even with their injury problems in attack, Porto will be no pushovers. Sergio Conceicao is a canny coach who will have his side well-drilled for this tough away trip at San Siro. With some key attacking pieces potentially absent, it won’t be surprising to see Porto playing a more conservative counter-attacking approach in the first leg.

That will make them unlikely to escape with a win, but with their defensive discipline, a draw is a distinct possibility.

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:15 PM (422 days ago)            #24
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Europa League: Roma Ready for the Red Bulls Return

AS Roma vs Red Bull Salzburg

Roma and Red Bull Salzburg have their sights set on the Europa League Round of 16 when they meet at Stadio Olimpico on Thursday… and it’s a tie which is right on a knife-edge.

Salzburg won the first leg 1-0 as Nicola Capaldo scored a late headed winner to tee up the second leg just perfectly, and now the onus is on Jose Mourinho’s Roma to get back in the tie. Salzburg head coach Matthias Jaissle is in his second season at the club having led the Red Bulls to the Austrian league title last term and the ambitious Austrians are hungry for more silverware.

Both teams are in good shape in their domestic competitions; while Salzburg have a six point lead at the top of the Austrian Bundesliga Roma are up to third place in Serie A after a run of four victories from their last six games. Salzburg come into the game on the back of a 3-1 win away to WSG Tirol while Roma picked up a 1-0 win at home to Hellas Verona so we expect two teams full of confidence to arrive in Rome.

In a strong competition neither Roma nor Salzburg are strong contenders for the 2023 title according to the latest Europa League 2023 betting odds, but once they reach the last 16 their fans can rightly start to dream.

Talking Points

Another start for Solbakken?

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Norwegian striker Ola Solbakken scored his first league goal on his first start for I Giallorossi when he latched on to a back heel from Leonardo Spinazzola to slide in the only goal of the game against Verona. While Napoli appear to be running away with the Scudetto, Roma are well in the hunt for a top four place and Solbakken could have an important part to play. Roma have had a run of injuries to forwards, with Paul Dybala and Lorenzo Pellegrini out; and Tammy Abraham added to the sick list when he went off with an eye injury after a clash with team-mate Gianluca Mancini.

The former Chelsea star has had a minor operation and has told fans he’ll be back in action soon, but Thursday comes too early.

Solbakken, who signed from Bodo Glimt in November could line up alongside Andrea Belotti in the absence of Abraham and top scorer Pellegrini. Belotti remains a key figure in the Roma attack, scoring a crucial goal against Real Betis at the group stage to earn a draw and Roma eventually joined the La Liga side in the knockout phase. The young Norwegian says he is learning from his senior team-mate’s work rate and commitment.

With a centre back pairing of Roger Ibanez and Chris Smalling I Giallorossi are a tough team to break down and the addition of Leeds centre back Diego Llorente on loan has given Mourinho more options, so he has decisions to make at the back while I expect Solbakken to carry on where he left off up front.

Salzburg wonderkid is on the Anfield radar

Red Bull Salzburg's Luka Sucic aism to score against AS Roma in the Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg’s Luka Sucic in action against AS Roma’s Nemanja Matic during their first leg match

One player we’ll be looking out for in this week’s Europa League 2023 highlights is Salzburg’s young star Luka Sucic. The 20 year old already has four Croatia caps to his name and he is being touted as an eventual replacement for the legendary Luke Modric.

High praise indeed.

Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp is known to be an admirer of the 6ft 1in star and with Naby Keita and Alex Oxlade Chamberlain due to leave Anfield in the summer he is looking for re-enforcements. Since signing for the Red Bulls in 2020 Sucic has scored 13 goals and made ten assists from 93 appearances in all competitions, and he has already won two Austrian league and cup medals.

With Salzburg’s game against Tirol pretty much won at 2-0, Jaissle substituted Sucic alongside skipper Andrea Ulmer to rest them for this huge clash.

History

Roma are three times Serie A winners and they picked up a European title last season winning the 2022 Europa Conference League with a 1-0 win over Feyenoord in a tightly contested final.

Mourinho knows how to win silverware and he’ll be taking this tie deadly seriously.

Salzburg are 16 times Austrian Bundesliga champions, winning the last nine domestic titles on the bounce and they were UEFA Cup runners up in 1994.

Betting Tip

Roma are at SBOTOP odds of 1.66 to win this second leg while Red Bull are at odds of 4.36 and the Draw is 3.45

Salzburg can be backed with the +0.75 advantage at a price of 1.95, but I think home advantage, a more experienced squad and the Mourinho factor will see the I Giallorossi through.

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:17 PM (422 days ago)            #25
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Champions League: Madrid Out To Cause More Mersey Misery

Liverpool vs Real Madrid

It’s time for a re-run of last season’s Champions League Final.

The night when Real Madrid became champions of Europe for a record 14th time and capped a remarkable season to clinch a league and European double.

That achievement also capped a remarkable milestone for Carlo Ancelotti as the Italian became the first manager to capture titles in each of Europe’s top five leagues – England, Spain, Germany, Italy and France.

Yet it wasn’t just the trophies they secured but the way they did it; seeing off Paris St Germain, Chelsea and Manchester City in the most dramatic of fashions and creating truly memorable Champions League highlights before Liverpool were despatched in the showpiece Paris.

It was a run in which character was every bit as crucial as talent and no-one could begrudge Real their success.

Now Ancelotti’s champions are back to face the side whose hearts they broke.

Talking Points

To some, that final defeat is being outlined as one reason why Liverpool have rarely since matched the standards they showed last term.

Whether justified or not, the reality means this competition is the only silverware they remain in contention for this season.

Without a league win in 2023 until a week ago, they have now secured back-to-back 2-0 victories to lift spirits before this encounter.

Their manager Jurgen Klopp has admitted he watched back last season’s final at the weekend and described the experience as ‘torture’ before implying that his team will be less wary of Madrid’s counter-attacking expertise over two legs than a one-off encounter.

Jurgen Klopp prepares Liverpool in the upcoming Champions League match against Real Madrid
Jurgen Klopp during Liverpool’s Premier League match against Newcastle United

The Merseysiders will be near enough at full-strength for the last-16 tie against opponents who have the distinct upper hand over them when it matters most in the modern era.

Last season’s final was the third time in five seasons that Madrid have seen off Liverpool (two finals, one quarter-final) and the Spanish champions have been boosted by the news that world player of the year Karim Benzema has been declared fit to start.

Injuries have dented Benzema’s season, but Ancelotti has worked to manage his game time to crucial matches, most recently their FIFA Club World Cup final win over Al Hilal.

It is a rare piece of good news for Madrid whose midfield duo Toni Kroos and Aurelien Tchouameni were not passed fit to travel.

Trailing champions Barcelona by 11 points in La Liga, the combination of absences and congested schedule does seem to have caught up Madrid on occasions this season, yet they remain the team to beat.

As the Guardian’s Jonathan Wilson noted after last season’s Champions League Final: ‘It has not been a normal season for Madrid. They have survived by their nerve, by their capacity to produce moments of brilliance when they have needed them.’

That is why you cannot rule them out causing more Mersey misery.

History

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Liverpool defeated Madrid at Wembley in the 1981 European Cup final and again at the last-16 stage in 2009, a resounding 5-0 victory on aggregate.

Later that year the Spanish giants signed Cristiano Ronaldo and since then, it has all been about Madrid.

Ronaldo inspired two group victories in 2014, 3-0 at Anfield and 1-0 in Spain as the Merseysiders were eliminated in the group stage.

Then came the 2018 final and that Gareth Bale goal!

In the 2021 quarter-finals, ties played behind closed doors due to Covid restrictions, a Vinícius Júnior double and Marco Asensio effort gave the hosts control of the first leg with Mohamed Salah replying for Liverpool

The return fixture ended goalless as Madrid prevailed 3-1 on aggregate.

And, of course, Vinicius grabbed the winner in the final last May.

Betting Tip

The SBOTOP Champions League betting odds make Liverpool slight favourites, priced 1X2 @ 2.28 compared to Madrid who are available @ 2.83.

It is a similar scenario with Asian Handicap odds where you can get odds of Liverpool -0.50 @ 2.28 and Madrid 0.00 @ 2.29.

The Draw is on offer @ 3.50.

If you fancy a repeat of last season’s final, then Correct Score 0-1 will pay out @ 11.50.

With such attacking talent on show for both sides, then you may want to consider over 3.00 goals @ 2.17, Total Goal 0-1 @ 4.20, 2-3 @ 1.97 and 4-6 @ 2.89. I do think the combination of the English team’s bid for revenge and the absence of key men in the Madrid engine room will edge this towards the home side.

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21-Feb 2023 Tuesday 1:19 PM (422 days ago)            #26
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Champions League: City Step Up Quest for Euro Grail

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City

There are some football critics who say Manchester City have to win the Champions League to be considered a great team.

I disagree completely – winning your domestic league in four of the past five years secures their place in that regard.

Yet I do agree that, given the investment in the club since the 2008 takeover, it will be an underachievement if they cannot add a European title to their raft of domestic silverware.

It would also leave a question mark over their manager Pep Guardiola who has failed to win the trophy since his Barcelona days when, yes he worked wonders, but had already inherited one of the best sides around.

Indeed, the Spanish coach recently admitted his time at the club would be incomplete without success in this tournament.

So, on Wednesday night as they try again in pursuit of a trophy many of their fans crave, are we about to witness Champions League 2023 highlights in Leipzig?

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Talking Points

City certainly arrive in Germany in good form and dominating matches, even if their draw at Nottingham Forest on Saturday in the Premier League was scant consolation for the way they controlled the contest.

In that match they enjoyed 73% possession and 23 shots, yet the 1-1 draw meant they have now failed to win four of their last five away matches in all competitions, while they have dropped seven points in as many Premier League games, leaving them two points adrift of leaders Arsenal – ironically, the side they defeated away from home last week.

This season marks 10 consecutive years in which the club has been competing in the Champions League knockout rounds and they remain undefeated this term after winning four and drawing two of their six group-stage matches to top Group G, ahead of Borussia Dortmund, Sevilla and Copenhagen.

With the exception of centre -back John Stones who remains out with a hamstring injury, Guardiola has a fully-fit squad at his disposal.

Despite a raft of options including Aymeric Laporte and Nathan Ake, Bernardo Silva could continue in a makeshift left-back role, drifting into a deep-lying midfield position alongside Rodri when City are in possession.

The in-form Riyad Mahrez was a sub at the weekend but is likely to be recalled, probably at the expense of either Phil Foden or Jack Grealish, while Erling Braut Haaland – who has scored six goals in four previous meetings against Leipzig – is set to lead the line.

Just as City are in a decent place in their domestic league, so are Leipzig.

Wednesday’s hosts have been piling on the pressure at the top of the Bundesliga in recent weeks and currently lie fifth, just four points off top spot.

They have mixed news on the availability front.

Peter Gulacsi (ACL), Dani Olmo (thigh) and Abdou Diallo (knee) all remain out but exciting talent Christopher Nkunku made his long-awaited return after three months on the sidelines last week and, at the very least, should be on the bench again.

Likewise, Konrad Laimer who managed to shake off a thigh concern to be included in their win at Wolfsburg.

Highly rated centre-back Josko Gvardiol, who caught the eye at the World Cup, is set to continue alongside Willi Orban.

Can Timo Werner score a goal against Manchester City in the Champions League?
RB Leipzig’s Timo Werner celebrates scoring their third goal against Hoffenheim in DFB-Pokal

If Nkunku is not risked from the outset, Andre Silva could continue up front with support provided in the final third by Timo Werner, Emil Forsberg and Dominik Szoboszlai.

Werner, of course, was part of the Leipzig team that reached the 2020 Champions League semi-finals, before winning the competition with Chelsea the following season – against City.

The visitors start as favourites but they will need to take their opportunities, something they have failed to do to their cost at times this season.

History

These sides met for the very first time at the group stages of last season’s tournament.

City enjoyed a thrilling 6-3 victory against Leipzig at the Etihad Stadium in September 2021.

Nathan Ake, Riyad Mahrez (penalty), Jack Grealish, Joao Cancelo and Gabriel Jesus, plus an own goal, were on target, yet in many ways Nkunku was the attacking star with a hat-trick for Leipzig, who were then managed by Jesse Marsch (recently of Leeds United).

Marsch had been replaced by the time of the return game in Germany.

City had already qualified and were beaten 2-1 as Hungary midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai and Portugal forward Andre Silva netted for the home side.

Betting Tip

As in virtually all of their games, City are favourites and the SBOTOP Champions League 2023 betting odds concur.

I do think this will be close but the top team in England should have too much and will be keen to make their mark. Therefore, my three-star prediction is City by -0.75 on the Asian Handicap market.

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22-Feb 2023 Wednesday 12:30 PM (422 days ago)            #27
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Europa League: Short-Handed Barca Face Uphill Battle at Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Barcelona

Manchester United will like their chances of moving on to the Europa League round of 16 as they host Barcelona at Old Trafford for the second leg of their knockout play-off tie.

With the red-hot Marcus Rashford on target yet again, the Red Devils drew 2-2 at the Camp Nou in the first leg, and while away goals no longer count, the English giants will still have home advantage on their side.

Moreover, Barca will be without a host of key players for the second leg, which should tilt the Europa League 2023 betting odds more in Man United’s favour.

Talking Points

Marcus Rashford’s magical scoring run continues

Man United forward Marcus Rashford is keen to get into the scoring sheet in the Europa League match against Barcelona
Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford celebrates after FC Barcelona’s Jules Kounde scored an own goal

Marcus Rashford is in the midst of the best goalscoring form of his career. The England international bagged a brace in United’s 3-0 win over Leicester and has now scored in five consecutive games in all competitions. That includes United’s equaliser in their 2-2 first-leg draw against Barcelona.

Rashford has been particularly prolific at home. With his goals against Leicester, he has equalled Wayne Rooney’s run of eight straight games with a goal at Old Trafford.

United’s attack beyond Rashford has been a bit underwhelming this season, but it did show signs of promise against Leicester. Bruno Fernandes set up a couple of goals, including one to Jadon Sancho, who is rediscovering his best form with two goals in his last four appearances.

Sancho had 3 shots as he got the start in Spain and may have done enough to keep his place for the second leg. Meanwhile, Wout Weghorst is coming off his strongest attacking performance for Man United as he had 5 shots against Leicester.

As for the defence, United will be back to full strength with centre-back Lisandro Martinez returning from his ban. Similarly, midfielder Marcel Sabitzer is also available once more after serving his one-game suspension.

Diogo Dalot – who has been linked with a move to Barcelona – did not start the first leg, but he could be back to provide an attacking spark at home.

Old Trafford has been a fortress this season. Since losing to Real Sociedad in the Europa League group stage in September, Man United have gone unbeaten in their last 17 home games, with 15 wins and just 2 draws.

Barcelona missing key midfields in Manchester

Barcelona continue to cruise in La Liga. They beat Cadiz on the weekend, their seventh straight league win, as they maintained their eight-point lead over Real Madrid.

However, the Catalans have major concerns for the second leg against Manchester United as they will be without their two terrific young midfielders, Pedri and Gavi, for the second leg. Pedri picked up a hamstring injury, while Gavi will be suspended after getting booked in the first leg.

Barca are also still without star winger Ousmane Dembele, although captain Sergio Busquets made his return to the squad against Cadiz.

With Pedri and Gavi out, Xavi will likely turn to Frenkie de Jong and Franck Kessie to man the midfield at Old Trafford. Meanwhile, Ansu Fati, Ferran Torres and Sergi Roberto are also in contention to start alongside Robert Lewandowski and Raphinha.

Raphinha was Barca’s first-leg star as he was involved in both of their goals. And with Dembele, Pedri and Gavi out, the Brazilian will have an even bigger burden to bear in terms of providing Europa League 2023 highlights.

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History

Manchester United have not had much success against Barcelona over the years. In fact, they have won just one of their last 11 matches against the Catalans (5 draws, 5 losses).

United’s only win during that time was in their 2008 Champions League semi-final second leg. They won 1-0 thanks to a Paul Scholes screamer as they went on to win the Champions League.

Man United have had a strong home record of late, losing just two of their last 11 European matches at Old Trafford. However, both of those defeats came against Spanish foes: Atletico Madrid (0-1 in March 2022) and Real Sociedad (0-1 in September 2022).

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Manchester United installed as only slight 2.33 favourites to get the home win they need to move on to the round of 16. Despite their significant list of absentees, Barcelona are priced at 2.57 to win at Old Trafford, while a draw is 3.30. A Manchester United win appears to be a strong value bet, given their outstanding home form coupled with the absence of several key Barcelona players. The Catalans can still make things quite competitive, but United should have enough to get the win and advance to the round of 16.

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22-Feb 2023 Wednesday 12:32 PM (422 days ago)            #28
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Europa League: History Old and New Meet in Berlin

Union Berlin vs Ajax

Ask any general football fan and the chances are they will know of Ajax.

Whether through famous European Cup or UEFA Cup (now Europa League) highlights, mere mention of the Dutch masters led by two greats, Rinus Michels and Johan Cruyff, sparks a misty-eyed look – igniting the memory of the ‘total football’ played by both the Amsterdam club and national team.

With the greatest of respects to Union Berlin, ask any general football fan and there will be a fair few who have not even heard of a club which, until four years ago, had never graced the German top flight.

After becoming the first club from the former East Berlin and the sixth from the former East Germany to reach the top tier, they have barely looked back.

So much so, in fact, they probably begin the second leg of their Europa League play-off tie on Thursday night as slight favourites.

Talking Points

For a start they are currently joint top of the Bundesliga, level on points with Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund who have been the established top two for more than a decade.

In fact, but for a frustrating goalless draw at home to bottom club Schalke on Sunday, they would be out on their own at the summit, putting two heavy pre-World Cup defeats firmly behind them.

By contrast, Ajax are struggling to keep pace domestically and in Europe.

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Now this should hardly be a surprise.

They have spent several summers losing their best players to some of the elite European clubs and, financially, that doesn’t seem like it will change anytime soon.

I remember reading in 2019, the year in which they came within seconds of reaching the Champions League Final (they eventually went out on away goals), that their prize money for winning the Dutch Eredvisie was a fraction of that received by clubs who were relegated from the English Premier League.

And there you have it.

It is against that backdrop that Ajax are competing and it is little wonder they have said farewell to key men summer after summer.

Last year was a case in point as winger Antony and defender Lisandro Martinez followed manager Erik ten Hag to Manchester United, German champions Bayern Munich recruited midfielder Ryan Gravenberch and Noussair Mazraoui, Borussia Dortmund snapped up striker Sebastien Haller and left-back Nicolas Tagliafico moved to Lyon.

Experienced international defender Daley Blind has also since moved onto Bayern.

Perhaps then it should be no great shock that the likes of Alfred Schreuder struggled and he and the club parted company a couple of weeks ago after seven league games without a win. – they have since recovered to win four of their last five and are three points off the summit under caretaker boss Johnny Heitinga.

Fresh from rolling over Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 at the weekend, with captain Dusan Tadic producing one of his best performances of the seasons, they will be hopeful of ending Union Berlin’s fine home record in a tie which is evenly poised after a goalless first leg.

To put that into context, that match was Ajax’s 150th in the UEFA Cup/Europa League, while Union were making their debut in the knockout stages of the competition.

This season they have put together a bizarre run of results in the Europa games.

Europa League: Dusan Tadic has now scored 100 goals for Ajax
Ajax Amsterdam’s Francisco Conceicao celebrates scoring their third goal with Dusan Tadic

After losing the first two matches to Union SG and Braga, the German outfit recorded four wins, all by a 1-0 scoreline, two of the triumphs coming versus Malmo.

Now another such win will send them through to the last 16.

Manager Urs Fischer will have ambitions to go as far as possible in Europe but he will also have one eye on ensuring that his team do not lose any momentum domestically.

After all, Union are the team which has made the Bundesliga sit up and take notice.

They have lost just one of 15 home matches this term, and one of 22 dating back to last season, and no team has managed as many as their five clean sheets in the Europa League so far this season.

They are also a threat in attack where Sheraldo Becker – another Ajax youth product who has ended up elsewhere – has registered a single-season personal best eight goals and seven assists in all competitions so far.

Could they be about to claim a European scalp as history old and new meet in Berlin.

History

Last week’s goalless first leg was the first competitive game between the two clubs, although they did draw 2-2 in a friendly in 2020.

Betting Tip

The SBOTOP Europa League betting odds lean towards the home side who are available to back 1X2 @ 2.22 and Asian Handicap -0.50 @ 2.23.

Ajax are on offer a bit further out, both 1X2 @ 2.85 and Asian Handicap 0.00 @ 2.40.

Another draw, at least before extra-time or penalties, is available @ 3.15.

Given their home defensive record, perhaps total goal 0-1 @ 2.60 is worth a punt, or how about under 2.00 goals @ 2.26?

If there is to be yet another 1-0 home success, Correct Score will pay out @ 6.00.

Those last three options have all tempted me, but I am going to plump for an Ajax revival and a** prediction of Asian Handicap 0.00 @ 2.40.

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23-Feb 2023 Thursday 12:18 PM (421 days ago)            #29
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Champions League: Real Madrid are Simply Magnificent

There are a select few clubs who could come from 2-0 down in the backyard of a leading European team and fightback to draw.

There are even fewer clubs who could come from 2-0 down in the backyard of a leading European team and score three times and win.

Yet there is probably only one club in world football which could come from 2-0 down in the backyard of a leading European team to make them feel completely demoralised and bereft in front of their own supporters.

Yet that is exactly what we witnessed in the Champions League this week.

A night that anyone who is associated with Spanish, European and World Champions Real Madrid will never forget; and for very different reasons, a night Liverpool will not be able to forget in a hurry either.

For Tuesday was the night where Anfield was silenced, for all but a pocket of visiting fans in the corner; the night where ruthless Real exposed the failings of last season’s defeated finalists.

On that occasion, in Paris, it was close.

Fast forward eight and a half months and it was a rout as Real piled on yet more Mersey misery.

La Liga
REAL MADRID
ATLETICO MADRID
1X2 Atletico Madrid @ 3.85
Real Madrid Asian Handicap -1.00 @ 2.44
Under 2.25 @ 2.16
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

To recover from being two goals behind so early, and also with major absences in the middle on the shape of Aurélien Tchouameni and Toni Kroos, as well as long David Alaba early to injury, would have deflated most sides.

What followed were Champions League highlights for the ages and a night to savour.

As Spanish media outlet MARCA observed: ‘The truth is that this Real Madrid team simply don’t know when they’re beaten in the Champions League. Tonight was another test of their character and they have proven themselves once again’.

A team of class, character and unstinting belief.

The events on Merseyside made the other match on Tuesday seem almost forgotten but Napoli will not mind quietly having one foot in the quarter-finals.

The Serie A league leaders faced a tough match at Europa League holders Eintracht Frankfurt but proved more than equal to the task.

After Khvicha Kvaratskhelia had a penalty saved, Victor Osimhen scored his 20th goal of the season just before the break.

It got worse for Frankfurt midway through the second half as Randal Kolo Muani was sent off for a bad challenge.

Giovanni di Lorenzo then added a second, placing a shot into the far corner.

The victory gives Napoli a big advantage for the return leg in Italy on March 15.

Not since the days of the great Diego Maradona have Napoli been so admired at home and in Europe.

Inter Milan's Romelu Lukaku breaks the deadlock against 10-man Porto in the Champions League
Inter Milan’s Romelu Lukaku celebrates scoring their first goal

Another Italian side has an edge going into their second leg after a late goal saw off FC Porto in the San Siro.

Inter Milan went out at this stage of the competition last season and under Antonio Conte failed to get out of the group stage, despite big spending.

One of those big money recruits did the damage to take Inter within 90 minutes of a first European Cup quarter-final in 12 years.

When Belgian striker Romelu Lukaku headed against the post, he was alert to react and swiftly volleyed home a rebound from close range for his fourth goal of the season and his second in a week.

It was also his 10th goal in his last 15 Champions League appearances.

The goal arrived eight minutes after the visitors had been reduced to 10 men when Otavio was shown a yellow card for clipping the ankle of Hakan Calhanoglu ankle as the Inter man was trying to find space to shoot.

With that went Porto’s best chance as Inter goalkeeper Andre Onana denied both Zaidu Sanusi and Mehdi Taremi.

Man City are among the favourites for this season’s tournament – the SBOTOP Champions League betting odds allude to that.

Yet they will have to win at home after being pegged back by RB Leipzig in Germany.

The English champions were good value for their half-time lead, secured midway through the half when Ilkay Gundogan pounced on a mistake in defence and fed Riyad Mahrez who drove home.

Similar to their league draw at Nottingham Forest last weekend, City remained on top but could not convert any further chances and as the home side grew in confidence, they were rewarded when Josko Gvardiol – the Croatian defender who caught the eye at the World Cup – headed in an equaliser following a short corner.

You would still expect City to progress, while Inter and Napoli have the edge.

However, the only real talking point of the week was majestic Real.

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11-Mar 2023 Saturday 3:42 PM (404 days ago)            #30
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Europa League: Arsenal Have Sporting in Their Crosshairs

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal

Europa League action is back in Portugal as Sporting host Arsenal at the Jose Alvalade Stadium for the first leg of their Round of 16 tie.

Sporting have made it this far after beating Midtjylland convincingly in the second leg of their tie. They have also improved their form in the Primeira Liga, winning four of their last five domestic matches.

The Gunners, on the other hand, are still on top of the Premier League table. Like Sporting, Arsenal have also won four of their last five domestic matches.

Despite being in great form, Sporting are the underdogs since they haven’t beaten Arsenal here in Europe, but they’ll use this as motivation when they host them on Thursday night.

Talking Points

Sporting’s strike duo needs to click

Pedro Goncalves and Marcus Edwards are two of Sporting’s attacking threats, and they must be on target to go toe-to-toe with Arsenal.

Goncalves is Primeira Liga’s leading scorer with 12 goals, and his 18 goal involvements are by far the highest for Sporting. He recorded a brace against Midtjylland in the second leg, which secured their spot in the Round of 16.

The 24-year-old can play either as an attacking midfielder or as a winger. He has created 35 chances directly when he carries the ball, which is at least five more than any player in their domestic league.

Marcus Edwards is also making waves in Portugal after being shipped out of Tottenham a few years ago. The English native may be small at 5’6”, but his pace and clinical finishing are attributes that would give Arsenal’s defence headaches.

Mikel Arteta likely to rotate his squad

Arsenal are favourites to win their upcoming Europa League match against Sporting CP
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta during their Premier League match against Aston Villa

After this game against Sporting on Thursday, Arsenal only have three days’ rest before they visit Fulham, so Mikel Arteta is expected to rotate his squad.

Arsenal are on the back of a 3-2 comeback win over Bournemouth on Saturday, as they rallied from a two-goal deficit to stay on top of the Premier League standings with a five-point cushion over Manchester City.

Philip Billing and Marco Senesi put the Cherries on top, but Thomas Partey and Ben White levelled for the Gunners after 70 minutes. And then, super sub Reiss Nelson scored a dramatic 97th-minute winner, which sparked bedlam at the Emirates.

Nelson also assisted on White’s equaliser, making him the unlikely hero for the Gunners. The 23-year-old winger might be tasked with trying to create new Europa League 2023 highlights on Thursday.

Takehiro Tomiyasu was awful against Bournemouth, and he was substituted at halftime in place of Ben White. Mikel Arteta might be thinking about starting Ben White as a full-back, with Kieran Tierney as the second option.

Leandro Trossard was forced off from the match against the Cherries due to what appeared to be a groin injury, meaning he won’t be available against Sporting on Thursday.

Mikel Arteta is hoping that Eddie Nketiah will be fully recovered from his ankle injury by Thursday to replace Leandro Trossard, who was playing as their false nine.

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History

Sporting and Arsenal meet for the fifth time in Europe this Thursday. The last time that these two sides faced off was in the 2018-19 Europa League group stage, where both of them held the top two spots in Group E over Vorskla and Qarabag FK.

After a goalless draw in their first group stage meeting that season, Arsenal won the next fixture with a scoreline of 1-0, thanks to Danny Welbeck. That win was the reason why the Gunners took the top spot.

Arsenal went all the way to the final, losing 4-1 to Chelsea. On the other hand, Sporting were eliminated by Villarreal in the Round of 32 play-offs.

In this particular fixture, Arsenal have yet to lose or concede a goal. They’re also undefeated in six previous meetings with Portuguese opponents in the Europa League (W3, D3).

However, Sporting advanced from each of their previous six encounters with English teams in the Europa League knockout stages.

Betting Tip 

The SBOTOP Europa League 2023 odds favour Arsenal to win. For this game, we’re going for the Gunners to win at 2.10, but Sporting are not to be underestimated since a draw or a win for them is priced at 3.20 in the 1X2 market.Sporting have had a difficult time shipping in goals, and this might continue to be the case on Thursday. Arsenal are going to do their part on that end, though, so you might also consider going for Total Goal 2-3 at 2.16 as your alternative bet.

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⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

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11-Mar 2023 Saturday 3:44 PM (404 days ago)            #31
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Europa League: Red Devils Need Strong Response After Historic Rout

Manchester United vs Real Betis

After suffering a historic defeat at the hands of rivals Liverpool in the Premier League, Manchester United must now try to move on as they host Real Betis in the first leg of their Europa League round of 16 tie.

The Verdiblancos held mighty Real Madrid to a goalless draw over the weekend as they continued their recent resurgence in La Liga.

Betis boss Manuel Pellegrini has a fine record against Manchester United in his managerial career, and the Chilean will be keen to defy the Europa League 2023 betting odds as his Betis side head into Old Trafford.

UEFA – Champions League
BAYERN MUNICH
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Talking Points

Man United must move on from 7-0 mauling

Things were looking so good for Erik ten Hag’s Manchester United. They came into the Liverpool match on an 11-match unbeaten run, with a big win over Barcelona in the Europa League play-off and a Carabao Cup triumph, their first trophy in six years.

But all that positive momentum came crashing down as the Red Devils suffered a 7-0 drubbing, tying their heaviest defeat in club history.

No Red Devil acquitted himself well in that disastrous performance, which ten Hag described as “unprofessional.” But Bruno Fernandes in particular caught the brunt of the criticism for his horrendous showing.

There are calls to strip Burno of the club captaincy, but the Portuguese playmaker looks set to lead United against Betis.

However, Casemiro is a doubt to play in the first leg against Betis due to injury, which would be a huge blow to a United defence in desperate need of solidity after their horrific display against Liverpool.

Marcel Sabitzer might get the start in case Casemiro is not fit to play, although the old partnership of Fred and Scott McTominay is also an option.

Meanwhile, Marcus Rashford will look to bounce back after failing to score in back-to-back appearances. Rashford, who leads the team with 25 goals in all competitions, is the co-leading scorer in the Europa League with four goals in six games.

Real Betis back on track

Real Betis are in a dire need of a Europa League first-leg advantage when they travel at the Old Trafford
Real Betis manager Manuel Pellegrini reacts during their La Liga match against Real Madrid

After a disastrous start to 2023 where they lost five of eight games, Real Betis are finally back on track. The Verdiblancos have gone unbeaten in their last four games in La Liga, with three wins and a draw against European champions Real Madrid over the weekend. Those strong results have lifted Betis back up to fifth in the La Liga standings.

Betis’ clean sheet against Real was just their second in 2023. Although, they did have a strong defensive record in the Europa League group stage, conceding just four goals in six games as they went undefeated with five wins and a draw.

Meanwhile, Manuel Pellegrini will once again be without veteran playmaker Nabil Fekir, who is out for the season with a knee injury.

However, he is expected to have Sergio Canales back to provide Europa League 2023 highlights after the winger missed the last couple of matches with a thigh injury. Prior to his injury, Canales had been on a hot streak, with three goals and two assists in his last three games.

Leading scorer Borja Iglesias (10 goals) didn’t start any of Betis’ group stage matches as Pellegrini rotated to Willian Jose up front. But the Spanish international looks set to lead the line at Old Trafford.

History

This is the first time Manchester United and Real Betis will meet in a competitive match. However, Betis will be the third Spanish side that United will face in this Europa League run after Real Sociedad in the group stage and Barcelona in the play-off round.

After losing 1-0 to La Real at Old Trafford, United returned the favour with a 1-0 win at the Anoeta. They then drew 2-2 at Camp Nou before beating Barca 2-1 in the second leg at home.

As for Betis, they have lost four of their last six European games against English opposition, with just one win and one draw.

Meanwhile, Betis manager Manuel Pellegrini has quite a history against the Red Devils. Pellegrini managed United rivals Manchester City from 2013 to 2016 and also West Ham United in the Premier League. The Chilean lost just three times in 13 games against United, with five wins and five draws.

Moreover, Pellegrini faced United four times in European competition while he was manager of Villarreal. All four games ended in goalless draws.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Manchester United installed as major 1.41 favourites to win the first leg at home. Betis are priced at 6.00, while a draw is 4.50.

Real Betis will not be an easy opponent for Manchester United. The Spanish side are full of confidence amid their stellar form, and they have a manager in Manuel Pellegrini who has proven he is capable of getting a good result at Old Trafford.

While the Red Devils will be raring to respond after their humiliation at Anfield, don’t bet against Betis from coming away from the first leg with a positive result, or at the very least, only a narrow defeat.

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11-Mar 2023 Saturday 3:46 PM (404 days ago)            #32
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Europa League: Mourinho Is Back on the Silverware Hunt

AS Roma vs Real Sociedad

Roma and Real Sociedad will meet for the first time on Thursday as the European heavyweights clash in the Europa League Round of 16.

There are some big hitters in the competition, including Premier League leaders Arsenal and Italian giants Juventus, and this tiestands among them as an eye-catching fixture.

The tie is finely balanced between two clubs which expect success, with Roma at SBOTOP odds of 1.85 to make it through to the quarter-finals and Real Sociedad 2.01.

Jose Mourinho’s Roma come into the game on the back of a huge 1-0 victory over Juventus, a result which took them into the top four of Serie A. Meanwhile, in the last round of La Liga games Imanol Alguacil’s Sociedad suffered a disappointment at home to Cadiz, drawing 0-0 to put their top-four place in La Liga under threat.

Talking Points

Juve win is timely for Roma

I Giallorossi were ticking along nicely a couple of weeks ago, beating Verona in the league and then seeing off Red Bull Salzburg in the Europa League with a 2-0 home victory. But then the wheels fell off as Roma managed to lose to relegation fodder Cremonese and Mourinho was red-carded during the 2-1 reversal.

Europa League
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Roma’s clash with Juventus was a chance for the Giallorossi to get back on track, and be undefeated in a campaign against Juve for the first time since 2004 and they took it. The Special One fielded a team without a Number Nine striker, leaving out Tammy Abraham and Andrea Belotti, preferring instead to allow Paulo Dybala a free role across the front. And while Dybala didn’t score, the setup worked and defender Gianluca Mancini won the game with a screamer.

Mourinho is a master tactician and he simply loves to win silverware, guiding Roma to Europa Conference League glory last season. He has won 14 of his home matches in the Europa League, drawing one and losing one and we can expect his team to go hard again on Thursday.

Silva back for Sociedad

Sociedad have been stuttering recently and it is no coincidence that former Manchester City star David Silva has been sidelined for the last few weeks. Sociedad had picked up just one win from the last four so his return to the squad for the match against Cadiz was a sight for sore eyes.

David Silva is back in action after injury and might feature in the Europa League match against AS Roma
Real Sociedad’s David Silva in action with Leeds United’s Liam Cooper

La Real drew a blank again, but Silva got some vital minutes under his belt, coming on as a 61st-minute substitute. He showed some nice touches and his usual calmness carrying the ball, and he must be in line for a start against Roma. Iguacil can also welcome back Ander Guevera and Mohamed-Ali Cho to the squad, but Aritz Elustondo and Umar Sadiz remain sidelined.

Sociedad’s biggest goal threats to produce some Europa League 2023 highlights come from Norwegian striker Alexander Sorloth and captain Mikel Oyarzabal. Mourinho is sure to try to nullify the danger by protecting his defence, sitting Nemanja Matic in a deep-lying role and the La Real forwards will have to work hard for their chances.

History

Both sets of fans have reason to be optimistic.

Roma have lost just two of their last 33 home matches in European competition, though both defeats were against Spanish opposition, Real Madrid in 2018 and Real Betis in a 2-1 loss in this competition.

Sociedad won all three of their away group matches in this Europa League without conceding a single goal, including a 1-0 victory over tournament favourites Manchester United as Brais Mendez scored from the penalty spot.

We don’t have any historic head-to-head to guide us, but recent form has been patchy in both camps though Roma have been a little stronger with three wins, one draw, and two defeats from the last six games, while La Real have won just once, drawn three and lost two.

Roma have won four home matches in a row and I’m backing them to make it five.

Betting Tip

Roma and Sociedad are both decent outside bets for the whole tournament, at odds of 14.00 and 19.00 respectively, and the pre-match Europa League 2023 betting odds point to a tight game at the Stadio Olimpico on Thursday.

The hosts are priced at 2.06 to take a first-leg lead, with the draw at 3.11 and an away win at 3.11. I think it will be Mourinho’s night and a narrow home victory will tee up the second leg nicely.

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11-Mar 2023 Saturday 3:48 PM (404 days ago)            #33
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Europa League: Red Devils Respond While the Gunners Stutter

It was a packed Thursday night for football fans as we’ve been treated to eight fun Europa League Round of 16 matches.

Manchester United, Bayer Leverkusen, AS Roma, Juventus, and Sevilla took care of business in the first leg, beating Real Betis, Ferencvaros, Real Sociedad, SC Freiburg, and Fenerbahce. Meanwhile, Union Berlin, Sporting, and Shakhtar Donetsk had draws at home against Union Saint-Gilloise, Arsenal, and Feyenoord, respectively.

If you missed the action, don’t worry, as SBOTOP is here to recap the biggest takeaways from last night’s Europa League 2023 results.

Manchester United put Anfield disaster behind them

Following their horrific performance against Liverpool on Monday, Manchester United owe their fans, and they responded in a positive way by dominating Real Betis at Old Trafford with a scoreline of 4-1.

It didn’t take long for the Red Devils to get into the scoring column, as Marcus Rashford netted after six minutes, but Los Verdiblancos worried the hosts when they equalised through Ayoze Perez 26 minutes later.

But Real Betis’ hopes of pulling off an upset were ruined when Manchester United came out firing in the second half, as Antony, Bruno Fernandes, and Wout Weghorst essentially put the game – and probably the tie – to bed.

Weghorst was particularly happy when he ended his goal drought because it was his first goal at Old Trafford. Before this game, the towering Dutchman had only scored one goal for the club in their 3-0 victory over Nottingham Forest in the EFL Cup last January.

Erik ten Hag is also delighted with the character his players have shown. He also complimented Bruno Fernandes for his man-of-the-match performance after the Portuguese captain was singled out for criticism in the aftermath of their Liverpool defeat.

So, the Red Devils are back on track, and they’re hoping to keep the momentum going when they face the Saints on Sunday in the Premier League. As for Real Betis, they’ll visit Villarreal on Sunday for their next La Liga contest.

Sporting brought the fight to Arsenal

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta reacts during their match versus Sporting CP at Estadio Jose Alvalade

The Europa League 2023 odds have tilted towards Manchester United’s favour after their fellow Premier League team, Arsenal, were held to a 2-2 draw by Sporting last night.

As expected, Mikel Arteta rotated his squad, making six changes from the lineup that defeated Bournemouth on Saturday to extend their lead at the top of the Premier League standings.

Reiss Nelson, the hero in the Bournemouth match, was given a start while Matt Turner took over the goal post to give Aaron Ramsdale the night off. Jorginho, Granit Xhaka, Jakub Kiwior, and Ben White were all started as well over Martin Odegaard, Thomas Partey, Gabriel Magalhaes, and Takehiro Tomiyasu.

Arsenal and Sporting exchanged goals from corners in the first half, as centre-backs William Saliba and Goncalo Inacio both found the back of the net.

In the second half, it was Sporting who scored first and took the lead, as Paulinho netted in the 55th minute. However, Arsenal drew level when Granit Xhaka’s ball deflected in off Hidemasa Morita for an own goal.

Many have pointed out (including Arteta himself) that defending set-pieces is becoming an issue for Arsenal, as shown in this game. Sporting exploited Matt Turner and Jakub Kiwior in particular, so Arteta is likely bringing back Ramsdale and Gabriel into the starting XI for the second leg next week.

Premier League
FULHAM
ARSENAL
1X2 Arsenal @ 1.59
Over 2.50 @ 1.85
Total Goals 2-3 @ 1.91
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Serie A teams move one step closer

Juventus and AS Roma pulled out important home wins against SC Freiburg and Real Sociedad with scorelines of 1-0 and 2-0, respectively.

I Bianconeri put the Black Forest under immense pressure, but they were wasteful in the first half. They pushed forward in search of the opener, and they got it in the 53rd minute when Angel Di Maria headed the ball in from an accurate Filip Kostic cross.

Freiburg thought they restored parity when Lucas Holer fired past Wojciech Szczesny, but it was called off due to Matthias Ginter’s handball during the build-up.

But with a slender 1-0 deficit, Christian Streich’s men have hope that they can turn things around in the second leg next week.

Unlike Juventus, it didn’t take long for AS Roma to claim the edge over Real Sociedad, as Stephan El Shaarawy scored off of a clever sequence from Tammy Abraham and Paulo Dybala.

Marash Kumbulla extended their lead to two goals in the 87th minute when he converted a corner kick from Dybala, and the capital club now has a two-goal cushion ahead of the second leg, when they visit Real Sociedad at the Reale Arena.


 

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11-Mar 2023 Saturday 3:50 PM (404 days ago)            #34
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Champions League: Potter Plotting Chelsea Comeback over Dortmund

Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund

Amid their recent struggles, Chelsea are still very much in their Champions League round of 16 tie against Borussia Dortmund. The Blues went down 1-0 in the first leg, but after picking up a morale-boosting win over the weekend, Graham Potter’s side are now plotting a second-leg comeback at Stamford Bridge.

Although, Borussia Dortmund will be quite a dangerous foe. BVB continued their perfect start to 2023 with a 2-1 win over RB Leipzig and will be confident in their ability to progress to the quarter-finals.

Talking Points

Chelsea claim confidence-boosting win

Chelsea’s six-game winless run finally came to an end as they edged out Leeds 1-0 in their weekend match at home. Wesley Fofana, who was making his first start since returning from injury, got the winning goal which helped ease the pressure on under-fire coach Graham Potter.

After using a 4-2-3-1 formation in recent weeks, Potter switched to his more preferred back-three system, with Fofana, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Benoit Badiashile. Meanwhile, Kai Havertz, Joao Felix and Raheem Sterling started as the front three.

Felix and Havertz both had four shots in the first leg away from home as Chelsea outshot Dortmund 21-14. Although, the Blues were not clinical in front of goal, with Joao Felix hitting the woodwork.

Reece James missed the Leeds match due to a slight injury, but Potter said there is a “strong chance” James returns in midweek against Dortmund. Ruben Loftus-Cheek played at right wing-back against Leeds and will be on standby should James miss out again.

Potter will also have an important decision to make on whether he will stick with a back three in Dortmund. Badiashile is not part of Chelsea’s Champions League squad, and with Thiago Silva out, the Blues don’t have too many centre-backs to spare.

But Cesar Azpilicueta could be back after a stint in the concussion protocol, while Trevoh Chalobah and Marc Cucurella are also options to fill in at centre-back.

Dortmund out to defend perfect 2023 in London

Borussia Dortmund’s perfect 2023 continued as they beat RB Leipzig 2-1 in their big Bundesliga clash over the weekend. Marco Reus and Emre Can both struck in the first half to hand BVB their 10th straight win in all competitions in this calendar year.

Coach Edin Terzic has been starting a mostly settled lineup in recent weeks, and he is unlikely to make too many changes once again.

Marco Reus is ready to help BVB qualify to the Champions League quarter-finals
Borussia Dortmund star Marco Reus celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal during Bundesliga game against RB Leipzig

However, Terzic has been starting January recruit Julian Ryerson at left-back over Raphael Guerreiro in recent weeks, perhaps for more defensive solidity.

Ryerson got the start against Leipzig, and with Dortmund needing to defend a 1-0 lead, the Norwegian might be preferred once again to Guerreiro. Although, the Portuguese has been quite productive in the Champions League – he has 2 goals and the assist to Adeyemi’s goal in the first leg – and is vastly more experienced, so he could yet get the nod.

Adeyemi produced one of the top Champions League 2023 highlights with his brilliant goal at Signal Iduna park, and his continued absence will be a blow to Dortmund. His pace on the counter-attack would have been a massive weapon at Stamford Bridge.

But Dortmund still possess plenty of attacking options with the likes of Reus, Jude Bellingham, Julian Brandt, and Sebastien Haller.

History

Losing in the first leg is has not been an automatic death sentence for Chelsea historically. The Blues have lost seven times in the Champions League knockout stage, and they have would up progressing four times and have been eliminated three times.

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Meanwhile, Dortmund don’t have the best record in England. They have lost their last five Champions League away games against Premier League sides.

Moreover, Chelsea have had a strong record at Stamford Bridge. They have won seven of their last nine Champions League home games, with their only loss coming against eventual champions Real Madrid in last season’s quarter-finals.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP Champions League 2023 betting odds have Chelsea installed as 1.94 favourites to beat Borussia Dortmund in the home leg. Meanwhile, BVB are priced at 3.45 to maintain their perfect 2023, and a draw is 3.35.

After an open first leg with plenty of attacking, the second leg in London could be a more cagey affair. Dortmund will likely set up more defensively to protect their lead and dare Chelsea’s misfiring attack to break them down. As a result, this could very well be another low-scoring match.

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11-Mar 2023 Saturday 3:54 PM (404 days ago)            #35
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Champions League: Bayern Hoping to Progress Past PSG

Bayern Munich vs Paris Saint-Germain

Bayern Munich are in the driver’s seat to move on to the Champions League quarter-finals at the expense of Paris Saint-Germain.

The German champions have a 1-0 lead to defend in the second leg at home against a PSG side that will be without a couple of key players in Neymar and Achraf Hakimi.

But the Parisians still possess two game-changers in Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe, so while the Champions League 2023 betting odds aren’t in their favour, they must not be underestimated by any means in Munich.

Talking Points

Bayern attack in fine form

For the first time in a while, Bayern Munich are in an actual title race in the Bundesliga. They are still top of the table, but only by goal difference, after beating relegation strugglers Stuttgart 2-1 over the weekend.

Matthijs de Ligt and Eric Choupo-Moting got the goals for Bayern, who are finally back to full strength in attack. Sadio Mane is back from injury and has come on as a substitute in the last two games.

However, Mane will likely start on the bench once again as the attacking foursome of Choupo-Moting, Thomas Muller, Jamal Musiala, and Kingsley Coman continue to be in excellent form.

Choupo-Moting has rediscovered his pre-World Cup goalscoring form with three goals in his last three games; Muller has three assists in his last two games; Musiala has been excellent all season; and Coman has five goals in his last five games, including the winning goal in the first leg against PSG.

Coman and Joao Cancelo played as wing-backs in the first leg in Paris, but Cancelo has not started in each of the last two games as Nagelsmann has turned to youngster Josip Stanisic. And with Benjamin Pavard suspended, Stanisic may get the nod once again at the back.

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PSG missing key pair

PSG have responded well to their recent three-game losing skid, which culminated with their 1-0 defeat to Bayern in the first leg. The French champions have reeled off three wins in a row, scoring 11 goals during that time.

The return to fitness of superstar Kylian Mbappe has been key to PSG’s resurgence. The 24-year-old has scored five goals in their three-game win streak, and his late goal in their 4-2 win over Nantes saw him overtake Edinson Cavani as the club’s all-time goalscorer with 201 goals.

A not-quite-fit Mbappe changed the game for PSG when he came on in the second half against Bayern, and even with the injured Neymar out, he and the in-form Lionel Messi – three goals and two assists in his last three games – can produce plenty of Champions League 2023 highlights against Bayern.

PSG rule out Neymar in their upcoming crucial Champions League game vs Bayern Munich due to injury
PSG’s Neymar reacts during the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie with Bayern Munich

Aside from Neymar, PSG will also be missing wing-back Achraf Hakimi, centre-back Presnel Kimpembe, and former Bayern midfielder Renato Sanches. Coach Christophe Galtier fielded an unexpected 4-4-2 formation in the first leg and handed a shock start to 16-year-old Warren Zaire-Emery.

Galtier is likely to play a 3-5-2 with Nordi Mukiele once again filling in for Hakimi at wing-back. Zaire-Emery also started on the weekend against Nantes, but Marco Verratti is expected to return at the heart of the PSG midfield in Munich.

History

Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain have been as evenly matched as can be in their Champions League clashes. The two European giants have won six games apiece in their 12 previous meetings.

Bayern have won three of their last four home games against PSG and five of the last seven overall. Moreover, they have been eliminated just twice in 22 previous times they’ve won the first leg of a Champions League knockout tie.

Betting Tip 

SBOTOP odds have Bayern Munich installed as 1.86 favourites to get the win at home. PSG are priced at 3.30 to win away, while a draw is 3.90.

While Bayern have the home advantage, it’s tough to bet against Mbappe, especially when he’s in this sort of form. The French phenom completely changed the game in the 30-odd minutes he played in the first leg, and he can quite easily change the entire complexion of the tie.

With Mbappe on their side, PSG have more than a puncher’s chance to pick up a positive result in the second leg in Munich.

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11-Mar 2023 Saturday 3:56 PM (404 days ago)            #36
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Champions League: Both Spurs and Milan in Need of a Boost

Tottenham Hotspur vs AC Milan

Tottenham Hotspur and AC Milan come face to face on Wednesday in a winner-takes-all clash, the second leg of their Round of 16 Champions League tie.

seventh-minute goal from Brahim Diaz gave the Italians a first-leg advantage and that puts Milan I Rossoneri in the box seat when they head to North London. Neither Tottenham nor Milan is in the top eight favourites to win the tournament with the SBOTOP odds offering 35.00 on the Whites and 46.00 on I Rossoneri.

But one of them is going to make the quarter-finals.

And it would be a timely boost for the victor of this tieas both clubs come into the game on the back of a potentially damaging loss in their domestic leagues. Tottenham lost 1-0 to Wolves on Saturday, and Liverpool’s 7-0 dismantling of Manchester United means that Antonio Conte’s men have only a three-point cushion to protect their Champions League spot, and fifth-placed Liverpool have a game in hand.

Meanwhile, Stefano Pioli’s Milan have a similar problem. Having lost 2-1 away to Fiorentina at the weekend I Rossoneri dropped to fifth in the Serie A table when Roma beat Juventus 1-0 to go fourth.

The Champions League 2023 odds reckon it will be the Italians who are celebrating on Wednesday night, pricing them at 1.60 to make it through while their hosts are out at 2.33.

Talking Points

Both teams wary of old enemies

Spurs fans will be painfully aware that Olivier Giroud has been on great form with Milan, particularly in this competition where he has scored four goals and made two assists. The France star is his country’s all-time top scorer with 53 goals and, while Tottenham have been in a trophy desert for decades, Giroud was merrily picking up silverware for two of Spurs’ biggest rivals. As an Arsenal player he won three FA Cups and then with Chelsea he won the Champions League, the Europa League and another FA Cup.

I wonder why Giroud never went to Tottenham?! 

Of course Spurs do have a serial trophy winner in Croatian winger Ivan Perisic, a man Rossoneri fans know well as a Scudetto winner with Inter Milan. He also has Champions League and Bundesliga medals on his mantelpiece and he’s Spurs most decorated player. He’s also their most creative in this competition, with three assists.

Can Kane and Son re-ignite their partnership?

Defeat to Wolves followed a disappointing exit from the FA Cup for Spurs when they lost 1-0 to Championship promotion hopefuls Sheffield United. They won their previous two games, home London derbies against West Ham and Chelsea, both by 2-0.

After struggling for much of this season, Heung-Min Son has been showing signs of his past form in recent weeks. He has two goals in this competition and was unlucky not to score against Wolves when his shot hit the woodwork.

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Son’s partnership with Harry Kane has been the most prolific in the Premier League in recent years and, if they can click again then Tottenham’s season might still come to something. Kane has 18 goals in 26 league games and he is a key man in this fixture.

Conte will be without long-term absentees Hugo Lloris, Rodrigo Bentancur and Ryan Sessegnon.

Diaz doubtful for Milan

A 2-1 loss to La Viola was a blow to Milan after they have been on a run of four consecutive victories, particularly when Roma claimed that priceless fourth place when they beat the Old Lady. And Pioli had another piece of band news when attacking midfielder Brahim Diaz picked up an injury and he is unlikely to start against Spurs.

Winning scorer Brahim Diaz is unlikely to play for AC Milan's Champions League game against Tottenham
AC Milan’s Brahim Diaz celebrates after scoring a winning goal in their Champions League last 16 first leg tie with Tottenham Hotspur

But that’s the Rossoneri boss’s only concern and he has plenty of firepower at his disposal with Portuguese star Rafael Leao in fine form alongside Giroud. Leao has made 15 goals contributions in the Serie A this season and, while he has only scored one goal in seven appearances, he will be a constant threat to produce Champions League 2023 highlights on Wednesday.

History

Tottenham have had the better of the head to-head results with three wins to one and there has been one draw.

Of course Milan won the most recent meeting and their recent form is better, with four wins and two losses from the last six while Spurs have suffered four defeats and won the other two.

But the Whites have won the last three games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and that gives them the edge in this second leg. But will it be enough?

Betting Tip

At 1.96 to win the Whites are marginally odds on with Milan at 3.21 and the draw at 3.30, but I’m not convinced the hosts will take advantage.

Under 2.50 goals at a price of 1.85 caught my eye, but I think we may get to three goals as a draw is no good for Spurs, and I can’t see the hosts keeping out the Rossoneri attack.

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11-Mar 2023 Saturday 3:58 PM (404 days ago)            #37
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Champions League: Bayern Finish the Job on PSG

Paris Saint-Germain dropped out of the 2022/23 Champions League as they went down to a 2-0 defeat in Munich to a typically efficient Bayern.

So World Cup finalists Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe have had their time in the limelight and can turn their attention back to Ligue 1, while Bayern march on to the quarter-finals. 

A Kingsley Coman goal gave Bayern a 1-0 win in Paris which gave the French champions an uphill battle, but they started well as both Mbappe and Messi came close to levelling. But despite having the better of the first half PSG failed to get on even terms and paid the price in the second period.

Eric Choupo-Moting thought he’d broken the deadlock on 53 minutes but the celebrations were halted by a VAR check which found Thomas Muller in a marginally offside position. You’d think that intervention might spark something in the Parisiens but it was Bayern who responded and Choupo-Moting in particular, as he did notch the opener just eight minutes later. This time he took a pass from Leon Goretzka in the centre of the penalty area and fired a sweet shot into the bottom left corner. 

Mbappe forced a smart save from Yann Sommer low to his right and the Bayern keeper did well to keep out a header from Sergio Ramos but there was no way through for the visitors and Serge Gnabry, on as an 86th-minute substitute, made it two on the night and 3-0 on aggregate when he finished off a fast break.

The Champions League 2023 betting oddsback FC Bayern as one of the best bets to make it through to the semi-finals and, on this evidence, it looks a decent shout. 

Chelsea finally come good…with a little help from the VAR!

Possibly the biggest surprise of this week’s Champions League 2023 updateswas Chelsea’s effort to overturn a first-leg deficit and beat Borussia Dortmund 2-1 on aggregate. But there was a huge amount of controversy in the result surrounding the retake of Kai Havertz penalty in the 53rd minute.

Chelsea started brightly and they were rewarded before the break when Raheem Sterling met Ben Chilwell’s cutback, some ten yards out, with a searing strike which flew into the roof of the net. And the Blues had their golden chance to go ahead when Marius Wolf was, a little harshly, adjudged to have handled the ball when he got in the way of a Chilwell cross.

Kai Havertz and co. beat Borussia Dortmund in the second leg to seal a deserving Champions League turnaround for Chelsea
Chelsea’s Kai Havertz scores their second goal from the penalty spot during their Champions League game against BVB

Havertz hammered his spot kick against the post but, as the Yellow Wall celebrated, VAR stepped in and the away end fell silent. Players from both sides had encroached into the penalty area; a blue shirt seemed to be the most advanced but to the letter of the law a retake was the outcome.

Havertz took his chance a second time around and Chelsea hung on for the win, which takes a little pressure off head coach Graham Potter. But BVB’s England star Jude Bellingham was far from impressed, saying: “The fact they had a retake is a joke.”

Dortmund pressed for the crucial next goal but they failed, Bellingham firing the best chance wide.

Spurs out with a whimper

AC Milan are through to the quarter finals of the Champions League after protecting a 1-0 first leg lead at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium…without breaking sweat. Spurs boss Antonio Conte returned to the touchline having recovered from gallbladder surgery and I bet he hadn’t bothered as his men registered just two shots on target, a poor return for a team which started the game at SBOTOP oddsof 1.96 to win.

When Cristian Romero was red-carded on 77 minutes it was pretty much game up for Tottenham. Conte wasn’t amused as his defender, already on a yellow card, put in a crude challenge on Theo Hernandez and earned himself an early bath.

Both teams are under pressure in their domestic leagues, both pushing for a top-four place and, while this result is a boost to I Rossoneri it won’t have done much for Spurs. 

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Over 2.50 @ 1.77
Total Goals 2-3 @ 1.98
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Benfica batter Brugge

Roger Schmidt’s Benfica had no such problem hitting the target as the Pride of Lisbon put five past Club Brugge to send the Belgians out with an aggregate drubbing of 7-1.

The result meant that former Bournemouth manager Scott Parker has registered only two wins in his 12 games as head coach at Brugge and it turned out to be his last. His side held out for 38 minutes until Rafa Silva cut the visitors’ defence apart, leaving two defenders in his wake before smashing a left-foot strike into the net. Goncalo Ramos then helped himself to a brace with goals either side of the break as the floodgates opened. Joao Mario converted a penalty with 20 minutes remaining and David Neres completed the rout on 77. 

Bjorn Meijer scored the goal of the night with a stunner which flew into the top corner but it was little consolation for Brugge or their beleaguered boss, who was promptly sacked.

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14-Mar 2023 Tuesday 2:40 PM (401 days ago)            #38
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Champions League: Sky Blues Search for the Holy Grail

Manchester City vs RB Leipzig

It is no secret in Premier League circles that Manchester City’s priority is the Champions League, the big competition the Sky Blues have failed to land during a decade of domestic dominance.

Pep Guardiola’s team almost won it in 2021 as they entered a final against Chelsea as hot favourites, but they simply didn’t turn up. And now they are three steps away from another final as they welcome Red Bull Leipzig to the Etihad Stadium for a Round of 16 second leg clash with the tie balanced at 1-1.

Champions League: Manchester City vs Red Bull Leipzig brings together two of Europe’s heavyweights, in terms of finance as well as football. And the tie is finely balanced as Josko Gvardiol levelled in Leipzig after Riyad Mahrez had given the Sky Blues a first half lead. Marco Rose’s Leipzig arrive in Manchester on the back of a 3-0 home win against Borussia Monchengladbach, while Guardiola’s side made it four wins on the bounce with a hard earned 1-0 victory away to Crystal Palace.

Manchester City are the SBOTOP favourites to win the competition at a price of 2.80, with FC Bayern the biggest challenger at 3.50 and 2022 Champions Real Madrid in third at odds of 7.00.

But first, in their quest for European glory, the Sky Blues must see off Die Roten Bullen.

Talking Points

How can Red Bull stop Haaland?

City have goal threats all through their squad from centre back Nathan Ake to centre forward Erling Braut Haaland, who has scored five in five games in the Champions League and is well on the way to winning the Golden Boot in his first season in England.

Haaland is the hottest property in world football right now and, having spectacularly failed to reach the last eight of the Champions League, for the fifth time in seven seasons, Paris Saint-Germain are reported to be ready to splash out an eye watering £175m for the Norwegian scoring machine. But while the French media stokes up that story, Guardiola is keen to stress how cool, and settled, his star striker is as he breaks record after record.

Erling Haaland of Manchester City will try to help his team win against RB Leipzig in the Champions League second leg
Erling Haaland of Manchester City celebrates after the match against Crystal Palace in the Premier League

City’s visit to Selhurst Park was never going to be easy and Haaland missed a golden opportunity to break the deadlock. But when a penalty opportunity came, with time running out, he slotted it calmly home to give the champions a crucial three points. Gvardiol and Willi Orban are the centre backs who will stand up against Haaland and Julian Alvarez but that will be too hard a task… unless their team-mates can limit the supply. Guardiola rested Kevin De Bruyne at Selhurst Park, using the Belgian as a late substitute and Red Bull’s success relies on limiting his influence, as well as keeping a rejuvenated Phil Foden quiet.

Now that’s easier to write than it is to achieve, and left wingback David Raum will become a national hero if he can limit the supply from the right flank, while Konrad Laimer has a big role to play in the battle for midfield.

Nkunku in a race to be fit

In other Manchester City vs Red Bull Leipzig news there is serious doubt over the fitness of Red Bull star Christopher Nkunku in time for the clash on Tuesday. The France forward has struggled with injury and Red Bull fans are desperate to see him finish the season with a bang before he heads of to Chelsea in the summer.

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Nkunku missed out on the World Cup when he picked up a nasty knee injury while warming up with France and he made his comeback when he climbed off the bench during Red Bull’s 2-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt. But in the following game, a defeat to Borussia Dortmund, he limped off with s thing strain and missed out against Die Fohlen.

The 25 year old is Red Bull’s top scorer in the league with 12 goals, and he has three in the Champions League, top scoring alongside Andre Silva. Nkunku would be a big miss for Red Bull, and the scoring responsibility may fall on the shoulders of Timo Werner and Emil Forsberg, though Gvardiol is a threat from set pieces.

History

Manchester City have met Red Bull Leipzig three times and each team has won one, before the first leg stalemate. City came out on top in 2021 with a 7-5 aggregate win in the Champions League after beating Die Roten Bullen 6-3 at the Etihad.

Red Bull have had a set of mixed results in recent weeks with three wins, one draw and two defeats, while Manchester City are unbeaten in eight games and unbeaten in nine at the Etihad and the Manchester City vs Red Bull Leipzig betting odds are squarely behind the Sky Blues to win this tie; but where is the best value?

Betting Tip

At 1.32 to win the hosts are red hot favourites while the draw is at 4.74 and Red Bull are at 6.37. Guardiola’s men will be primed to go at their visitors from the off and I think they will breach Red Bull’s defence more than once.

For an alterative bet with longer odds, City to win 3-1 is priced at 8.44.

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14-Mar 2023 Tuesday 2:42 PM (401 days ago)            #39
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Champions League: Which Liverpool Will Turn up in Madrid?

Real Madrid vs Liverpool

Liverpool head to the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium on Wednesday, in the hope of overturning a three-goal deficit when they meet Real Madrid in a Champions League Round of 16 second leg.

A 5-2 thumping at Anfield makes this challenge look like a lost cause to all but the most optimistic Liverpool fan, but Jurgen Klopp’s side whacked Manchester United 7-0 last week, just two weeks after their nightmare against Madrid. But then any hopes that the Reds are about to embark on a fast finish to the campaign took another blow when they lost to relegation-threatened Bournemouth on Saturday.

Which must all be quite confusing for Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid.

Los Blancos have been on a more grounded route since these two teams last met, with hard-fought draws against Atletico Madrid and Real Betis in the league, before beating Espanyol 3-1 on Saturday.

The reigning European champions came back from 2-0 down to win 5-2 in the first leg at Anfield… and that will have crushed their opponents.

Talking Points

Vinicius aiming high 

Vinicius Junior is expected to help Real Madrid win their next Champions League match against Liverpool
Real Madrid’s Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring against Liverpool during the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie

The latest Champions League 2023 betting oddsrate both Manchester City and FC Bayern as a better bet to win the title than Los Blancos, but the way Ancelotti’s team destroyed Liverpool at Anfield suggests the two front runners should beware the Spaniards. 

Vinicius Junior, with six goals, is in the hunt for the Champions League Golden Boot. He is one behind Kylian Mbappe and two behind Mo Salah. PSG are already out of the competition and Liverpool are almost certainly about to follow them; so Vinicius is in pole position alongside Benfica’s Joao Mario, but it’s a competitive race with Manchester City’s Erling Braut Haaland in the picture.

He scored the first two goals in the fight back at Anfield and the opener in Los Blancos victory over Espanyol on Saturday and the 22-year-old Brazilian has shown what a great player he is, stepping up when talisman Karim Benzema was injured and he has already made 141 appearances for Los Blancos.

He has a big future ahead of him and Liverpool’s defenders will not be looking forward to meeting him again on Wednesday. 

Henderson the key man for Liverpool

After such a strong performance against the Red Devils, the Liverpool players looked lost in Bournemouth. The Cherries put in an impressive performance but they had a relatively easy ride as the Reds never reached the stage of bossing their hosts. Klopp started with a midfield of Fabinho and the two youngsters Stefan Bajcetic (18) and Harvey Elliott (19) and they struggled to dominate the relegation strugglers.

This is a game in which Liverpool cannot afford to take another spanking, and club skipper Jordan Henderson knows that as much as anyone. If Klopp chooses to bring in the box-to-box midfielder, alongside Fabinho, and give one of the kids a break, then I suspect the visitors will be more compact under pressure.

Liverpool do, of course, have a goal threat. Salah has eight goals in the competition and Darwin Nunez is starting to settle as a Liverpool striker, with four goals in Europe and he has eight in the Premier League.

But I think the visitors’ aim is to emerge from Madrid with their pride intact. 

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History

So this is a clash between the current Champions League champions and the 2019 champions. With 14 titles, and five in the last decade alone, Real Madrid are streets ahead of their nearest rivals, AC Milan with seven titles, while Liverpool are tied on six with FC Bayern.

Los Blancos’ 5-2 victory at Anfield has surely put paid to Liverpool’s hopes this season and that was the Spanish giants sixth victory from nine meetings with their English counterparts. In fact Real Madrid have won five of the last six meetings, The Reds’ best effort coming in a 0-0 draw in the 2021 competition.

In terms of recent form, over the last six games, there isn’t much to choose between these two teams. Real Madrid have won three, drawn two and lost one, a Copa del Rey defeat to Barcelona, while Liverpool have won three, drawn one and lost two.

Betting Tip 

They pulled off one of the Champions League 2023 resultsof the Round of 16 at Anfield and Real Madrid are favourites to win this game, at SBOTOPodds of 2.23, with the draw at 3.30 and Liverpool at 2.64.

It’s a fascinating clash which is hard to work out. It will only really come alive if Liverpool get one, or preferably two early strikes and, with two weeks before they play again, why not go for it?

Could this be another of Liverpool’s famous European nights?

The problem is that if the Reds are too adventurous Los Blancos could easily pick them off for another big tally.

But I suspect Madrid will shut this game down and, despite both teams having big score lines in recent weeks, eight of the last 12 games involving these two have yielded two goals or fewer.

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14-Mar 2023 Tuesday 2:47 PM (401 days ago)            #40
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Europa League: Will Gunners Give Lisbon A Sporting Chance?

Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon

Mikel Arteta’s high flying Arsenal host Sporting Lisbon on Thursday with a Europa League quarter final place at stake and, after drawing 2-2 in the first leg in Lisbon, the Gunners will have bags full of confidence.

At SBOTOP odds of 1.18 to get through to the quarter finals, the Premier League leaders are red hot favourites for this tie but, in Sporting Lisbon, they have an opponent in decent form, on a run of four wins in the league. Sporting head coach Ruben Amorim will tell his Lions of Lisbon they were ahead in the first leg and they can do it again; but Arsenal have been in superb form this season; they are holding off the mighty Manchester City in the Premier League and they will expect to beat Sporting on Thursday.

Both teams come into the game on the back of a comfortable 3-0 victory, Arsenal in a London derby away to Fulham while Sporting saw off Boavista at home, and I’m expecting to see goals in this winner takes all clash.

Talking Points

The story so far…

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The Portuguese side went toe to toe with their English visitors last week but the Gunners went ahead when William Saliba headed home from a Fabio Vieira corner at the mid point of the first half. Lisbon hit back when Goncalo Inacio levelled with a similar header from a set piece; and the hosts went ahead when Pedro Goncalves fired in a shot which Matt Turner could only parry and Paulinho tapped home the rebound.

The hosts would have held out for a famous victory but Granit Xhaka’s speculative shot was redirected by Hidemasa Morita into his own net. Both teams had plenty of chances, Arsenal winning the shot count by 14 to ten and seven to six on target.

Sporting showed plenty of ambition and they will not fear the Gunners in the second leg, but Arsenal showed great composure under pressure and kept their trophy hunt on track. The latest Europa League 2023 betting odds back the Gunners at 3.70 to win the trophy, behind Manchester United, the current favourites at 2.85, but there will be little to choose between the two Premier League giants, should Arsenal see off Sporting on Thursday.

The way the Gunners blew in-form Fulham away on Sunday the visitors can expect a Red onslaught from the off, but Sporting too have their Europa hopes burning brightly.

Sporting won’t sit back

Marcus Edwards impressed Europa League fans in the first leg of Sporting Lisbon's round of 16 tie against Arsenal
Marcus Edwards during the first leg of Sporting Lisbon’s Europa League round of 16 tie against Arsenal

Lisbon are sitting fourth in the Portuguese Primera Division with a five point gap to make up on third placed Sporting Braga, but they are on the charge having won the last four and they took that form into the first leg of this tie. They showed stacks of potential and matched the Gunners for much of the game and the Portuguese side will believe they can go deep into the competition if they can cope so well with Arsenal again.

Sporting have a dangerous attack, scoring 15 goals in the last six games and in striker Paulinho, they have an experienced goal scorer. And the stand out player from the first leg was 24 year old attacking midfielder Marcus Edwards. The Tottenham academy player and England U20 star was signed for a reported fee of £7m from Vitoria and he looked a real snip as he stretched the Arsenal defence with his speed and agility on the ball. His technical ability and passing range make Edwards an exciting player with his best years yet to come, and he will be keen to impress again when he comes up against his former North London rivals for a second time.

He’s a player sure to provide some more Europa League 2023 highlights and one the Gunners’ defence will watch closely.

History

Sporting are 19 times Portuguese champions and UEFA’s Cup Winners Cup champions back in 1964. Arsenal are 13 times English champions and they were Cup Winners Cup winners in 1994, and the winner of this tie has a good chance of adding another piece of silverware to their collection.

These two teams have met just three times, and Arsenal are unbeaten with one win and two draws.

In terms of recent form there is nothing to choose between them over the past six games, both winning five and drawing one; but Gunners fans will argue, with some merit, that their team is top of the toughest league in the world.

Betting Tip

At 1.35 to win the Gunners are heavily fancied for this one, while Sporting fans can back their side at 6.18 to win or 4.74 to draw in 90 minutes. I suspect Arteta’s team will come through but am pretty sure we’ll see some more goals.

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21-Mar 2023 Tuesday 12:44 PM (395 days ago)            #41
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Champions League: Napoli on the Verge to Make First Quarter-Finals

Napoli vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Napoli can make it to the Champions League quarter-finals for the first time ever, barring a huge comeback by Eintracht Frankfurt this Wednesday at the Diego Maradona Stadium.

The Serie A frontrunners won the first leg with a scoreline of 2-0, and the pre-game SBOTOP betting odds expect them to go through, especially since they’re in great form.

Eintracht Frankfurt are hoping to draw inspiration from their Cinderella run in the Europa League last season, but their recent form suggests that they won’t make a comeback, especially since one of their best players is unavailable.

However, anything can happen in the game of football, so the hosts cannot let their guard down even if they’ll be playing in front of their home fans.

Talking Points

Injury questions for Napoli

Luciano Spalletti is sweating on the fitness of defencive stalwarts Kim Min-Jae and Alex Meret, as both limped off the pitch in their 2-0 victory last week against Atalanta.

Pierluigi Gollini took Meret’s spot as the starting goalkeeper when Meret picked up an injury during the warm-up, while Kim was subbed off in the 76th minute and taped up with ice packs on the bench.

Meret and Kim are two of the main reasons why Napoli’s backline has been one of the best in Europe, and they both performed well in the first leg against Eintracht Frankfurt.

According to the latest Champions League 2023 news, Meret and Kim showed positive signs ahead of Wednesday’s clash because they trained with the team, although Spalletti might consider managing their load.

But regardless of whether Kim or Meret are available, Napoli are going to be led once again by the dynamic front duo of Victor Osimhen and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

Osimhen is linked to several big teams in Europe because of his outstanding play this season. The Capocannoniere frontrunner has 21 goals and four assists in all competitions.

Kvaratskhelia, meanwhile, has provided four assists in the Champions League this season, which is the most ever by a Napoli player in a single campaign. The Georgian winger has also created the most scoring chances after a ball carry of any Champions League player this term (16).

Eintracht Frankfurt are undermanned up front

Eintracht Frankfurt's Randal Kolo Muani will serve his suspension during the Champions League match against Napoli
Eintracht Frankfurt’s Randal Kolo Muani in action during the Champions League match against Napoli

In stark contrast, Eintracht Frankfurt are going to be thin up front, as Randal Kolo Muani will serve his suspension on Wednesday.

The Frenchman did well in the first leg, up until the 58th minute, when he lunged on Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa and was given a straight red.

It’s a major loss for Die Adler since he’s their best scorer this season, notching 13 goals and 10 assists across all competitions.

With Eric Ebimbe and Jesper Lindstrom also absent on Wednesday, Daichi Kamada, Mario Gotze, and Rafael Santos Borre will need to produce goals for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Kamada has 10 goals and four assists this season, and he is the club’s all-time top scorer in UEFA tournaments. However, Borre and Gotze only have four goals and five assists between them.

History

Napoli have won their last two games against German opposition in all European competitions, which is as many as they had in their previous 12 such matches (D3, L7). The first leg win was their first ever victory against Eintracht Frankfurt after losing their previous two meetings.

I Partenopei have scored 22 goals in the Champions League this year. The last time a Serie A club netted more in a single campaign was in 2002-03, with Juventus tallying 30 and Inter Milan recording 26.

Eintracht Frankfurt defeated Napoli the last time they were on the road with a scoreline of 1-0 back in the 1994-95 UEFA Cup. Die Adler came out on top with a 2-0 aggregate tally.

Die Adler have also scored in all three of their Champions League away games thus far, generating five goals (W2, L1).

Betting Tip

The Champions League 2023 odds predict that Napoli will progress to the elite eight because of their formidable record at home. I Partenopei are installed at 1.46 to win, while Die Adler are the underdogs at 5.60.

But as far as this match is concerned, we’re going for a draw at 4.20 since Napoli don’t need to reach top gear to book their place in the quarter-finals. The hosts should be alright as long as Eintracht Frankfurt don’t outscore them by three goals. Speaking of goals, perhaps we might see a few more from this fixture. Betting for Total Goal 2-3 at 1.93 or even Correct Score 1-1 at 7.80 is not a bad idea.

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21-Mar 2023 Tuesday 12:46 PM (395 days ago)            #42
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Golden Oldies and New Kid on the Block Dominate Champions League Narrative

Sixteen have now become eight in the Champions League and Europe’s elite will find out where their next adventure takes them in Friday’s quarter-final draw.

However, whatever fate awaits clubs from England, Italy, Germany, Portugal and Spain, this week was all about one set of golden oldies and a player at the other end of the age spectrum who may well be remembered as such by the time his career draws to a close.

While it should be some time before that stage is reached, it will probably also be some time before his record-breaking exploits of this week are matched.

In the words of respected journalist Henry Winter, Erling Braut Haaland was unplayable. Hat-trick. Nerveless pen, then fast reactions for two more. Manchester City – terrific, such energy and pace.

Erling Haaland has scored five goals to lead Man City against RB Leipzig in the Champions League Round of 16
Manchester City star Erling Haaland celebrates after scoring five goals during their Champions League game against RB Leipzig

That the Norwegian striker, described as exceptional by his manager, became only the third player to score five in the Champions League, following Luiz Adriano in 2014 and Lionel Messi in 2012, and the 10th since the European Cup’s inception, was one thing.

But for him to break the club’s single-season goal record as the champions of England demolished RB Leipzig was quite another.

City beat the Bundesliga side 8-1 on aggregate and Haaland now has 33 Champions League strikes in 25 appearances – the youngest player, at 22 years and 236 days, to reach 30 goals in the tournament.

In the process he eclipsed Tommy Johnson’s 38 City goals in 1928-29, his quintet coming across 35 minutes, while the victory, in which Ilkay Gündogan and Kevin De Bruyne also scored, equalled the club’s best in the competition.

In fact, when he left the pitch after 63 minutes, Haaland had taken eight shots, all eight on target, scored five goals and completed 11 passes.

Whether or not any more records fall this season, the plaudits will surely continue when the player of the season gongs are handed out.

Joining City in the quarter-finals are Inter Milan.

The two Milan giants may be well adrift in the Serie A title race this term but both are through to the last eight.

Inter goalkeeper André Onana made several crucial saves as a goalless draw in Porto secured their progression and helped them reach the quarter-finals of the competition for the first time since 2011, when they were holders.

Napoli made it three Serie A clubs in the last eight for the first time since 2006 with plenty more to spare as the runaway league leaders despatched Europa League winners Eintracht Frankfurt with ease.

The in-form Victor Osimhen was their main man yet again, scoring twice either side of the break with his second proving to be Napoli’s 24th in this season’s competition.

Piotr Zielinski added a third with a calmly taken penalty for a team which has been creating Champions League 2023 highlights all season, ever since thrashing last season’s beaten finalists Liverpool 4-1 in their opening group match in September.

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TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR
1X2 Southampton @ 3.90
Over 2.50 @ 2.07
Total Goal 0-1 @ 2.97
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

The Merseyside club won’t be returning to the final this season after reigning champions Real Madrid caused yet more Mersey misery to knock out Jurgen Klopp’s men for a third successive season.

After a superb 5-2 first-leg victory three weeks ago, the SBOTOP Champions League 2023 betting odds were always stacked in favour of Carlo Ancelotti’s aces and so it proved.

Led by their ‘golden oldies’ of Karim Benzema and Luka Modric, they controlled long spells of this contest and the outcome never seemed in doubt even before the Frenchman netted the only goal of the contest 11 minutes from time.

Only Lionel Messi (27) has scored as many Champions League goals against English opposition as Benzema (19) and seven of those have come against Liverpool.

The only potential downside for Ancelotti was the world player of the year hurting himself while scoring and having to be replaced, four days before a potentially crucial El Clasico in La Liga.

Liverpool’s 6-2 aggregate loss is actually their heaviest margin of defeat over two legs of a Champions League knockout tie.

Considered past their best by this SBOTOP observer, I was delighted to be proved wrong as Real saw off all before them last season and it appears only Bayern Munich and City may be capable of stopping them as we approach the business end of this tournament.


 

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21-Mar 2023 Tuesday 12:47 PM (395 days ago)            #43
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Champions League: Manchester City and FC Bayern Set to Collide

When the Champions League draw was made on Friday, at the house of European Football in Switzerland, one fixture stood out immediately:

Manchester City vs FC Bayern

Yes, the two favourites to win the title have been drawn together at the quarter-final stage, which opens up the competition a little. The Champions League 2023 betting odds still back Pep Guardiola’s Sky Blues to win the tournament, at a price of 3.20, but Julian Nagelsmann’s Bayern have been toppled from second place by Italy’s runaway league leaders Napoli who are in to odds of 4.15 while the Germans are 4-50.

The Sky Blues destroyed Red Bull Leipzig, 8-1 on aggregate, to reach the quarter-finals while FC Bayern eased through a Round of 16 clash with Paris Saint-Germain. It’s the first time the two teams have met since 2014 when Guardiola was the Bayern head coach and now he must find a way to mastermind a win against his old charges.

For the Sky Blues this is the Holy Grail, the competition they are desperate to win whereas the Bundesliga giants have won it six times, and that puts a little more pressure on the favourites. The winners of this tie will go on to meet Chelsea or Real Madrid in the semi-finals while Napoli or AC Milan will face Benfica or Inter Milan.

The final will be at the Ataruk Olympic Stadium in Turkey on 10th July and only one of these two giants can be there.

Players to watch:

Erling Braut Haaland: Manchester City Ten goals in the Champions League and 39 in total is an incredible return for the Norwegian goal machine who is the youngest player, at 22 years and 236 days, to reach 30 goals in Europe’s premier competition. He scored five as City blew the Red Bulls away and Haaland has moreChampions League 2023 highlights in his locker.

Premier League
ARSENAL
CRYSTAL PALACE
1X2 Arsenal 1.24
Arsenal Asia Handicap -2.00 @ 2.38
Over 2.50 @ 1.77
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Jamal Musiala : FC Bayern The Bavarians’ winger burst onto the international stage at the World Cup with Germany and his pace, trickery and vision make him one of the best young players in the world.

AC Milan vs Napoli

18 points clear at the top of Serie A, Napoli have the Scudetto in sight and they have little to fear in this competition as they face Milan in the quarters. I Rossoneri are rank outsiders at a price of 22.00 to win the tournament while Gli Azzurri have moved from being dark horses to serious contenders.

Players to watch:

Victor Osimhen: Napoli With 43 goals in 73 games the Nigerian hitman has become one of the most feared strikers in the world. He scored twice in Napoli’s 3-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt in the Round of 16 and is ready to take on Europe.

Can Victor Osimhen score again in the Champions League Quarterfinals against AC Milan?
Napoli’s Victor Osimhen in action during their UCL match against Eintracht Frankfurt

Fikayo Tomori : AC Milan Former Chelsea centre back Tomori has become one of the most accomplished centre backs in Serie A and he will have the task of stopping Osimhen…lucky him!

Real Madrid vs Chelsea

Graham Potters Blues have been matched with 14 times winners Real Madrid for the third Champions League in succession. The Premier League club beat Los Blancos on the way to their 2021 trophy win, but the Spaniards extracted their revenge last season.

At SBOTOP odds of 8.00 to win the tournament Carlo Ancelotti’s team has drifted to fourth favourites and an improving Chelsea can cause them problems.

Players to watch:

Vinicius Junior: Real Madrid In his eight games in Europe this season Vinicius has scored six goals and made three assists. At odds of 8.00, the young Brazilian is the closest to Haaland in the competition to be top scorer ns his pace will test the Blues’ defence.

Joao Felix: Chelsea Portuguese star Joao Felix is one of a number of big money signings to land at Stamford Bridge and he is starting to show his potential, linking up well with another new boy Enzo Fernandez.

Benfica vs Inter Milan

They are leading their domestic league by eight points, have lost just once this season and are on a ten match winning run, so nobody will be taking Benfica lightly. Opponents Inter are not in great form, with three wins from the last six and this is a finely balanced tie.

Players to watch:

Joao Maria: Benfica With six goals and two assists in the competition Maria is still in the hunt for the Golden Boot and he is the player I Nerazzurri will be most wary of. Benfica are the second highest scorers in the competition and their main man is a striker bang in form.

Denzel Dumfries: Inter Milan His displays for the Netherlands in Qatar revealed Dumfries to be a fine defender and a brilliant wing-back, with a final ball as good as any and a wicked shot in his armoury.

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

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08-Apr 2023 Saturday 11:00 AM (377 days ago)            #44
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Europa League Draw has Definitive ‘Strong’ Side

There was certainly one similarity between the quarter-final draws for the Champions League and Europa League on Friday.

That was that it produced one really strong side of the draw – what you may consider equivalent to a ‘group of death’ – and another where some of the supposed ‘less fancied sides have been placed.

That is not to say any of the eight quarter-finalists in Europe’s second-tier competition are not there on merit, nor are pushovers.

Yet if you consider that three of four teams this Sbotop writer considers the favourites have been potentially paired together, then it could leave the competition wide open for a surprise.

There already has been one big surprise, of course, after Belgian team Union Saint-Gilloise shocked Union Berlin with a 3-0 victory to advance as 6-3 aggregate winners – a result which sparked scenes of delight amongst the home faithful.

UEFA – Champions League
MANCHESTER CITY
BAYERN MUNICH
1X2 Manchester City 1.90
Manchester City Asia Handicap -0.50 @ 1.91
Over 2.75 @ 1.83
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

When you assess the Europa League betting odds, you can see why they are the least fancied of those remaining in the tournament but, if they can despatch the team which knocked out Ajax and is faring well in the Bundesliga, then why should another German outfit in Bayer Leverkusen hold any fear.

Likewise, Feyenoord can await their test with Roma, conquerors of Real Sociedad, with confidence after they equaled the record for the biggest Europa League knockout win.

Their 7-1 thrashing of Shakhtar Donetsk on Thursday evening not only secured an 8-2 aggregate success but matched Lyon’s victory over AZ Alkmaar by the same scoreline in 2017.

That is one side of the draw; the other is what I consider to be the ‘strong’ pool.

Certainly, Juventus can focus all their attentions on this competition as a way to reach next season’s Champions League.

It is their only realistic path after they were docked points domestically by an Italian football court investigating their transfer dealings.

They are appealing their 15-point Serie A deduction but, if unsuccessful, the Bianconeri will know success in this competition will pave the way for them to return to Europe’s top tier next term.

They will meet Sporting Lisbon, who thrillingly knocked out Arsenal in the quarter-finals, at a time when Max Allegri’s squad appears to be strengthened with the likes of Federico Chiesa, Angel Maria, and Paul Pogba possibly all back for this encounter.

And that leaves one tie between Manchester United and Sevilla, who edged out Fenerbahce of Turkey.

Joan Jordan and Erik Lamela's goals in the first leg of the Europa League secured Sevilla's spot in the quarter-finals
Sevilla’s Alex Telles in action with Fenerbahce’s Michy Batshuayi

Now, granted, the current Sevilla side may lack the depth in class of some of their more recent teams, but there is a reason they have triumphed in this competition a record six times – most recently three years ago when they saw off Inter Milan in an exciting final.

Their pedigree is clear and all of those successes have been since 2006 so, even accounting for their lowly league position this term, here is a team which knows how to deliver Europa League highlights.

In addition, Sevilla knocked the Red Devils out at the semi-final stage in 2020 after sending them packing in the Champions League two seasons previously.

On saying that, United have already despatched Barcelona and Real Betis enroute to here so the 2017 winners – who also met Sociedad in the group stages – can look forward to facing Spanish opposition for a seventh and eighth time in mid-April.

Who will come out on top?

It is hard to tell but the smart money will be on United, Juventus, Roma and Leverkusen reaching the last four.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 4:36 PM (366 days ago)            #45
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Europa League: Old Lady Looking to Take Lead over Sporting Lisbon

Juventus vs Sporting Lisbon

Juventus are back in the quarter-finals of the Europa League for the first time since they last played in the competition in 2013-14.

The Old Lady of Turin appears unlikely to make the Champions League through their league place after getting hit with a 15-point penalty, so winning the Europa League could be their best chance of getting in.

But standing in their way are Sporting Club de Portugal, who are riding an 11-game unbeaten run in all competitions and defied the Europa League 2023 odds by knocking out Premier League leaders Arsenal in the previous round.

Talking Points

Juventus need to bounce back after recent setbacks

Juventus have hit a bit of a rough patch. After winning five games in a row – including both legs of their round-of-16 tie against Freiburg – and winning 11 of 13 games, Juve have failed to win back-to-back matches.

They were held to a 1-1 draw by Inter Milan in the Coppa Italia after a late Romelu Lukaku penalty. Then they lost 2-1 away to Lazio, which dealt a major blow to their faint top-four hopes.

Max Allegri has been unable to get much from two of his star attackers, Dusan Vlahovic and Federico Chiesa. The two former Fiorentina forwards have had disappointing seasons; Vlahovic, the team’s leading scorer, has just 11 goals this season, while Chiesa has just two.

Although, the two did score in their 2-0 win at Freiburg to seal their 3-0 aggregate win in the Europa League round of 16.

Amid the Juve attackers’ struggles, Adrien Rabiot has stepped up for the Old Lady. The French midfielder scored once again at Lazio as he upped his tally to 10 goals this season.

Can Angel di Maria score a goal for Juventus in their upcoming Europa League match against Sporting Lisbon?
Juventus’ Angel Di Maria during the warm up before their Serie A clash against Lazio

Meanwhile, Angel Di Maria has also provided his fair share of Europa League 2023 highlights. The Argentine has scored eight goals this season, half of which have come in three Europa League games.

The Allianz Stadium has been a fortress for Juve of late. They have gone unbeaten in their last eight home games, with six wins and two draws.

Sporting unbeaten run up to 11 straight games

Sporting Lisbon are well behind rivals Benfica and Porto in the Portuguese league this season. The Lions are down in fourth, 24 points back of leaders Benfica.

But Ruben Amorim has dramatically turned Sporting’s form around in recent months. Since the start of their Europa League play-off against Midtjylland, Sporting have gone unbeaten in 11 straight games.

They thrashed Midtjylland 5-1 on aggregate and then delivered the shock of shocks when they knocked out Premier League leaders Arsenal on penalties in the round of 16.

Sporting are coming off a 4-3 win away to Casa Pia AC over the weekend. Barcelona loanee Francisco Trincao was the star of the show as he scored a hat-trick, while leading scorer Pote had a goal and two assists.

Pote has been brilliant this season with 17 goals – none bigger than his equaliser against Arsenal in the second leg – as well as 9 assists.

Sporting are on a sensational run away from home. They are unbeaten in their last nine away games, with seven wins and two draws.

Premier League
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NEWCASTLE UNITED
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History

This will only be the third meeting between Juventus and Sporting. The two sides previously faced off in the group stage of the 2017-18 Champions League campaign. Juve won 2-1 and drew 1-1 in Portugal.

Sporting have significant problems facing Italian clubs in Europe. They have not won any of their 15 European matches against Italian opposition, with four draws and 11 defeats.

However, they have lost just once in their last six away games in Europe, with two wins and three draws.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Juventus installed as 1.83 favourites to get the first-leg win at home. Sporting are priced at 3.85, while a draw is 3.40. While Juventus are always formidable at home, it is unwise to underestimate Sporting. The Portuguese have the potential to pull off a surprise. And while beating Juve in Turin may be a tough task, I fancy them to at least get a positive result in the first leg.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 4:38 PM (366 days ago)            #46
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Champions League: Unbeaten Benfica Set to Battle Slumping Inter

Benfica vs Inter Milan

Two titans of European football meet once again as Benfica host Inter Milan in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie. The two sides famously met in the 1965 European Cup final, which Inter won 1-0 at the San Siro.

But the Nerazzurri, who defeated Portuguese champions Porto in the previous round, will come into this quarter-final tie in horrendous form as they’ve gone winless in their last six games.

And now they will face a Benfica side that is still unbeaten in this year’s competition and will look to swing the Champions League 2023 odds in their favour at the Estadio da Luz.

Talking Points

Benfica still unbeaten in this year’s Champions League

Benfica have been quite literally unbeatable in the Champions League this season. Despite starting their campaign in the qualifying rounds, they remain unbeaten in 12 games, with 10 wins and two draws – both against Paris Saint-Germain in the group stage. They also defeated Juventus in both group games and crushed Club Brugge 7-1 on aggregate in the round of 16.

Benfica boss Roger Schmidt was handed a massive blow with the sale of key midfielder Enzo Fernandez to Chelsea during the January transfer window. But the Eagles have remained dominant despite the Argentine’s departure.

La Liga
RAYO VALLECANO
ATLETICO MADRID
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They have lost just twice without Enzo. One was on penalties in the Portuguese Cup when they finished with just nine men. And the other was on the weekend at home to fierce rivals Porto, although Benfica still have a comfortable seven-point lead atop the table.

Benfica are still without attacking midfielders Julian Draxler and Goncalo Guedes, who remain out injured. But Schmidt still has a wealth of attacking options he can call upon against Inter.

21-year-old Goncalo Ramos is the team’s primary threat with 20 goals this season, but he has not been their main man for Champions League 2023 highlights. Former Inter Milan midfielder Joao Mario is the club’s top scorer in the competition with six goals, while Rafa Silva has scored five.

Inter Milan in disastrous form

Inter Milan are in utter disarray at the moment. The Nerazzurri have not won in their last six games, with three losses and three draws in all competitions, as the pressure mounts on coach Simone Inzaghi.

Even Inter’s round of 16 win over Porto was unconvincing as they were arguably outplayed over the two legs.

Inter were held to a 1-1 draw by Salernitana over the weekend as they continue to lose ground in the tight top-four race.

The one piece of good news for Inter is that Romelu Lukaku continues to show signs of returning to top form. The Belgian supplied the assist in Inter’s opening goal against Salernitana and hit the woodwork.

Romelu Lukaku will try to score goals for Inter Milan against Benfica in the Champions League quarter final first leg
Romelu Lukaku celebrates the first goal of Inter Milan against Juventus in Coppa Italia

He also scored in the Coppa Italia against Juventus, bagged a hat-trick for Belgium against Sweden during the international break, and got the decisive goal against Porto in the Champions League round of 16.

But while Lukaku is getting back to his best, strike partner Lautaro Martinez is in the midst of another scoring drought. After his red-hot run after returning from the World Cup, the Argentine striker has scored just one goal in his last nine games.

Centre-back Milan Skriniar and midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu missed the Salernitana match due to injury, and they remain questionable to return against Benfica. Matteo Darmian and Henrikh Mkhitaryan will be the main options to start should Skriniar and Calhanoglu miss out again.

History

Aside from their famous European Cup final meeting in 1965, Benfica and Inter met two other times before. Those came in the last 16 of the 2003-04 UEFA Cup. Inter emerged victorious from that tie with a win and a draw over the two legs.

Benfica beat Juventus in both of their Champions League group stage matches this season. But before that, they had a terrible record against Italian opposition, with just two wins, two draws and seven defeats in 11 games.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Benfica installed as slight 2.19 favourites to win the first leg at home. Inter are priced at 3.00 while a draw is 3.20.

It’s hard to back Inter to get a positive result from their trip to Portugal given their poor form of late. Benfica have been brilliant in the Champions League thus far and have the attacking talent to trouble Inter’s inconsistent defence.

Look for Benfica to beat struggling Inter and take some sort of advantage into the second leg at the San Siro.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 4:40 PM (366 days ago)            #47
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Champions League: Can Guardiola Outsmart Tuchel This Time?

Manchester City vs Bayern Munich

Manchester City host FC Bayern at the Etihad on Tuesday in the Champions League tie of the round, and one which might well produce the tournament winner. 

The Sky Blues are targeting the European competition as their highest priority, while FC Bayern are aiming for a seventh title, last winning the trophy in 2020. Bayern boss Thomas Tuchel beat Pep Guardiola to lead Chelsea to the 2021 Champions League title and his recent arrival in Bavaria adds extra intrigue to this tie, as he could be the man to deprive City of their Holy Grail for a second time.

Tuchel readily talks about the influence Guardiola has had on his coaching style so there is an element of the ‘master and his apprentice’ in this game…but they are on the level now and over 180 minutes both will believe they will win. At SBOTOP odds of 1.66 to win this tie, Manchester City are clear favourites but at 2.25 FC Bayern are in no way a long shot.

The latest Champions League betting odds say the Sky Blues are favourites at a price of 3.25 to win the European crown, with Napoli second at 4.30 and FC Bayern at 4.60, so this is the box office battle of the tournament so far. The Sky Blues made it to the quarter finals with a brutal battering of Bayern’s Bundesliga rivals Red Bull Leipzig, while the Germans outwitted Paris Saint-Germain to reach the last eight.

It doesn’t get much bigger than this! 

Talking Points

The Blue Moon is rising

Manchester City's Jack Grealish aims to score against Bayern Munich in the Champions League
Jack Grealish in action during Manchester City’s match against Southampton

A 4-1 victory away to bottom club Southampton made it nine wins on the bounce for Manchester City and they are now playing the best football of their campaign. The Sky Blues have won their last four games in scintillating style, scoring 21 goals and conceding two, including that 7-0 annihilation of Leipzig.

Erling Braut Haaland returned to action from a groin strain to score his 30th goal of the Premier League season in the win over the Saints and he has plundered ten goals from six games in this competition. Any thoughts that the arrival of Haaland has unbalanced the Sky Blues are starting to disappear now; sometimes these things take time. And another arrival, Argentine striker Julian Alvarez has had to be patient, but he has always performed when given the chance and he bagged his seventh goal for City on Sunday.

He has so much talent at his disposal but one player Guardiola expects to make some big Champions League 2023 highlights is attacking midfielder Jack Grealish. The former Aston Villa man seemed a little weighed down by his £100m price tag last term but now City have the player they paid so much for: quick-footed, outrageously skilful and with the sprinkling of magic dust that Sky Blues fans so love. With Kevin De Bruyne hitting top form again and the likes of Riyad Mahrez, Phil Foden and Bernard Silva in the running this is one heck of an attacking unit.

Bayern can win on the wing

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So how can Bayern, or anyone for that matter, combat the Sky Blues? Well, they need to be at their best and hope that City have an off day, but Tuchel will have noticed that Guardiola’s 3-2-4-1 line-up can be exposed on the wing during quick transitions. While Manchester City totally dominated Southampton for much of their match, the Saints winger Kamaldeen Sulemana had plenty of success on both flanks later in the game and Bayern’s wide men, Leroy Sane, Serge Gnabry and Jamal Musiala could all pose a threat in the same way.

If they can, then forwards Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting and Thomas Muller may get enough service to puncture the Sky Blues defence… but they will have to be ruthless.

Matthijs de Ligt gave new boss Thomas Tuchel his second win at the club when he smashed home a beauty from distance to earn the Bundesliga leaders a 1-0 win away to Freiburg. But the boss will expect his centre back to have a busy time in his own half, particularly in this first tie.

History

In terms of head to heads there is nothing to choose between these two giants, each winning five of their ten previous meetings, the Sky Blues winning a pre-season friendly to draw level.

In terms of recent form City are stronger, unbeaten in 12 and unbeaten is 12 at the Etihad, and they are on that nine game winning streak, while Die Bayern have won seven and lost two over that period.

Betting Tip

At a price of 1.73 to win this first leg the Sky Blues really need to head to Bavaria in control of the tie, while Bayern would be happy with a draw at odds of 3.59; an ecstatic if they can nudge ahead at 3.68. It’s going to be a fantastic tie; which I think will lean towards Manchester.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 4:44 PM (366 days ago)            #48
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Champions League: AC Milan, Napoli Seek Advantage in All-Italian Affair

AC Milan vs Napoli

Reigning Italian champions AC Milan are set to host their soon-to-be successors, Serie A champions-elect Napoli, in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie.

The Rossoneri rocked Napoli with a 4-0 thrashing at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona earlier this month – by far the Azzurri’s heaviest defeat of the season.

But the Champions League 2023 odds will favour the Neapolitans, who are now plotting their revenge on the Rossoneri as they look to get the early advantage in this all-Italian quarter-final.

Talking Points

Milan back in Champions League last 8

AC Milan are back. The seven-time European champions are in the Champions League quarter-finals for the first time since 2012 after edging out an uninspired Tottenham side 1-0 on aggregate in the round of 16.

Milan’s quarter-final berth is a silver lining in what has been a disastrous title defence in Serie A. They are currently 22 points back of Napoli with just nine games left to play.

Milan are coming off a goalless draw at home against Empoli over the weekend as they remain just one point ahead of rivals Inter for the fourth and final Champions League spot.

Although, coach Stefano Pioli opted to rest key attackers Rafael Leao, Brahim Diaz, and Olivier Giroud ahead of the Champions League clash with Napoli.

Diaz and Leao were absolutely brilliant in Naples earlier this month as they tore Napoli apart 4-0. Leao bagged a brace while Diaz had a goal and an assist.

French defender Pierre Kalulu has missed the last couple of games due to a calf injury, but he is hoping to return against Napoli. Malick Thiaw made the start against Empoli, but the more experienced Simon Kjaer may be preferred to start should Kalulu fail to get fit in time.

Osimhen nearing return for Napoli

Napoli are in their first Champions League final in club history after thumping Europa League champions Eintracht Frankfurt 5-0 over two legs. Star striker Victor Osimhen ran riot as he scored three of the five goals.

However, Osimhen has not featured since picking up a groin injury during the international break and missed the most recent match against Milan. But Napoli manager Luciano Spalletti sounded positive that Osimhen could make his return against the Rossoneri.

Victor Osimhen gears up ahead of Napoli's crucial Champions League match against AC Milan
Napoli star Victor Osimhen celebrates after scoring a goal in their Champions League Round of 16 game against Eintracht Frankfurt

Needless to say, Osimhen’s return to the lineup would be a huge boost for Napoli. The Nigerian is having a magnificent season, with 25 goals in 29 appearances in all competitions.

But in case Osimhen is not quite ready to play, Giacomo Raspadori and Giovanni Simeone are both capable of creating Champions League 2023 highlights. The two reserve strikers have been out of form of late, with just two goals between them in 2023. But they have consistently raised their games in the Champions League, where they have scored four goals each.

And of course, there is still Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. The Georgian did not have the greatest round of 16 against Frankfurt as he had one assist and missed a penalty. But he has been brilliant in the Champions League, with two goals and four assists to his name in seven games.

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History

The two sides split their Serie A meetings this season, with the away side winning on both occasions. The away side has now won each of their last six matches, which is an interesting trend.

Prior to their run of away wins, Milan had beaten Napoli just once over an 18-game stretch in Serie A, with eight draws and nine defeats. Milan’s last home win against Napoli came back in a Coppa Italia clash in 2019; they have drawn three and lost five of their last eight games at the San Siro.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Napoli installed as slight 2.44 favourites to win the first leg of this all-Italian tie. Milan are priced at 2.76, while a draw is 3.05.

Osimhen’s fitness will obviously be huge. If he’s back to 100 per cent, Napoli should come away from Milan with the advantage.

However, the Nigerian might just be a bit rusty after his layoff, which could give Milan the chance to snatch a first-leg stalemate.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 4:57 PM (366 days ago)            #49
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Europa League: Will Manchester United Break the Sevilla Curse?

Manchester United vs Sevilla FC

Manchester United will take on record six-time winners Sevilla in the Europa League quarter-finals, and this is the Red Devils’ best chance of finally putting an end to the so-called “Sevilla Curse.”

The Red Devils have a troubled history with Los Palanganas, which was encapsulated by Jose Mourinho’s famous “football heritage” rant back in 2018.

But under Erik ten Hag this season, Manchester United have made significant progress, already winning the EFL Cup a few months ago, and they’ll be looking for more silverware.

Sevilla may have been a shell of themselves this campaign, but this isn’t an easy tie at all for the hosts, even if the pre-game SBOTOP betting odds have them as the huge favourites to win.

Talking Points

Is Rashford fit to play?

Manchester United’s demanding schedule isn’t about to get any easier, and it may be wearing them down mentally and physically.

Erik ten Hag was not in a great mood despite being fresh from a 2-0 win against Everton. He blamed their schedule for their worrying injury list, as they’re still competing in three different competitions (the FA Cup, the Premier League, and the Europa League).

The Red Devils’ latest casualty is Marcus Rashford, who limped off the field against Everton on Saturday. Although the 25-year-old winger claimed on social media that he still had plenty of gas in the tank, it appeared like he had injured his groin.

Marcus Rashford will likely miss Manchester United’s Europa League game vs Sevilla due to injury
Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford in action with Brentford’s Ethan Pinnock during their recent Premier League game

Rashford is in the form of his life, as he has been Manchester United’s top scorer this season, recording 28 goals in all competitions.

Erik ten Hag may decide to place Rashford on the sidelines in order to prevent further damage. However, with Anthony Martial, Christian Eriksen, and Casemiro all expected to return to the starting XI, Manchester United should still have enough weapons.

Martial got back on the scoresheet in his substitute appearance against the Toffees, while Eriksen came off the bench too.

Casemiro has also now served his four-match suspension in the Premier League. Because he hasn’t played in a while, the Brazilian enforcer should have fresh legs underneath him on Thursday.

But Manchester United’s man of the match is going to be Bruno Fernandes. The Portuguese talisman is expected to create new Europa League 2023 highlights because he has been directly involved in 27 goals across 37 European appearances for the Red Devils (13 goals and 14 assists).

Sevilla’s away form is a major problem

The Europa League is the only semblance of hope for Sevilla given their underwhelming 2022-23 campaign. They’ve already switched coaches twice, but not much has changed, as they’re only five points above the La Liga drop zone.

In European competitions, Sevilla are currently winless in 11 away games (D5, L6), including a three-game losing streak. With Old Trafford turning into a fortress, Sevilla might lose four consecutive away matches in Europe for the first time since February 2016.

Manchester United will have to key in on Youssef En-Nesyri and Marcos Acuna on Thursday. En-Nesyri is Sevilla’s top scorer with 10 goals so far this season, while Acuna will look to make things right after receiving a red card against Celta Vigo last weekend.

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History

Manchester United have yet to beat Sevilla in European competition.

In the 2017-18 Champions League Round of 16, the Red Devils drew once and lost once. And then, in the 2019-20 Europa League semi-finals, Sevilla beat Manchester United with a score of 2-1.

After overcoming Manchester United in the semi-finals of the Europa League, Sevilla won their sixth championship by defeating Inter Milan 3-2.

Except for Leicester City in the 2016–17 Champions League and West Ham in the Europa League last season, Sevilla have advanced from six of their previous eight knockout matches against English teams.

This year, Manchester United became the second club to face four different sides from the same country in a major European tournament (Real Sociedad, Barcelona, Real Betis, and Sevilla). Leeds United were the last team to experience this in the 2000-01 Champions League.

Betting Tip 

Manchester United will like their chances against Sevilla on Thursday after taking a look at the latest Europa League 2023 odds. They’re installed to win at 1.40, whereas Sevilla are the underdogs at 6.40, and a draw is at 4.30 in the 1X2 market.Sevilla may have been the bogey team for Manchester United, but Erik ten Hag and co. have come far enough that they’ll be able to get another win at Old Trafford.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 5:53 PM (366 days ago)            #50
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Champions League: Calm Champions Host Unorganised Chaos

Real Madrid vs Chelsea

In one corner is one of the best managers in football history, an accomplished professional still at the height of his power.

In the other is someone who is a rookie and is now a caretaker after being dismissed from his last two roles.

The former is a wily, astute Italian; the latter widely criticised at more than one club for disorganised and leaky defences.

The fact he was a key figure in midfield when the aforementioned spent two years as his boss in the dugout in West London adds another line to this unlikely match-up.

The Champions League quarter-final has thrown up a contest between Carlo Ancelotti – four-times winner of the competition as manager – and Frank Lampard, out of work until less than week ago.

So, what happens now?

Talking Points

Frank Lampard first Champions League match back in Chelsea will be against Real Madrid
Frank Lampard during Chelsea’s match against Wolverhampton Wanderers

Well Real Madrid see off Chelsea with an array of Champions League highlights, of course.

Never mind that this is the last eight of Europe’s premier cup competition.

In terms of two clubs, the contrast is vast: one seems calm and controlled, the other chaotic.

Real Madrid may have given up on their hopes of retaining the La Liga title, but they have already claimed the European Super Cup, World Club Championship and last week reached the final of the Spanish Super Cup after thrashing Barcelona on their own turf.

Of course, the Champions League has long been the trophy the club craves most of all and Ancelotti will have his sights set on more silverware.

He led Chelsea to the Premier League and FA Cup double in 2010 and was harshly dismissed a year later after his team were runners-up in the title race.

How Chelsea would relish to be in such a position now.

Yes, they have badly missed Thiago Silva over the last few months, while the recently returned N’Golo Kante has been absent for virtually the entire campaign.

And never more has the inconsistency at Chelsea been better illustrated than in attack.

For example, Raheem Sterling – an important figure for Manchester City in their title successes last term – has four goals and two assists to his name this season in 21 matches.

But it is much more than that.

The fast-paced and short notice of Lampard’s appointment even meant Wolves manager Julen Lopetegui welcomed the now departed “Bruno Saltor and his staff” in his programme notes ahead of their 1-0 win on Saturday.

This was another contest which showed how far off the pace Chelsea are.

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We wait and see whether their fortunes can change dramatically at the Bernabeu.

I cannot see it myself.

History

These sides have only met seven times in their history – four of those in the past two seasons.

That’s perhaps not a surprise given Chelsea were not regular competitors in Europe until two decades ago.

What is a surprise is that Real have only won one of those encounters.

Their first meeting came in the 1971 European Cup Winners Cup Final when the sides drew 1-1 after extra-time.

The replay two days later in Athens saw first half goals from John Dempsey and Peter Osgood guide Chelsea to a 2-1 success to lift the trophy.

When Chelsea won the competition again 27 years later, they met reigning European champions Real in the 1998 UEFA Super Cup Final – again seeing off the Spaniards to lift the silverware courtesy of a Gus Poyet goal.

Real were managed that day by Guus Hiddink who went onto manage Chelsea twice in an interim capacity.

Two seasons ago they met at the semi-final stage of this competition when a 1-1 first leg draw – their first ever meeting in the major European competition – was preceded by a 2-0 Chelsea win at Stamford Bridge when Timo Werner and Mason Mount were on target to seal an all-English final against Manchester City in which the west Londoners triumphed.

With Ancelotti at the helm by last season, Real clinched a superb Spanish and European Cup double.

That included a 3-1 quarter-final win at Stamford Bridge in which brilliant Frenchman Karim Benzema netted a hat-trick before also scoring the crucial extra-time goal in the second leg as Real won 5-4 on aggregate.

Betting Tip

The SBOTOP Champions League betting odds back the reigning champions all the way and so do I.

Real Madrid 1X2 @ 1.66 contrasts with Chelsea 1X2 @ 4.50. Likewise, Asian Handicap odds include Real -0.75 @ 1.89, -1.00 @ 2.19 and Chelsea +0.50 @ 2.31.

The 1X2 Draw is on offer @ 3.65 which shows just how unfancied the English club is.

A repeat of last season’s match in Spain – Chelsea won 3-2 but lost the tie – is available @ 90.00 with Correct Score.

Goal options abound, such as Over 2.75 @ 2.29, Total Goal 0-1 @ 3.10, 2-3 @ 1.90 and 4-6 @ 3.80.

I cannot see beyond victory for the Spanish and European champions.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 5:56 PM (366 days ago)            #51
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Europa League: Bayer Beware the Belgians

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Saint-Gilloise

Europa League action comes to the BayArena on Thursday with an intriguing clash between the Bundesliga’s Bayer Leverkusen and Belgian side Union Saint-Gilloise. 

It’s no surprise that the Europa League 2023 betting odds make Leverkusen hot favourites to get through to the semi-finals at a price of 1.39 while Union Saint-Gilloise are set at 2.88 to upset the odds. In terms of a trophy win the Bundesliga side are at SBOTOP odds of 8.60 to emerge as champions while Union are rank outsiders at 23.00. 

Bayer made it through to the last eight of the competition thanks to a comfortable 4-0 aggregate win over Ferencvarosi while USG stunned Bundesliga side Union Berlin 6-3. And this weekend Die Werkself beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 to climb into the German top flight top six, while USG come into the game on the back of a 1-1 draw away to Gent.

Talking Points

Young Leverkusen stars on the charge

Since his appointment as head coach of Die Werkself in October, Xabi Alonso has been given the time to mould his team and recent signs are that he has made a lot of progress, the victory over Eintracht displacing the Eagles in the Bundesliga top six. Bayer finished third last term and they are back in with a chance of making the top four this season, which would be some achievement, with a relatively young set of players.

Jeremie Frimpong will try to score goals for Bayer Leverkusen when they host Union Saint-Gilloise in the Europa League
Jeremie Frimpong celebrates scoring his first goal for Bayer Leverkusen against Schalke 04

They may be short on experience but Die Werkself’s stars have already attracted attention from a host of top European clubs. 19-year-old attacking midfielder Florian Wirtz burst onto the scene last term and he is performing consistently well again, making two assists against Eintracht, while 23-year-old France winger Moussa Diaby is hitting his best form in his fourth season at the club. And the latest star to hit the headlines is flying right back Jeremie Frimpong who, at 20 years of age, has pace to burn and fantastic ball control, skills that scouts at Manchester United have noted.

With total respect for these two teams, this tie is arguably on the softer side of the draw, with Manchester United, Sevilla and Juventus on the other side, and Leverkusen will be determined to take advantage. 

USG have lost the element of surprise

The Belgian club’s 6-3 aggregate victory over the Bundesliga title chasers Union Berlin was the most spectacular of this season’s Europa League 2023 results so far, both in terms of shock value and in entertainment. But the surprise element was more to do with the relative profiles of the Bundesliga and the Belgian League, and the recent resurgence of USG.

Head coach Karel Geraerts is overseeing an exciting time at the club, promoted to the Belgian top flight only two years ago, then qualifying for the Champions League and set to qualify for Europe’s flagship competition again next term.

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Led by 29-year-old midfield ace Teddy Teuma, with combative Ivory Coast midfielder Jean Thierry Lazare alongside him, USG will try to stop the supply to Die Werkself’s flair players. And when they win possession they will attempt to reach 22-year-old Nigerian striker Victor Boniface quickly. At 6ft 4in, he is a real handful, strong in the air and with five goals in this competition, he is a real threat.

History

These two teams come from different worlds but they both have fierce ambition in their domestic leagues and in Europe. Bayer Leverkusen are five times Bundesliga runners up, UEFA Cup winners in 1988 and Champions League runners up in 2002.

USG have been champions of Belgium 11 times, but not since the Second World War and the resurgence has come since the takeover of the club by Brighton and Hove Albion owner Tony Bloom.

These teams have never encountered each other before but in terms of recent form, they are both on song. Bayer are unbeaten in eight and with a four match winning streak at home while USG are unbeaten in seven and are certainly no pushover, riding high in second place in the Belgian Ligue 1.  

Betting Tip

At odds of 1.53 to win the hosts should head to Belgium with a lead but they will take nothing for granted. After their convincing victory over Union Berlin the visitors will be confident at a price of 4.74 to win of 3.88 to draw, with the Double Chance USG or Draw at 2.24.

A correct score line of 2-0 is priced at 6.76 while a 2-1 result is a little shorter at 6.37, and that would leave the tie beautifully balanced.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 6:00 PM (366 days ago)            #52
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Champions League: Three and Easy for Super City

Manchester City took full control of their Champions League quarter-final tie with a world-class display against FC Bayern and a 3-0 victory at the Etihad. 

The Sky Blues were priced by SBOTOP as significant favourites to navigate this tie and the UK media were pitching this clash as a potentially defining moment in Pep Guardiola’s reign at the Etihad. And it couldn’t have gone much better for the Manchester City boss as side simply blew the German champions away. 

The prolific Erling Braut Haaland was all over the Bayern defence from the off as Kevin de Bruyne pinged balls in the box but the opening goal came from an unexpected source. Rodri doesn’t score many goals and this was his first strike in the Champions League but it was very, very special. The Spaniard cut inside onto his left foot and curled a beauty into the top corner. Jamal Musiala, who had just been denied by a brilliant block by Ruben Dias at the other end, gave Rodri too much space to get his shot away and the City man made him pay.

That was on 27 minutes and the Sky Blues almost made it two when Ilkay Gundogan had a shot from 12 yards blocked by the outstretched leg of Bayern keeper Yann Sommer.

At this stage this was an end-to-end battle as ex-City star Leroy Sane forced two superb saves from Ederson while Sommer brilliantly tipped over an effort from Dias. The Sky Blues made a change midway through the second half, replacing De Bruyne with Julian Alvarez, while Bayern brought on Sadio Mane in place of Musiala; and almost immediately the hosts doubled their lead. And it was another beauty. 

Jack Grealish won the ball off a dallying Dayot Upamecano and he released Haaland down the left and when the whole stadium expected him to shoot the Norwegian dinked the ball across for Bernardo Silva to head home.

But you know what? Haaland is a scorer first and foremost and he got his goal when City went route one, John Stones headed back into his path and he fired home his 45th goal for the season in all competitions.

Benfica 0-2 Inter

Inter Milan took a stranglehold on their tie by beating previously undefeated Benfica in Portugal thanks to two second-half goals. 

This was a really tight tie to call, with the two sides having nearly identical Champions League 2023 betting odds to make it to the last four of the competition. And it was a hard-fought match with no quarter given in a goalless first half. Edin Dzeko missed a good headed chance for Inter but Benfica had the only shot on target in the first 45, when Rafa had a shot saved by Andre Onana in his bottom corner.

Nicolo Barella has led Inter Milan to a 0-2 win over Benfica in their Champions League quarter-finals tie
Inter Milan’s Nicolo Barella celebrates after scoring their first goal in their Champions League quarter-finals tie against Benfica

But the Italians broke the deadlock, early in the second half, when Nicolo Barella met a cross from Alessandro Bastoni and planted his header firmly home. That goal sparked a Benfica backlash as the hosts rained shots down on the Inter goal, but the Italians came close again when Henrikh Mkhitaryan saw a shot saved in the bottom corner. And the second crucial goal came with ten minutes to play when Romelu Lukaku slotted home a penalty after Benfica skipper Joao Mario had handled in the penalty area.

It was harsh on the Portuguese side but a clinical display from the Italians.

What’s next?

There will be more Champions League 2023 updatestomorrow night folks, when

Napoli head to north Italy, to face AC Milan, and Real Madrid host Chelsea in the other two quarter-finals.

UEFA – Champions League
REAL MADRID
CHELSEA
1X2 Chelsea @ 5.00
Over 2.50 @ 2.01
Total Goal 2-3 @ 1.90
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Serie A runaway leaders Napoli have been installed as second favourites to win the tournament but they will be without star striker Victor Osimhen; while I Rossoneri will approach the tie with plenty of confidence after they thrashed the Azzurri in a league game just over a week ago. Rafael Leao scored twice as AC Milan ran out 4-0 winners, in Napoli’s third defeat of the campaign.

In the other tie Real Madrid will be hot favourites to beat Chelsea who will be led by their third coach of the season after Frank Lampard was installed as caretaker boss following the departure of Graham Potter from Stamford Bridge. Los Blancos boss Carlo Ancelotti coached Lampard when he was manager at Chelsea, leading the Blues to a Premier League and FA Cup double in 2010 and being the first Italian coach to win the English top flight.

I suspect the Real Madrid coach will give his former player another lesson on Wednesday night.


 

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 6:02 PM (366 days ago)            #53
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Champions League: Home Comforts After Quarter-final First Legs

Home is where the heart is as far as tonight’s Champions League quarter-finals first legs are concerned.

And while one tie remains in the balance, it is hard to see the other being clawed back.

Whatever the SBOTOP Champions League 2023 betting odds tell us, it is rarely wise to bet against a club which has fallen in love with this tournament ever since its formation in the 1950s and has gone on to triumph a record 14 times to date.

Nights like this show exactly why as the holders were well worth their 2-0 victory in the Bernabeu.

This was a contest between Carlo Ancelotti – four-times winner of the competition as manager – and Frank Lampard, out of work until less than week ago.

Real Madrid and Chelsea have squared up against each other in the knockout stages for the third season in a row, with Real winning only one out of their seven matches against Chelsea in Europe.

This was win number two and it was rarely in doubt either.

Karim Benzema’s tap-in – his 90th goal in the competition – gave Ancelotti the ideal start against his former club.

Just before the hour, Chelsea defender Ben Chilwell was shown a red card for fouling Rodrygo and from then on there was only one winner as the hosts netted what could be a decisive second goal when Marco Asensio rifled the ball through a crowd of players.

Chelsea had their moments with their former goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois denying on-loan Atletico man Joao Felix and Raheem Sterling an equaliser.

Yet Los Blancos were in control as the highest-scoring team in La Liga showed their potency in Europe – they have now scored in each of their last 31 home knockout games in this competition.

No coach has won as many Champions Leagues and only Ancelotti has claimed all of the top five European leagues, yet I read in the build-up to this tie that there is a reluctance among some to place him among truly elite managers; that few see him as a grand philosopher, thinker or revolutionary.

How mistaken they are.

UEFA – Champions League
BAYERN MUNICH
MANCHESTER CITY
1X2 Bayern Munich @ 2.48
Manchester City Asian Handicap 0.00 @ 1.96
Total Goals 2-3 @ 2.00
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

If Madrid win the Copa del Rey, the final of which they reached last week, it would complete the set: from January last year to May this year, and they will have won the league, the cup, the Spanish Super Cup, the European Super Cup, the Club World Cup and the Champions League.

He has also won 35 Champions League games with Real Madrid (in 47 matches), more than any other manager with the club in the competition.

I cannot see a current manager elsewhere in football who can compete with that.

As for Chelsea, with interim boss Lampard at the helm, this was a battling display but there is much work for the new manager to do when he is appointed this summer.

If Real have a distinct edge, the other tie, an all-Italian affair, is more delicately poised after the first leg.

Yes it’s less than a fortnight since AC Milan rocked Napoli with a 4-0 thrashing in Serie A, but with such a healthy lead at the top of the standings, that match appeared far more important for the soon-to-be deposed champions to make a point.

This was always going to be close on a stage the Rossoneri really crave – they had lost only one of nine previous all-Italian match-ups in a European competition.

True enough, the home team won again as Ismael Bennacer’s first-half strike from the edge of the box, following good work from Braham Diaz, earned them a slender advantage.

Champions League: Ismael Bennacer scored to help Milan defeat Napoli
AC Milan’s Ismael Bennacer celebrates scoring against Napoli with Davide Calabria

But they may live to rue the fact Simon Kjaer’s header bounced off the underside of the crossbar in the closing stages of the first half.

They were unable to add to their Champions League 2023 highlights in the closing stages, despite playing against 10 men for the final quarter of an hour after Frank Zambo Anguissa had been dismissed.

Luciano Spalletti insisted his runaway leaders were ready for Milan, even accounting for injuries to key forward players, including top scorer Victor Osimhen.

If they get him back for the second leg, the highest scorers in the competition this season this term (on 25 level with Manchester City) could well turn this around.

For now, though, Milan have the advantage.

They are unbeaten in each of their six Champions League games against Italian opponents (won three, drawn three), keeping the clean sheet five times in the process.

It was a night for home comforts in the Champions League.


 

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 6:06 PM (366 days ago)            #54
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Europa League: Battle of Attrition in an Enthralling Thursday Night

Depending on who you ask, last night’s set of Europa League matches may have left you excited or distraught.

Bayer Leverkusen, Feyenoord, Juventus, and Sevilla supporters probably all slept well, but the same can’t be said for the fans over at Union Saint-Gilloise, AS Roma, Sporting, and Manchester United.

Union Saint-Gilloise and Manchester United were held to pulsating draws, while Feyenoord and Juventus are one step closer to the semi-finals with crucial first-leg wins, although they cannot get complacent ahead of next week because it isn’t over yet.

In case you missed it, worry not, as SBOTOP is here to review the latest Europa League 2023 results.

Manchester United running on fumes

Manchester United blew a two-goal lead as Sevilla benefitted from two own goals in the final six minutes to force a 2-2 draw in the first leg at Old Trafford.

The Red Devils entered the quarter-finals as one of the favourites to win this tournament, according to the Europa League 2023 odds. And it looked like they were on their way when Marcel Sabitzer had a brace early in the first half.

But after a blistering start, it all went downhill in the second half.

The game turned on its head in the 84th minute as Jesus Navas’ ball was deflected by Tyrell Malacia, and the ball whizzed past David de Gea, bringing Sevilla within one.

Six minutes later, Youssef En-Nesyri attempted a header from a corner, and the ball bounced off Harry Maguire’s head past David de Gea once more. Maguire looked clueless during the said sequence, and it was already too late.

At least eight United players are set to miss the second leg: Raphael Varane (foot), Lisandro Martinez (foot), Marcus Rashford (groin), Luke Shaw (unspecified), Alejandro Garnacho (ankle), Tom Heaton (ankle), Donny van de Beek (knee), and Bruno Fernandes (suspended).

As it turns out, breaking the “Sevilla Curse” is a gargantuan task because Manchester United made it much harder for themselves in their Europa League campaign.

La Liga
GETAFE
BARCELONA
1X2 Draw @ 3.75
Barcelona Asian Handicap -1.00 @ 2.14
Over 2.50 @ 2.21
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Juventus extend Sporting’s winless run in Italy

Sporting missed an opportunity to break their drought against Italian sides, as they lost 1-0 to Juventus in Turin last night.

The Lisbon-based outfit dominated at the start of the match, as they had their fair share of scoring opportunities in the first half. Sebastian Coates tested goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny before Nuno Santos drew another defencive play from Gleison Bremer.

It looked like Juventus were in trouble when Szczesny was subbed off shortly before halftime due to chest discomfort, but substitute goalkeeper Mattia Perin stepped up for the Poland international.

Juve eventually broke through in the 73rd minute when Dusan Vlahovic’s header was blocked by Coates, but Federico Gatti scored off a rebound.

Perin put on the finishing touches when he had a double save in stoppage time to secure the close win. 

Juventus will head to the second leg confident about their chances. The winner of this tie will face either Sevilla or Manchester United in the semi-finals.

Wirtz to the rescue for Bayer Leverkusen

Elsewhere in the BayArena, Florian Wirtz rescued a 1-1 draw against Union Saint-Gilloise in their Europa League quarter-final first leg.

After a goalless first half, Union Saint-Gilloise struck six minutes after the restart, as Victor Boniface was left unmarked on the left, and he fired a beautiful shot past Lukas Hradecky for his sixth European goal in nine games this season.

But after that, Die Werkself were in control for much of the second half, and they had two chances for the win. Jeremie Frimpong almost headed the ball in during the 78th minute, but Wirtz did much better with his finish four minutes later.

Florian Wirtz managed to rescue Bayer Leverkusen with a late goal against Union Saint-Gilloise in Europa League
Bayer Leverkusen Florian Wirtz celebrates after scoring their first goal against Union Saint-Gilloise in Europa League

Since returning from injury in late January, Wirtz has recorded four goals and eight assists in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen are now undefeated in seven consecutive matches across all competitions.

AS Roma wasteful against Feyenoord

Mats Wieffer redeemed himself by scoring the winning goal to hand Feyenoord a 1-0 victory at home against AS Roma, in what was a rematch of last season’s Europa Conference League final.

The Dutch midfielder conceded a penalty before halftime after bringing Tammy Abraham down inside the box, but he was lucky that Lorenzo Pellegrini’s penalty kick hit against the post for a wasted chance.

Eight minutes after the break, Wieffer scored from outside the box after being set up by Oussama Idrissi on the left flank.

AS Roma did not only lose this match, but they also suffered injury setbacks to forwards Paulo Dybala (thigh) and Tammy Abraham (shoulder).


 

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 7:26 PM (366 days ago)            #55
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Champions League: Can Lampard Lead Chelsea Comeback Against Real?

Chelsea vs Real Madrid

Reigning champions Real Madrid are 90 minutes away from returning to the Champions League semi-finals.

The Spanish giants have a 2-0 advantage over Chelsea as they head to Stamford Bridge for the second leg, with the in-form duo of Karim Benzema and Vinicius Jr ready to finish the job.

The Blues have lost all three games thus far with Frank Lampard back in charge, and the Champions League 2023 betting odds will be heavily stacked against them against Madrid.

Talking Points

Chelsea’s struggles continue under Lampard

Chelsea’s disastrous winless run is now up to six games as they’ve lost each of their first three games with interim coach Frank Lampard.

After away defeats at Wolves and Real Madrid, Lampard’s side lost 2-1 at home against Brighton over the weekend.

The Blues were absolutely battered by the Seagulls as they surrendered a whopping 26 shots, 10 of which were on target. Meanwhile, they could only muster six shots, two of which were on target.

Lampard was without starting centre-forward Kai Havertz due to a knee injury, so he started Raheem Sterling up front, with Christian Pulisic, Conor Gallagher, and Mikhailo Mudryk in support.

It remains to be seen whether Havertz will be fit in time to face Real. If he misses out, it will be another big blow to a Blues attack that will already be missing wing-back Ben Chilwell due to suspension after he got a red card in the first leg.

Lampard remains unable to solve Chelsea’s big problem, which is to score goals. Gallagher’s goal against Brighton finally broke a streak of four straight games without scoring for Chelsea.

Moreover, Chelsea’s home form has been a major concern. They have not won any of their last four games at Stamford Bridge, with two draws and two defeats.

Benzema-Vini combo firing on all cylinders again

Real Madrid’s hopes of successfully defending their title are looking good. Los Blancos have a 2-0 lead to protect as they head to London for the second leg against Chelsea.

Real produced plenty of Champions League 2023 highlights in that match as they dominated 57 per cent of possession and created 18 shots, 10 of which were on target.

Karim Benzema and Vinicius Jr were both excellent as they continued their brilliant form of late. Benzema has scored eight goals in his last seven games. Meanwhile, Vini has three goals and four assists in his last seven.

Karim Benzema is ready to lead Real Madrid against Chelsea to advance to the Champions League semi-finals
Real Madrid’s Karim Benzema celebrates after scoring a goal during Champions League quarter-final first leg tie against Chelsea

And as if the Benzema-Vini Jr combo wasn’t dangerous enough, Marco Asensio is suddenly showing an improvement in form. The Spanish international has scored in each of his last two games and may have earned a starting spot for the second leg.

Real coach Carlo Ancelotti was able to rest the likes of Vini, Luka Modric, Dani Carvajal and David Alaba in their 2-0 win against Cadiz, but they are all expected to return to the starting XI at Stamford Bridge.

Aurelien Tchouameni surprisingly didn’t start the first leg in Madrid, but with Real only needing to protect their two-goal lead, the French international may get the nod over Toni Kroos at the heart of Real’s midfield.

History

This will be the sixth meeting between Chelsea and Real Madrid in the Champions League. The two sides are now level at two wins apiece after Real’s first-leg win, with one draw.

UEFA – Champions League
BAYERN MUNICH
MANCHESTER CITY
TO SEE UPDATED ODDS

Chelsea usually have a stellar home record in the Champions League. Over the last two seasons, they’ve won seven of their nine games at Stamford Bridge. However, the one team who did beat them at home was Real Madrid back in 2022.

Moreover, history is not on the Blues’ side as Real Madrid have gone through in 18 of the 19 Champions League ties where they won the first leg by two or more goals.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Real Madrid installed as 2.30 favourites to move on to the semi-finals with a win at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are priced at 2.70, while a draw is 3.40.

Given Chelsea’s continuing struggles under Frank Lampard, Real Madrid seem to be a pretty safe bet to pick up another win. Benzema and Vini have been in impressive form, and Chelsea have simply not shown they have an capable counters to that one-two punch.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 7:31 PM (366 days ago)            #56
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Champions League: Showdown in Naples

Napoli vs AC Milan

European nights rarely disappoint, and when the best teams on the continent reach the last eight, the stakes are higher and the drama become more intense. And the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona will be rocking on Tuesday night as two of Serie A’s giants collide.

This Champions League tie between Napoli and Milan is balanced on a knife edge after I Rossoneri edged in front during the first leg with a 1-0 win thanks to an Ismael Bennacer strike. And now it’s ‘winner takes all’ as only 90 minutes separate Stefano Pioli’s side from a famous victory.

But Napoli have been imperious throughout this season in Serie A and in Europe, and Lionel Spalletti’s team are odds on the pick up a vital win in Naples. The hosts need it to be a convincing victory though, and the latest Champions League 2023 betting odds put I Rossoneri in the driving seat at a price of 1.63 to advance to the semi-finals, while Gli Azzurri have it all to do at 2.29

Both teams come into the game on the back of a Serie A draw, Napoli playing out a goalless draw with Hellas Verona while Milan drew 1-1 with Bologna. Both managers made wholesale changes and they’ll have their strongest 11s on the pitch for this epic battle. 

Talking Points

Osimhen set to start

The news all Napoli fans wanted to hear was confirmed by Luciano Spalletti yesterday when he announced that star striker Victor Osimhen is fit and ready to face I Rossoneri on Tuesday. The Nigerian striker climbed off the bench during Napoli’s clash with Hellas Verona and he came within a whisker of scoring the winner when his stunning strike crashed back off the Verona crossbar. The draw meant Napoli’s lead over Lazio was cut by two points, but at 14 it is still a lead which will see Gli Azzurri over the line.

So Spalletti can focus all his attention on the Champions League, and with Osimhen recovered from a muscular strain he knows he has the firepower to break down any defence: “He’ll start, yes,” said the head coach, “Osimhen has the physicality and speed, you can throw the ball up to him and he can protect it, use his head or use a change of pace.”

Serie A
FIORENTINA
ATALANTA
TO SEE UPDATED ODDS

He’s a shoe-in for the 2022/23 Capocannoniere, with 21 goals, seven more than his nearest rival and Osimhen is the man for the big occasion. And on Tuesday he’ll be joined by winger Khvicha Kvaratskhelia who was also benched on Saturday to be brought on in the second half. The Georgian has had a brilliant first campaign in Naples, scoring 12 goals and making ten assists and he too will be a big threat to produce Champions League 2023 highlights against I Rossoneri.

Stanislav Lobotka, Piotr Zielinski and Mario Rui were all rested against Verona and are sure to start on Tuesday, as Napoli attempt to turn this tie around. They were second favourites to win the 2023 Champions League but defeat in the first leg saw them drift out to SBOTOP odds of 7.50, behind favourites Manchester City and Real Madrid. 

Spalletti is determined to put that right. 

Piolo prioritises Champions League

The Milan boss made ten changes to his team which faced Bologna on Saturday and, while he threw some of his big guns on in the second half, he passed up an opportunity to cement I Rossoneri’s top-four place. The 1-1 draw leaves Milan in fourth, just two points ahead of Inter Milan and with Atalanta and Juventus still in the hunt. 

Ismael Bennacer will try to score goals for AC Milan against Napoli in their Champions League second leg match
Ismael Bennacer celebrates his first goal for AC Milan with Davide Calabria against Napoli

Milan are unbeaten in four and there were some good signs from Pioli’s second string but, in an attempt to see home a win, the coach brought on Rafael Leao, Davide Calabria and Brahim Diaz in the second half, though veteran striker Olivier Giroud and wing-back Theo Hernandez stayed on the bench.

They really needed a win over Bologna but, it seems, Tuesday’s game ranks higher for the Milan chief.

History

After I Rossoneri’s victory last week the head-to-head results are now at 15 victories each and, while the bragging rights are important, a semi-final spot is paramount.

Napoli have the edge in terms of recent form with three wins, one draw and two defeats from the last six, while Milan have two wins, three draws and one defeat.

Betting Tip

Napoli’s last home win against Milan was five years ago but I think they will put that right on Tuesday, with Osimhen back and firing and passionate home crowd meaning they will face I Rossoneri with 12 men.

The draw is at 3.44 and an away win at 3.97 is also well in the game, but I can’t see Milan getting the better of Napoli twice in a week.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 8:04 PM (366 days ago)            #57
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Champions League: Inter Out to Seal Semis Spot at San Siro

Inter Milan vs Benfica

Inter Milan are 90 minutes away from reaching the Champions League semi-finals for the first time since they won the competition in 2010.

The Nerazzurri have a 2-0 advantage to protect as they face Benfica in their quarter-final second leg at the San Siro.

The Eagles lost their unbeaten record in this season’s competition after falling in the first leg and are now on a three-match losing skid. Can they defy the Champions League 2023 odds and make a dramatic comeback in Milan?

Talking Points

Inter seemingly all-in on Champions League

Inter Milan are do not seem to be all that interested in the race for the top four in Serie A. The Nerazzurri suffered a shock 1-0 home defeat to Monza over the weekend, their fourth defeat in their last five league games as they remain two points behind rivals AC Milan in fourth.

Perhaps Inter were guilty looking ahead to their crucial Champions League tie. Although, Simone Inzaghi fielded a fairly strong side against Monza, with Lautaro Martinez and Marcelo Brozovic the most notable players rested. They rained down 25 shots on Monza’s goal – including six from Lautaro in the space of just 20 minutes – but they simply lacked the cutting edge in front of goal.

Inter’s sudden inability to score at the San Siro is becoming a major concern. They have lost each of their last three home league games, failing to score in all three. Inter don’t necessarily need to score at the San Siro to progress to the semi-finals, though, as they have a two-goal lead to protect from the first leg.

However, defending that lead could prove more challenging amid some injury concerns. They will still be without centre-back Milan Skriniar, who has missed the last month with a back injury. Meanwhile, Stefan de Vrij suffered an ankle injury against Monza, leaving his availability for the second leg in doubt.

Although, neither started the first leg in Lisbon, and the back three of Matteo Darmian, Francesco Acerbi, and Alessandro Bastoni still kept a clean sheet.

Benfica need to break out of losing skid

Benfica have picked a bad time to go on their worst run of the season. Roger Schmidt’s side has lost each of their last three games, with their first-leg loss to Inter sandwiched in between back-to-back league defeats, which have seen their lead atop Liga NOS sliced to four points.

Veteran defender Nicolas Otamendi was the culprit in their 1-0 weekend defeat to Chaves as his costly error led to Chaves’ winning goal in stoppage time.

Benfica boss Roger Schmidt will double his effort to keep their Champions League title hopes alive
Benfica head coach Roger Schmidt instructs his players during Champions League quarter-final first leg tie against Inter Milan

Otamendi missed the first leg against Inter due to suspension, but despite his error, he should be set to start in the second leg. Portuguese forward Goncalo Guedes also made his return after a recent injury layoff.

However, regular right-back Alexander Bah and Julian Draxler are still expected to miss the second leg due to injury.

Benfica’s usually consistent attack is also suddenly sputtering as they’ve failed to score in back-to-back games for the first time this season.

The Eagles will need to produce some Champions League 2023 highlights away from home to stand any chance of progressing. Prior to their late defeat to Chaves, Benfica had won eight of their previous nine away games, conceding just one goal during that span.

History

UEFA – Champions League
NAPOLI
AC MILAN
TO SEE UPDATED ODDS

With their 2-0 win in the first leg, Inter have improved to four games unbeaten against Benfica, with three wins and a draw.

That’s the ninth time Inter have won a two-legged European Cup tie by two or more goals, and they have not been eliminated when they’ve been in such a position.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Inter Milan installed as 2.18 favourites to beat Benfica once again. The Portuguese giants are priced at 2.92 to win the second leg, while a draw is 3.35.

It has been an ongoing trend that Inter home games just haven’t been all that high-scoring since the start of the new year. In the 12 games they’ve played at San Siro in 2023, there have been three or more goals scored just twice.

And I expect this match to be another low-scoring affair. With Inter having the luxury of focusing on defence to protect their two-goal lead coupled, they should be able to capably stifle a Benfica side that is suddenly struggling in front of goal.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 8:09 PM (366 days ago)            #58
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Champions League: Bayern Out to Restore Pride – and Personal Relations!

Bayern Munich vs Manchester City

It could well be mission impossible for Bayern Munich in their quest to turn around their Champions League quarter-final tie.

My tip to win the tournament are facing an emphatic exit at this stage for the second year in a row, unless they can pull off one of the great escapes of modern times.

Realistically, it just won’t happen.

Talking Points

That’s because they are up against a team at the top of their game in Manchester City and the English champions’ advantage – 3-0 after a statement performance – should not be overcome.

Where does this leave the German champions?

Well, they remain a force and, despite being held on Saturday, are on course for an 11th straight Bundesliga title.

Perhaps this tie simply came too soon in the reign of Thomas Tuchel, who masterminded Chelsea’s Champions League final victory over Pep Guardiola and City two seasons ago.

Pep Guardiola of Manchester City and Thomas Tuchel of Bayern Munich meet for their Champions League second leg match
Manchester City’s Pep Guardiola and Bayern Munich’s Thomas Tuchel before their first leg match

For now, they want to restore some pride on Wednesday night in the Allianz Arena and show there is far more substance to them on Europe’s biggest stage.

Tuchel could certainly have done without the fallout from the first leg which saw them leave Sadio Mane out of their squad for Saturday’s league match against Hoffenheim amid reports he punched team-mate Leroy Sane.

The pair reportedly had to be separated by teammates after the altercation with Senegal forward Mane dropped because of ‘misconduct’ and the club also confirming he will be fined.

German newspaper Bild said the two-time African footballer of the year had complained about the way Germany winger Sane spoke to him after the defeat.

After flying back to Germany, Mane was picked up privately at the airport while Sane got the team bus.

The pair were back in training together by Thursday morning as Tuchel looks to put the matter behind them.

While the news coming out of the Bavarian dressing room is very negative, City’s bulletin is positively bouncing.

None more so than Bernardo Silva who delivered a complete one-man guide to elite-level football with an imperious first-leg display.

A contest in which he was described as being utterly masterful, starting the game in the bespoke right-wing super presser role that Guardiola has set aside for him in the current version of City.

And then there is Erling Haaland, 47 goals in 40 games so far this season and showing no signs of stopping.

Stopping him and restoring some pride is surely about the best Bayern can hope for?

History

The history between these two sides is limited to seven clashes in this competition – six of them in the group stages.

Last week’s first leg edged City ahead by four victories to three and there hasn’t been a single draw. The seven matches have certainly been responsible for Champions League 2023 highlights as they have averaged more than three goals a game (22 total).

City’s first foray into the Champions League saw them paired with Bayern in the 2011/12 group stage as Roberto Mancini looked to make a splash on the European stage.

Jupp Heynckes’ side brushed them off in their first meeting, with Mario Gomez scoring twice in a 2-0 home win, to leave City’s knockout stage hopes in jeopardy.

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Despite rallying in the final four games, including a 2-0 win in Manchester, it was not enough as they bowed out at the first hurdle in their first Champions League.

City were drawn in the same group as Bayern again in 2013/14, with Guardiola in charge of the Germans and guiding them to a 3-1 win on his first trip to Manchester, before an impressive showing from Manuel Pellegrini’s team sealed a 3-2 fightback victory in the return fixture.

The familiarity stretched into the following 2014/15 campaign as Sergio Aguero inspired City to a 3-2 home win to drag Pellegrini’s team over the line to another last-16 spot. Bayern had won 1-0 at home.

Betting Tip

So, at the eighth time of asking, I am plumping for honours even.

The SBOTOP Champions League 2023 betting odds offer a draw at 3.40, which is what I’m picking as a three-star prediction.

It’s rare for Bayern not to be favourites on their own turf but that is the case here.

They are priced 1X2 @ 2.64 and Asian Handicap – 0.00 @ 2.07 compared to City who are on offer 1X2 @ 2.34 and Asian Handicap -0.25 @ 2.13.

The last time they met in Munich saw the hosts record a 1-0 victory and that is available @ 12.00 with Correct Score.

With such talent on show, goal options include over 3.25 @ 2.19 and total goal 4-6 @ 2.51.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 8:13 PM (366 days ago)            #59
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Europa League: Cup Specialists Sevilla Will Test Red Devils

Sevilla FC vs Manchester United

Sometimes the outcome of a big match is about timing, and when Sevilla face Manchester United in a Europa League quarter final second leg on Thursday, we have a case in point.

The Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium will be bouncing for this fixture as the tide is finely balanced after Sevilla came back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 in the first leg at Old Trafford. If the two teams had met a month or so ago we’d have called a Manchester banker, but a change at the top in Seville has had a quick impact and the Red Devils are not entirely convincing at the moment.

But the latest Europa League 2023 betting odds reckon the Red Devils will get through this challenge and go on to win the competition. Erik Ten Hag’s side is priced at 2.80 with SBOTOP while Sevilla are out at 10.00. So despite drawing their home tie Manchester United are still strong favourites to see off Sevilla; I’m not so sure it will be so easy.

Talking Points

Change at the top might just work for Sevilla

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Jose Luis Mendilibar took over as head coach at Sevilla just four weeks ago, following the departure of Jorge Sampaoli and his side is unbeaten in four games, picking up seven points in the league and drawing with Manchester United at Old Trafford. They warmed up for this huge upcoming tie with a well earned 2-0 win away to Valencia on Saturday. Second half goals from Loic Bade and Suso earned the three points which lifted Sevilla to 12th place and eight points clear of danger, while Los Ches remain in trouble, in 18th.

Mendilibar is Sevilla’s third manager of the campaign and, now that their top flight status is looking safe the Spaniards can go all out to win the tournament they love. With players of the calibre of Argentine forward Lucas Ocampos, Moroccan World Cup hero Youssef En Nesyri and skipper and Sevilla legend Jesus Navas in their squad, this is a team with some pedigree.

They have underperformed so far this season and now Sevilla have the chance to make it up to their fans. 

Rashford back for Red Devils?  

Marcel Sabitzer bagged a brace in the first leg of their Europa league quarter-finals tie against Sevilla
Marcel Sabitzer celebrates after scoring Manchester United’s second goal against Sevilla in the first leg

The big Europa League 2023 news stories in Manchester this week are around the availability of players, as Ten Hag’s injury list shows no sign of shrinking any time soon. And noises coming out of Old Trafford suggest that Marcus Rashford might be fit to play on Thursday as he recovers from a groin injury picked up during a recent win over Everton. This has been Rashford’s best season at Old Trafford and if he is fit then Anthony Martial is likely to make way. There is less encouraging news surrounding the fitness of Marcel Sabitzer. The midfielder scored twice in the first leg but he broke down during the warm up before Manchester United’s match with Nottingham Forest on Sunday. Christian Eriksen stepped in and had a good game, providing plenty of good service for the Red Devils’ strikers and he should start again on Sunday.

United were too hot for Nottingham Forest as Eriksen and Bruno Fernades taunted the hosts while Antony and Diogo Dalot scored the goals in a 2-0 win.

But Manchester United’s first choice central defenders are both out of action. Raphael Varane has a foot injury which will keep him out for a few weeks, while Lisandro Martinez is out for the season with a metatarsal break in his foot, and that means Harry Maguire and Victor Lindelof are likely to deputise.

History

Los Sevillistas are record holders of the Europa League, winning the competition six times over the past 17 years, the last time in 2020, and the Red Devils are past winners too, picking up the Europa League title in 2017.

Sevilla have won three of their six encounters with Manchester United, drawing twice and losing just once and both teams are unbeaten in four games, Sevilla winning two and drawing two while Manchester have won three and drawn one.

Betting Tip

Sevilla are at 2.92 to win this tie with Manchester United at 2.11 and the draw at 3.16; and all three results are well in play. The Red Devils have had a better season but the hosts are improving under new management and will have a passionate crowd roaring them on.

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18-Apr 2023 Tuesday 8:41 PM (366 days ago)            #60
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Europa League: Sporting Believe That They Can Turn it Around Against Juve

Sporting Lisbon vs Juventus

Juventus hold the lead over Sporting, but this Europa League quarter-finals tie is far from over.

Federico Gatti was the hero in the first leg in Turin when he scored the only goal of the contest, but make no mistake, Sporting lost because they didn’t convert on their opportunities.

And now Sporting have a chance to make things right when Juventus visit the Jose Alvalade Stadium on Thursday evening.

The hosts are coming off a 1-1 draw with Arouca in the Primeira Liga yesterday, while Juventus suffered their second straight Serie A loss when they were defeated 1-0 by Sassuolo.

A win here by either side would not only get them through the next round, but it’ll also give them a huge confidence boost.

Talking Points

Vlahovic can end his scoring slump here

Dusan Vlahovic hasn’t scored in a while again, and he must break out of his rut if Juventus are going to beat Sporting and possibly go farther in the Europa League.

When he forced Sebastian Coates to block him, Vlahovic came close to breaking his dry spell, but that was his lone opportunity in the first leg. And then he couldn’t get it going against Sassuolo on Monday because his teammates didn’t set him up well.

Can Dusan Vlahovic score a goal against Sporting Lisbon in Europa League?
Juventus’ Dusan Vlahovic reacts after missing a chance to score during their match against Inter Milan in Coppa Italia

Vlahovic is still the team’s top scorer with 11 goals and four assists, so he can only improve from here on out. After all, he’s just 23 years old.

Max Allegri rested several key players against Sassuolo, so he should bring some of them back into the starting lineup on Thursday.

Federico Chiesa, Juan Cuadrado, and Angel Di Maria all came off the bench against the Neroverdi. Di Maria is the most dangerous of these three in the final third since he has already notched eight goals and seven assists this season.

Also, Manuel Locatelli didn’t play on Monday, and Allegri might have to consider bringing him back in to replace Nicolo Fagioli, following the youngster’s costly mistake against Sassuolo.

Trincao is Sporting’s x-factor

Francisco Trincao moved back to Portugal in the summer on a loan with a buy option included, and Sporting have now activated his buy clause to make his transfer from Barcelona permanent.

The 23-year-old winger is the team’s second-leading scorer with 11 goals, but none of those have come here in the Europa League thus far.

He is certainly capable of producing Europa League 2023 highlights with his ability to score goals in bunches, which he showed in their 4-3 win over Casa Pia last week when he recorded his first-ever hat-trick.

Because he is playing alongside the likes of Marcus Edwards, Nuno Santos, and the talismanic Pedro Goncalves, Trincao will get his chances. Look for him to be aggressive against Juventus, who will likely be content with preserving their lead rather than adding to it.

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History

Ruben Amorim’s team hasn’t beaten any Italian side since September 2011, when they defeated Lazio 2-1 in the Europa League group stage. And prior to Thursday, the Lisbon-based outfit was winless in three matches against Juventus in Europe (D1, L2).

Sporting have also been eliminated from each of their last five major European knockout ties when they lose the first leg. The last time that they progressed from such a position was back in 2009-10 against Everton in the Europa League Round of 32.

And the hosts have failed to win any of their last four home matches in Europe (D2, L2).

Juventus have won each of their last four away matches in Europe without conceding a goal, and they could stretch such a streak to five for the first time since the 2013 Champions League.

However, the Old Lady has lost their last two away games against Portuguese sides, both in the Champions League (vs. Porto in 2020-21 and Benfica earlier this campaign).

Betting Tip

The SBOTOP Europa League 2023 odds predict another tight contest between these two sides. In stark contrast to the first leg preview, this time, Sporting are priced better at 2.27, while Juventus are not far behind at 2.89, and a draw is at 3.20 in the 1X2 market.

Even if they are trailing in the quarter-finals, Sporting have looked like the better team against Juventus, so this tie can go either way. Because determining the winner of this game is a tough call, instead, we’ll be looking at the possible goal total of this game. And we’re looking at Under 2.50 at 2.28, while Total Goal 0-1 at 2.55 is another viable betting option.

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20-Apr 2023 Thursday 12:31 PM (365 days ago)            #61
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Champions League: It’s Manchester, Milan and Madrid!

We’re down to the last four of the 2023 Champions League and the semi-final line-up could hardly be more mouth-watering, as favourites Manchester City will meet holders Real Madrid and AC and Inter Milan will clash at the San Siro.

FC Bayern started their home tie with Manchester City three goals down and they could only match the Sky Blues 1-1 on the night. In a dramatic first half the Bavarians could have scored twice and might have been down to ten men, while we also saw the almost unbelievable sight of Erling Braut Haaland missing a penalty. Leroy Sane and Leon Goretzka missed golden chances to drag the hosts back into the tie and then the action switched to the opposite end of the pitch.

Bayern centre back Dayot Upamecano had a chaotic first half, which saw him red carded for a trip on Haaland but, when the assistant flagged for offside the ref rescinded the card. Then when Ilkay Gundogan unleashed a fierce shot which hit Upamecano on the elbow the referee pointed to the spot and up stepped Haaland. The Bayern fans made a racket as the big Norwegian lined up his shot and, to the surprise of every football fan in Europe, he skied it.

Haaland did get his goal though, early in the second half, to make it 4-0 on aggregate with his 48th of the season; and then Bayern had a late consolation gifted to them by the referee. Sadio Mane’s cross hit Manuel Akanji from point blank range and the official pointed to the spot. Leon Goretzka nonchalantly stroked home the penalty as if it didn’t matter… and it didn’t.

The Champions League 2023 betting oddshave backed the Sky Blues from the off and there’s no reason to doubt them now. 

Milan’s power over Napoli continues

Olivier Giroud's first half goal at Napoli sends AC Milan in the Champions League semi-finals
AC Milan’s Olivier Giroud celebrates scoring their first goal against Napoli

Of all this week’s Champions League 2023 results, it wasthe all Italian affair between Napoli and AC Milan which captured the imagination the most, as runaway Serie A leaders from Naples were trying to buck a trend of losing to I Rossoneri. Luciano Spalletti’s side was spanked 4-0 by AC Milan just two weeks ago and they also lost the first leg of their Champions League quarter final clash 1-0.

Gli Azzurri would have fancied their chances at home but Olivier Giroud scored the crucial goal on the brink of half time after a brilliant run from Rafael Leao and, while Victor Osimhen pulled one back in injury time I Rossoneri ran out 2-1 winners. Both sides had a spot kick saved, Giroud for Milan and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia for Napoli. And now Milan can look forward to another blockbuster all Italian clash.

Inter make it a Milan Derby

Simone Inzaghi’s Inter Milan love playing in Europe and they booked their place in the semi-final with an aggregate 5-3 victory over Benfica. I Nerazzurri have been in poor form at the San Siro, losing their last three Serie A games at home, the most recent to struggling Monza, but they started in electric form against Benfica on Wednesday night. They already had a two goal lead from their visit to Portugal and when Nicola Barella picked up a pass from Lautaro Martinez he rifled home his shot high into the top left corner. 

Benfica have enjoyed a superb tournament and they made a game of it with a brilliant goal, as Fredrik Aursnes powered a header in from a pinpoint Rafa cross, but any thoughts of a fight back were ended when Martinez slotted home from close range. Joaquin Correa had only been on the pitch a few minutes when he scored a lovely goal to make it 3-1 on the night and 5-1 on aggregate.

Job done; but Benfica didn’t go down without a fight as Antonio Silva headed home on 85 minutes and Peter Musa levelled on the night, deep into stoppage time.

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1X2 Manchester United @ 2.00
Sevilla Asian Handicap +0.25 @ 2.14
Under 2.25 @ 2.33
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Chelsea are out of their league

Frank Lampard’s Chelsea continued their wretched run with an aggregate 4-0 defeat to Real Madrid, losing 2-0 in the second leg at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday night. After escaping the Santiago Bernabeu with the tie just about alive, all hopes of an unlikely recovery ended when Rodrygo finished off a fast break with a smart finish on the hour. And when Federico Valverde waltzed his way through the Chelsea defence he teed up Rodrygo’s second with ten minutes remaining. Lampard has overseen four defeats since his return to the Stamford Bridge hot seat and Chelsea look way out of their depth among Europe’s elite. So Los Blancos will now take on Manchester City and, here atSBOTOP, we’ll be all over that tie!

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22-Apr 2023 Saturday 12:09 PM (363 days ago)            #62
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We’re Down to the Final Four in the Europa League

It was always likely to be a dramatic night of Europa League action – the close contests from last week’s first legs ensured that.

Another Thursday in the tournament which has provided us with compelling viewing and continues to create Europa League highlights.

The pre-match questions included, could Manchester United end their Sevilla curse, could Roma overturn a narrow deficit to Feyenoord in their bid for back-to-back European trophies in what threatened to be a tense atmosphere (if only outside the stadium) in a repeat of last season’s Europa League Final, would fellow Italians Juventus join them in the last four as they try to save their season and could Belgian underdogs Saint-Gilloise, playing in Europe for the first time since 1964-65, knock out another European regular in the week the club is celebrating its 125th anniversary.

Well one of those questions was answered before a ball was even kicked as Juve saw a 15-point Serie A penalty, imposed for false accounting, put on hold pending a new hearing.

That means this competition was not last chance saloon for the Turin club as they immediately moved from seventh in Serie A to third, two points behind second-placed Lazio and three ahead of fourth-placed Roma. Milan and Inter.

They still wanted to progress in this tournament, of course, as they travelled to Portugal with a narrow advantage over Sporting Lisbon.

Sevilla's Youssef En-Nesyri scored a brace against Man United in Europa League
Sevilla’s Youssef En-Nesyri celebrates scoring their third goal vs Manchester United

That lead was doubled as they made the perfect start with Adrien Rabiot’s ninth-minute header making it 2-0 on aggregate.

Yet as they showed when they beat Spurs in the Champions League group stages and knocked out their North London rivals Arsenal in the previous round, Sporting have genuine talent.

They were level on the night within nine minutes as Rabiot brought down Manuel Ugarte and Marcus Edwards converted the resulting penalty.

Despite chances, they could not add another as Juve held out to earn a semi-final tie with Sevilla who were far too strong for lacklustre Man Utd.

The club which made this tournament their own accepted gifts from as early as the eighth minute as Youssef En-Nesyri capitalised on a Harry Maguire error to open the scoring before Loic Bade met an Ivan Rakitic corner and looped a header – although it could have been off his shoulder – over David de Gea within 90 seconds of the restart.

Lethargic United, who led the first leg 2-0 until late on last week, never looked like getting back into the tie and the visiting goalkeeper capped a miserable return to his home country in the closing stages as he gifted the ball to En-Nesyri who cleverly added his second.

Sevilla were good value for their win which makes a mockery of their La Liga position and remain unbeaten since Jose Luis Mendilibar was appointed last month.

Elsewhere, the spirited run of Saint-Gilloise, who continued to outdo the SBOTOP Europa League betting odds, is finally over after Bayer Leverkusen hit four in Belgium.

In truth, the Germans never looked back once Moussa Diaby was inadvertently played through to rifle Bayer in front after just two minutes with his 14th of the season.

When Mitchel Bakker ghosted in unmarked seven minutes before the interval to double their advantage, it seemed all over.

Jeremie Frimpong capitalised on slack defensive play on the hour to make the tie safe and, although the hosts pulled one back almost straight away through a deflected effort from substitute Casper Terho, Adam Hlozek slotted home a rebound 11 minutes from time to confirm their place in the last four.

There they will face Roma after a ding-dong in the Italian capital.

After a goalless and tetchy first half in the Stadio Olimpico, the home side came within inches of levelling the tie on aggregate as captain Lorenzo Pellegrini rattled the post.

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Bologna Asian Handicap -0.25 @ 2.33
Over 2.25 @ 2.25
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The Serie A side had better fortune on the hour as the Dutch side failed to clear their lines and Leonardo Spinazzola’s deflected shot ended up in the bottom corner.

Roma sensed another and momentarily though they had when Bryan Cristante had the ball in the net only for a push by Tammy Abraham to be spotted.

When Brazilian winger Igor Paixao was left unmarked moments later to turn home a free header, three quarters of the stadium was silenced and the visitors were elated.

However, with just a minute remaining on the clock, Pellegrini found substitute Paulo Dybala who swiftly turned his marker and fired home from a difficult angle.

Into extra-time and Roger Ibanez hit the woodwork but there seemed an inevitability that, backed by a raucous crowd, the home side would prevail and from a Pellegrini ball, Abraham rolled it across and there was Stephan El Shaarawy to tap in from close range.

Rome was rocking and the Italians had broken Feyenoord hearts once more.

Just to rub salt into the wounds, man of the match Pellegrini added a fourth in the second part of extra-time, converting a rebound from an Abraham shot.

Santiago Gimenez’s red card for a high tackle in the final seconds merely summed up the frustration felt by all those in the visiting ranks.

So close, yet so far again.

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10-May 2023 Wednesday 12:52 PM (345 days ago)            #63
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Europa League: Can Reeling Roma Rally Against Leverkusen?

AS Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen

After claiming the Europa Conference League last season, Jose Mourinho’s Roma remain in contention for another European title as they face Bayern Leverkusen in the Europa League semi-finals.

However, the Italians have been in awful form as they’ve gone winless in their last four games since securing their spot in the semis.

They now take on a Leverkusen side that will be playing in their first European semi-final since reaching the Champions League final in 2002.

The German side are led by Xabi Alonso, who played for Mourinho at Real Madrid. And the Spanish great will be keen to defy the Europa League 2023 betting odds and get one over on his old boss in the first leg in Rome.

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Talking Points

Roma struggling and banged up

Roma are making another late European cup run. The reigning Europa Conference League champions have reached the Europa League semi-finals after beating Feyenoord 4-2 on aggregate in the quarter-finals. Roma forced extra-time with a 2-1 win, then scored two more goals to clinch the tie.

However, the Giallorossi have struggled in Serie A since that win. They suffered losses to Atalanta and Inter, as well as two 1-1 draws against AC Milan and Monza. Those poor results have seen Roma drop to seventh in Serie A.

Roma were without several key players in their 2-0 loss to Inter, including defenders Chris Smalling, Diego Llorente, midfielder Gini Wijnaldum, and forward Stephan El Shaarawy.

Wijnaldum is back in training, which is a good sign for Roma. But Smalling is still not back and is looking unlikely to feature in the first leg.

Meanwhile, Mourinho will be hoping Paulo Dybala will be fit to play more than half an hour. The World Cup-winning Argentine, who is Roma’s leading scorer in Serie A with 11 goals, as well as 6 assists, has only come on as a substitute in each of his last three appearances after suffering a hip injury in the first leg against Feyenoord.

However, Dybala was still able to make more Europa League 2023 highlights as he scored in second-leg extra-time. Dybala also leads the team with four Europa League goals in nine appearances.

Leverkusen suffer first loss in a long time

Bayer Leverkusen are back in a European cup semi-final for the first time since their shock run to the Champions League final in 2002. The Germans overpowered Union St Gilloise 5-2 on aggregate in the quarter-finals to book their place in the last four.

However, Leverkusen suffered a setback in their build-up to their semi-final first leg as they lost 2-1 at home to Koln over the weekend. That loss snapped their 14-game unbeaten run (10 wins, 4 draws) in all competitions.

Bayer Leverkusen are looking to get the first-leg advantage against AS Roma in their Europa League tie
Bayer Leverkusen manager Xabi Alonso commanding from the touchline during their match against FC Koln

Xabi Alonso fielded a fairly strong side against Koln, but the players were likely looking ahead to their big midweek match.

Young striker Adam Hlozek, who did not start on the weekend, starred in the second leg against Union St Gilloise as he had a goal and an assist. But it remains to be seen whether Alonso will start the 20-year-old Czech striker or go with his more fluid front three of Florian Wirtz, Moussa Diaby and Amine Adli.

Wirtz has raised his game in the Europa League, with three goals and two assists in six appearances in the competition this season.

History

This will be the fifth meeting between Roma and Leverkusen in European competition. Both teams have one win apiece against the other, while there have been two draws in their previous four matches.

The matches between the two have been high-scoring affairs, with 19 total goals in the four games.

Roma have been remarkably successful in European competitions of late; they have progressed in 10 of their last 11 major European knockout ties, including the last seven in a row.

Betting Tip

SBOTOP odds have Roma installed as 2.10 favourites to win the first leg at home. Leverkusen are priced at 3.25, while a draw is 3.20.

While Roma are not in the best of form, they have shown they know how to win in European ties. And they will also be that much tougher to beat at home. Look for Mourinho to set his Roma side up for a classic European performance, one that will not allow Leverkusen much space in the final third. As a result, expect this first leg to be a low-scoring affair.

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10-May 2023 Wednesday 12:55 PM (345 days ago)            #64
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Europa League: Will Juventus Beat Sevilla in Their Own Competition?

Juventus vs Sevilla

Juventus’ pursuit for their first major European trophy in more than two decades continues, as they’re set to host Sevilla this Thursday at the Allianz Stadium.

Juventus got this far by beating Sporting most recently in the quarter-finals, while Sevilla are here after defeating Manchester United in what was a huge upset.

Both Juventus and Sevilla have picked up form domestically, as the former is undefeated in three consecutive league games, while the latter has won four of their last five.

The pre-game SBOTOP betting odds have Juventus as the favourite to win this semi-final tie, but it’s hard to overlook the fact that the Europa League has been Sevilla’s happy hunting ground, as they’ve won in this competition a record six times.

Talking Points

Juventus’ attack looks much better

Dusan Vlahovic is eyeing a Europa League trophy this season with Juventus
Juventus’ Dusan Vlahovic celebrates after their Serie A match against Atalanta

Dusan Vlahovic is back on the scoresheet for Juventus, which means bad news for their opponents. The Serbian international has taken his tally to 13 goals this season following his goals against Atalanta and Lecce recently.

Despite his lack of consistent game time, Vlahovic is still the leading scorer for I Bianconeri. Reports claim that Vlahovic is becoming increasingly unsettled in Turin, so if he becomes more consistent, his stock will rise within and outside of the club.

Several Premier League teams are monitoring Vlahovic’s situation at Juventus, with the likes of Arsenal, Manchester United, and Aston Villa reportedly interested.

Besides Vlahovic, Adrien Rabiot and Arek Milik have also displayed their shooting touch, and they’re the second and third-leading scorers of this squad, with 11 and nine goals, respectively.

But another guy to keep an eye on if you’re Sevilla is Samuel Iling-Junior, who is relishing his new opportunities in Turin. The 19-year-old winger got his first Serie A start against Atalanta, and he scored the first goal of the game to give his team the lead for good.

Because of his fine performance against La Dea, Juventus confirmed that they won’t let Iling-Junior go to play for England in the U-20 World Cup because they need more bodies as we head down to the final stretch of this campaign.

Iling-Junior adds pace to Juventus’ frontline, so we won’t be surprised if Max Allegri names him in the starting lineup once again on Thursday.

Europa League or bust for Sevilla

Despite being safe from relegation, Sevilla’s 2022-23 campaign is going to be deemed a bust, except if they somehow win the Europa League this year.

But even if they’re the winningest team in this competition, the odds are stacked against Los Palanganas because they have been bad on the road and they have key injuries to deal with.

First-choice centre-back Tanguy Nianzou was out against Espanyol due to injury, and he has yet to train with the team this week, while Suso and Tecatito are listed as doubtful for Thursday.

Sevilla will need strong outings from Youssef En-Nesyri and Lucas Ocampos, and these two forwards are capable of producing new Europa League 2023 highlights, just like what they did to Manchester United in the previous round.

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History

Prior to Thursday, Juventus and Sevilla had faced off in Europe four times, all in the Champions League between 2015-16 and 2016-17. In this particular matchup, the Old Lady has the edge with two wins, one draw, and a loss, while they are undefeated at home (W1, D1).

However, Juventus have lost each of their last two home matches against La Liga sides in Europe, failing to score in either match. Those were against Barcelona in the group stages of the 2020-21 Champions League and versus Villarreal in the Round of 16 of the same tournament in 2021-22.

Sevilla have won each of their last six matches against Italian opposition in the Europa League. Their most recent one was when they won their last trophy after beating Inter Milan in the 2019-20 final.

Betting Tip

As mentioned, the Europa League 2023 odds like Juventus’ chances to win at home because they’re priced at 1.77 to win, while Sevilla are at 4.10, and a draw is at 3.45 in the 1X2 market.

The reason why Juventus are backed heavily is because they have never been beaten at home in the Europa League since its rebranding in 2009, although Sevilla are going to make it close.

Juventus are likely to win this via another ho-hum affair. However, along with their improvements in the final third and Sevilla’s crop of attackers, we will see some goals, making Total Goal 2-3 at 1.82 a viable alternative.

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10-May 2023 Wednesday 12:57 PM (345 days ago)            #65
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Champions League: The Final Top Four Push

For the biggest teams in Europe, if the race for the domestic title is done, Champions League qualification is the Holy Grail… and there are some major battles going on among the big four leagues.

So here we are with our SBOTOP analysis of the top four scrambles in Italy, Germany, England and Spain; and let’s make a call on which teams will be celebrating come May.

Three between six in Serie A

The most frantic race for Champions League is in Italy where Lazio, Juventus, Inter Milan, AC Milan, Roma and Atalanta are all within six points with six games to play.

Napoli are long gone and are about to claim their first Scudetto triumph since 1990 and the latest reckon Lazio and Juventus are set to join them among Europe’s elite. While the Milan clubs have blown hot and cold Lazio have been superbly consistent and are second, a point ahead of I Bianconeri who have suffered a wretched year off the pitch and will be determined to nail down their top four spot as soon as possible, starting with a home game against Lecce on Wednesday.

Inter Milan, whose Champions League 2023 odds of winning the tournament are still quite decent as they face rivals Milan in the semi-finals, have moved up to fourth with back-to-back wins while Atalanta is the other form side, with four wins from the last six games. A home game against Spezia gives La Dea a chance to continue their good run, while Inter have a tricky game away to Hellas Verona.

Bundesliga underdogs are fighting off Red Bull

While FC Bayern and Borussia Dortmund battle it out for the German title, RB Leipzig are in serious danger of missing out on a Champions League spot as FC Union Berlin and SC Freiburg attempt to hold them off. Die Roten Bullen’s Bundesliga results have picked up recently, with three wins from their last four games and a 1-0 win over TSG Hoffenheim, courtesy of a Christopher Nkunku goal, helped them climb to within two points of their rivals.

RB Leipzig are still vying for a place in the Champions League
Can RB Leipzig’s Christopher Nkunku help his team qualify for the Champions League?

Union Berlin were held 0-0 at home by sixth-placed Bayer Leverkusen to stay third on 56, while SC Freiburg trail on goal difference alone after making it three wins on the bounce. There are two huge games on the horizon as Freiburg host Leipzig this week and they follow that blockbuster clash with a trip away to Union Berlin next week. If Freiburg win either of those two games they could torpedo a rival; if they lose them both they are probably sunk.

Liverpool’s desperate Premier League charge

As Manchester City and Arsenal battle it out for the Premier League title, the Uniteds of Newcastle and Manchester are in very strong positions to join the leaders in next year’s Champions League. Manchester United are in fourth place and seven points ahead of Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool, who probably need to win their remaining five games if they are to have a serious chance.

Serie A
JUVENTUS
US LECCE
1X2 Juventus 1.59
Juventus Asia Handicap -1.00 @ 2.12
Over 2.00 @ 1.70
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

But the resurgent Reds are aiming for a fifth league win on the bounce when they take on Fulham this week and Manchester United have a daunting trip away to Brighton, a game they could easily lose. If the results go well for Liverpool the gap will be down to four points and then the race might just be on. But the Red Devils have home games against Wolves, Chelsea and Fulham to come, so it will be a major surprise if Erik Ten Hag’s side blow it.

Sociedad or Villarreal will take the last spot in La Liga

Barcelona are closing in on the La Liga title, nine points clear of the pack with six games to play and with a home game against Osasuna on Tuesday evening. Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, on 68 and 66 points, are battling it out for second place while Real Sociedad sit a further eight points back in fourth.

La Real have been in the top four for much of the campaign but they have been inconsistent of late, winning three, drawing one and losing two of the last six games, allowing Villarreal to climb to within five points in fifth place. The gap could shrink further this week if the Yellow Submarine can win away to struggling Valencia on Wednesday after Sociedad face Real Madrid on Tuesday.

If La Real can beat Los Blancos then they will have one hand on a top-four place while giving the Blaugrana a huge lift up towards the title. But if they fail, then Villarreal will have an even bigger incentive against Los Che as they continue their quest to make Champions League 2023 highlights.

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10-May 2023 Wednesday 12:58 PM (345 days ago)            #66
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Champions League: A Semi-Final Showdown for the Ages Awaits

Real Madrid vs Manchester City

When it comes to Real Madrid in the Champions League, the stats speak for themselves. This is Los Blancos’ tenth semi-final appearance in the last 12 seasons and they are eyeing a sixth European crown since 2014, along with a 15th European Cup in total.

To give that some context, no other club has won more than AC Milan’s seven.

Despite all of that, they are not favourites for this tie against arguably the richest club in the world.

Indeed, many feel it is the destiny of Manchester City to be crowned champions of Europe this season.

Furthermore, they have a record-breaking striker in their ranks shooting down everyone before them.

The scene is set for a potential classic.

Talking Points

Let me take you back just over 12 months to exactly the same stage of the competition and a first leg which will live long in the memory of neutrals as the two sides produced the joint-highest scoring ever Champions League semi-final.

Somehow, though, the drama was not over.

The following week, I can still remember leaving the hotel restaurant where I was enjoying a few days’ holiday with City 1-0 up in the second leg in Madrid and 5-3 ahead on aggregate with minutes remaining.

By the time I got back to the hotel room and checked the score, I could not believe what I was seeing.

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The remarkable turnaround saw Rodrygo score twice – in the 90th minute and then in stoppage time – before Karim Benzema’s extra-time penalty won the day and sealed a 6-5 aggregate victory.

As reporter Simon Hart said at the time: ‘In some ways, Madrid’s progress to their 17th final in this competition defies all logic. As against Paris (PSG) and Chelsea, they looked down and out. Yet again, though, they dug deep and found a way. No Madrid side had previously overturned a first-leg semi-final deficit in this competition, yet this is no ordinary side. Ancelotti’s men simply don’t know when they’re beaten – and thanks to Rodrygo’s late, late double and Benzema’s spot kick, Paris beckons. The Bernabéu has worked its magic once more.’

Twelve months on and, while City are favourites to avenge that defeat, they were a year ago also so how could anybody dare to write off Madrid?

The ease with which Carlo Ancelotti’s side dispatched Chelsea (4-0 on aggregate in the quarter-finals) showed just how much belief and confidence the Spanish side possess in this competition and they come into this contest off the back of winning the Copa del Rey.

City come into it as Premier League leaders, unbeaten since February and with a player in Erling Haaland who has taken his Champions League tally to 12 for the season, and is still in with a chance at breaking a long-standing record.

The 17 goals Cristiano Ronaldo scored for Madrid in the 2013/14 campaign is yet to be bettered in a single campaign but, if City manage to progress to the final, it would mean Haaland has three games to score at least six goals and make history.

It is a tall ask for sure but, if anybody can do it, the 22-year-old goal machine can – he already has taken just 27 games to reach 35 Champions League goals.

So many talking points, so many strengths. A fascinating semi-final awaits.

History

Manchester City's last Champions League match against Real Madrid ended in a 3-1 defeat
Former Manchester City players Fernandinho and Joao Cancelo during their semi-final game vs Real Madrid last May 2022

These sides have had some key clashes in the past decade.

None more so of course than in the semi-finals last season.

They met in the 2016 semi-finals too, drawing 0-0 in Manchester before Fernando’s own goal at the Santiago Bernabéu took Real to the final, where they beat city rivals Atletico on penalties.

Pep Guardiola’s men avenged that defeat in 2020, with 2-1 success away – a night when Sergio Ramos received the 26th red card of his career and Manchester City came of age in Europe – and then at home on a night when City took advantage of Real defensive errors.

I billed that as the match of the week anywhere in world football and this Tuesday’s clash is exactly the same.

The sides’ only other competitive fixtures came in the 2012/13 group stage when Madrid twice came from behind to win 3-2 in Spain on Matchday 1. City led twice through Edin Džeko (68) and Aleksandar Kolarov (85) but Madrid responded through Marcelo (76) and Benzema (87) before Cristiano Ronaldo snatched a 90th-minute victory.

The return in Manchester ended one-apiece with Sergio Agüero’s penalty cancelling out Benzema’s 10th minute opener.

Those four points helped José Mourinho’s Madrid finish second in Group D, behind Borussia Dortmund; City, then managed by Roberto Mancini, ended bottom with three points having not won a game.

Betting Tip

It says much that City are favourites to win in the backyard of the Spanish and European champions.

They are priced 1X2 @ 2.16 and Asian Handicap -0.50 @ 2.17 with the SBOTOP Champions League betting odds.

They are attractive odds, of course, as are Real 1X2 @ 2.91 and Asian Handicap +0.25 @ 2.02.

I’ve considered goal options such as total 0-1 @ 3.90, 4-6 @ 2.98 and even a repeat of the second leg of their semi-final in Spain last season with Correct Score 3-1 on offer @ 29.00.

Two bets that really have me tempted are Half Time Full Time Draw Home @ 7.60 and Draw Draw 4.90. However, I have decided to go for a *** prediction of 1X2 Draw @ 3.40.

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10-May 2023 Wednesday 1:00 PM (345 days ago)            #67
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Champions League: This Milan Derby is So Hot!

AC Milan vs Inter Milan

Few Champions League fans could have predicted this, but Wednesday night in Milan will see the city’s two giant football clubs competing for a place in the European final.

Neither AC Milan nor Inter were in the leading group, according to the early predictions, but now they are one step away from the final. I Rossoneri saw off the highly fancied Napoli in the quarter-finals while I Nerazzurri came out on top of free-scoring Benfica.

The latest Champions League 2023 betting odds pitch the Milan teams as outsiders, Inter at 7.20 and AC at 7.50 with Manchester City the hot favourites at 1.67 and Real Madrid at 4.20. But despite the markets saying the champions will come from the other match, the Serie A giants have every right to believe this could be their year. Both have won the Scudetto recently and can prepare for this game on the back of great performances.

Milan boss Stefano Pioli has been coming under increasing pressure after a sequence of draws, but his situation was eased as I Rossoneri beat Lazio 2-0 in a pivotal top-four clash on Saturday. Meanwhile Simone Inzaghi’s Inter pulled off an impressive 2-0 win away to another high-flying rival, Roma. Inter are priced at 1.67 to navigate this tie with AC Milan out at SBOTOP odds of 2.21, and we can look forward to two epics. 

Talking Points – The Big Battles

Lautaro Martinez vs Fikayo Tomori 

Lautaro Martinez of Inter Milan will try to score goals against AC Milan in their Champions League semifinal match
Inter Milan striker Lautaro Martinez celebrates scoring their third goal against Hellas Verona

He’s one of the hottest strikers in European football at the moment and World Cup winner Lautaro Martinez will be a vital player for Inter Milan in this tie. With 19 goals in the Italian league, he is second in the race for the Capocannoniere, three behind Napoli’s Victor Osimhen. Martinez is a dynamic, quick and agile striker, technically gifted and with the ability to score all manner of goals, with either foot, and he is a strong header of the ball.

Rossoneri centre-back Fikayo Tomori is the man who will try to stop Martinez, returning to the side for the victory over Lazio and coming through unscathed. He’s recently made his 100th appearance for I Rossoneri since his £24m switch from Chelsea and he became a big player in Milan’s Scudetto triumph last season. Tomori has the pace to cope with Martinez and this will be a key tussle.

Olivier Giroud vs Francesco Acerbi

An injury to Rafael Leao in the 11th minute of Milan’s victory over Lazio was a blow to Pioli and it is uncertain whether the Portuguese striker will play any part. But the Milan boss can rely on the evergreen Olivier Giroud who, with five goals in the Champions League, is I Rossoneri’s top scorer. The French striker is brilliant in the air and he will meet the challenge of experienced centre-back Francesco Acerbi who, at 6ft 4in, is a powerful figure in the heart of defence, tough tackling and very comfortable on the ball and Acerbi will let Giroud know he is in a game.

Sandro Tonali vs Marcelo Brozovic

Both teams will battle hard for midfield supremacy and each has a lynchpin who is capable of dominating. AC Milan’s Sandro Tonali is still only 22 years old but he has already picked up 14 caps for Italy and has been likened to legendary midfield stars, Andrea Pirlo and Luka Modric. A cultured player with superb reading of the game, Tonali is the metronome of this Milan side.

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He will come up against a tough operator in the form of Inter’s Croatian star Marcelo Brozovic who can play in a deep-lying position or as a driving box-to-box midfielder. Whichever player has the better game will free up space for his strikers.

History

AC Milan have been champions of Europe seven times, with only Real Madrid winning more Champions Leagues and European Cups. Meanwhile, Inter have won three times.

Inter are in front in the head in the head-to-head results with 30 victories to Milan’s 24, while there have been 19 draws in all competitions since 1993. Inzaghi’s men have come out on top twice already this year, winning 3-0 in the SuperCoppa in January and 1-0 in the league in February.

Both teams are in good form; Milan are unbeaten in nine games while Inter are on a winning run of five.

Betting Tip

I’ll be back with the Champions League 2023 updates on Wednesday night when I suspect I’ll report on a Manchester City win in Madrid… but this clash does not have a clear favourite. 

Milan are at odds of 2.83 to win the first leg with Inter at 2.27 and I think they may well cancel each other out to leave the tie delicately balanced. In a white-hot atmosphere at the San Siro neither side will want to give an advantage and the most likely score line is a 1-1 draw at odds of 4.84. 

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17-May 2023 Wednesday 5:47 PM (337 days ago)            #68
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Europa League: Sevilla Aim to Finish the Job on Juve

Sevilla vs Juventus

Europa League action returns on Thursday as Sevilla host Juventus in a semi-final second leg tie, with the match beautifully in the balance after the two teams played out a 1-1 draw in Turin.

Sevilla simply love this competition as six-time winners, and they’ll be backed by a passionate crowd at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium. But the Europa League 2023 betting odds reckon it’s a close one to call.

In fact, Roma are the favourites to win the competition at a SBOTOP price of 3.15, while Sevilla are at 3.25, and Juventus not far behind at 3.40. Even Bayer Leverkusen at odds of 5.00 will fancy turning around a one-goal deficit with a home leg to play against the Romans.

Sevilla coach Jose Mendilibar will have his team well prepared for this game and they will be full of confidence, arriving on the back of a 3-0 win away to Real Valladolid, while Max Allegri will have a plan to steal Sevilla’s slight advantage.

I Bianconeri come into the game with a 2-0 win over Cremonese and have won three Serie A games on the run.

Talking Points

The story so far

Juventus are hoping to secure a place in the Europa League final
Juventus’ Frederico Gatti celebrates scoring their first goal against Sevilla in the Europa League

Both semi-final first leg Europa League 2023 results left the ties nicely balanced and it was a late, late goal from Federico Gatti which earned the Old Lady parity when Juventus hosted Sevilla last week.

The hosts dominated the early exchanges, and Dusan Vlahovic should have done better when he blasted a shot over the bar from close range after good work from Filip Kostic. But Sevilla took the lead when Lucas Ocampos teed up Youssef En-Nesyri for Sevilla’s opener midway through the first half.

Sevilla could have gone further ahead, having five shots on target to Juventus’ two, but their failure to extend their lead left the door open for I Bianconeri. And with 97 minutes on the clock, Paul Pogba headed across to Gatti who nodded home. Had Sevilla held out, they would have inflicted a first ever Europa League home defeat on I Bianconeri.

There was more disappointment for Sevilla as Ocampos limped off to be replaced by Gonzalo Montiel before the break.

Weekend action

Sevilla responded well to the late disappointment in Turin with a resounding win away to Real Valladolid on Sunday.

Mendilibar made changes to his team by resting En-Nesyri, skipper Jesus Navas, and keeper Bono, while Ocampos was not in the picture. The attacking midfielder has suffered this season with knee and ankle injuries and looks unlikely to feature on Thursday.

Following a quiet first half, Sevilla exploded into life after the break and Rafa Mir broke the deadlock on 50 minutes. Papu Gomez added a second on 78 and Jesus Corona made it three in stoppage time.

The victory took Sevilla into the top half of the table and 13 points clear of the drop. After a nightmare first half of the campaign, they are back to their best and the spectre of a relegation scrap is long gone.

Juventus took on Cremonese on Sunday and they too put in a strong second half display to take all three points thanks to goals from Nicolo Fagioli and centre-back Gleison Bremer, who headed home from a corner.

The win put the second placed Bianconeri eight points clear of AC Milan in fifth, so they will be playing Champions League football next year.

Sevilla must win this competition to join Europe’s elite.

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History

Juventus have won three of the meetings with Sevilla, losing just once and drawing the other two.

While Sevilla have won this competition six times and four in the last decade, their visitors also have a rich heritage in Europe, winning the Europa League/UEFA Cup three times and they have been Champions of Europe twice.

There isn’t a lot to choose between the two teams in terms of recent form, Los Sevillistas are slightly better at four wins, one draw, and one defeat compared to I Bianconeri’s three wins, two draws, and one defeat.

Betting Tip

Juventus are unbeaten in five matches and at odds of 2.58 to win this leg or 3.06 to draw, and I suspect they’ll keep that run going.

Sevilla are slight favourites to win at a price of 2.40, but they will find it hard to beat the wily Italians who will be at full strength again.

I think this tie will go to extra time and I’m going to go for the most likely scoreline: a repeat of the first leg 1-1. And then it’s time to bite your fingernails.

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17-May 2023 Wednesday 5:48 PM (337 days ago)            #69
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Europa League: Two Comrades but Only One can be on the Verge of Glory

Bayer Leverkusen vs AS Roma

The Europa League Final is beckoning for a pretender from Germany or Italy.

Both have been starved of success in modern times, in fact Bayer Leverkusen have been one of the ‘nearly men’ of European football.

Yet now there is a chance for them to put that right as two men who worked together in Spain go head-to-head in the dugout.

It’s Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen against Jose Mourinho’s AS Roma.

Talking Points

Let me start with the visitors.

After a first season in which he delivered some silverware, albeit at the most basic of levels for a club of Roma’s stature, I suggested the jury was still out on Mourinho with his current charges.

For success in the Europa Conference – a competition set up to grant more clubs access to European football and the poor relation of football’s trophies – could not mask the bigger picture.

I said at the time that it had little kudos and, only if the triumph sparked improvement and tangible success for the club from the capital in the years to come, would it be considered a worthwhile launchpad.

That remains my view which would soften should he then guide them to Europa League success.

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Roma certainly impressed in the quarter-finals as they overcame the challenge of now newly crowned Dutch champions Feyenoord in style.

But with them losing momentum in Serie A since then, a goalless draw in Bologna at the weekend left them six points behind the top four in Serie A with only three games remaining, this really is their only chance – especially if, as suggested, Mourinho is snaffled up by the riches of Paris St Germain in the summer.

Leverkusen are in a similar boat domestically.

They followed up their narrow first leg loss in Rome last week with a 1-1 draw at VfB Stuttgart and the best they can hope for is a sixth place finish in the Bundesliga.

You can make the stats sound positive for either team.

Leverkusen have progressed to the next round after failing to win the first leg twice already during this Europa League campaign.

They were defeated 3-2 at home by Monaco in the first leg of their play-off round tie before eventually progressing on penalties, while they drew 1-1 with Belgian underdogs Saint-Gilloise in last month’s quarter-finals before cantering to a 4-1 victory in the return fixture.

Their home form is largely impressive too.

A 2-0 victory against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League in September set the tone in that regard.

A 5-0 win over Union Berlin in November was another highlight, while a series of four wins on the bounce at their own ground this spring – against Hertha Berlin (4-1), Bayern Munich (2-1), Eintracht Frankfurt (3-1) and Leipzig (2-0) – raised levels even further.

Roma have not generally enjoyed the most favourable results in Germany and their you have to go back 22 years to their last away success against a Bundesliga outfit – against Hamburg in the UEFA Cup.

However, they have emerged victorious in 10 of their last 11 UEFA knockout ties.

So, there we have it.

AS Roma have won the first leg of their Europa League semi-finals tie against Bayer Leverkusen
AS Roma players celebrate after winning against Bayer Leverkusen at Stadio Olimpico

Alonso facing Mourinho; the Spaniard pitting his wits against the Portuguese manager who was his boss between 2010 and 2013 at Real Madrid, where the two won the 2011 Copa Del Rey and La Liga the following season.

They certainly have momentum under Alonso and there are reasons to believe more Europa League highlights could be just around the corner.

Although it is never wise to write off Mourinho.

History

In addition to last week’s first leg, these teams have met four times before – all in the Champions League.

In 2015 they shared an eight goal thriller which was pulsating from start to last.

Javier Hernandez netted twice inside the opening 19 minutes before a Daniele De Rossi double brought the club from the Italian capital level by the break.

Miralem Pjanic and Iago Falque then put the visitors 4-2 in front only for the spirited hosts to score twice in three minutes through Kevin Kampl and Admir Mehmedi as the contest finished 4-4.

There was plenty of excitement in the return fixture which Roma edged 3-2, thanks to an 80th minute Pjanic spot-kick.

On that occasion, Roma had raced into a 2-0 lead via Mohamed Salah and Edin Dzeko before Mehmedi and Hernandez restored parity early in the second half.

In the 2004 group stages, the match in Roma finished level pegging as Dimitar Berbatov and Vincenzo Montella traded goals, all in the final eight minutes.

Leverkusen won in Germany as they recovered from conceding a first half own goal to run out 3-1 winners with Roque Junior, Jacek Krzynówek and Franca all on target in the second half.

Betting Tip

The SBOTOP Europa League betting odds actually make Leverkusen clear favourites.

Roma are priced 1X2 @ 3.30 and Asian Handicap +0.25 @ 2.17.

Meanwhile, the hosts are on offer 1X2 @ 2.06 and Asian Handicap – 0.75 @ 2.42.

All those odds are tempting, as is the prize available should they play out another 4-4 – a repeat scoreline would see Correct Score pay out @ 225.00.

I expect a close contest with a few goals and total goal 0-1 @ 2.60 and 1X2 Draw @ 3.20 caught my eye.

However, I am going for Leverkusen to claw back the deficit with a ** prediction of Half Time Full Time Home Home @ 2.76. Whether that is enough to win the tie, of course, remains to be seen.

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17-May 2023 Wednesday 5:50 PM (337 days ago)            #70
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Champions League: Advantage City…But It’s Tight

Manchester City are in charge of their Champions League destiny after emerging from a thrilling first leg semi-final tie in Madrid with a 1-1 draw.

Vinicius Junior gave Real Madrid a spectacular first half lead, against the run of play, before Kevin De Bruyne matched him mid way through the second period. City have an advantage now as they head back to their home ground, but it will be a big test against Champions League experts, and the winners will meet either AC or Inter Milan; who met at the San Siro on Wednesday and it was Inter who emerged with a 2-0 advantage.

Real Madrid against Manchester City is a blockbuster of mega proportions and it certainly delivered on Tuesday night as the two European heavyweights traded two ferocious blows to emerge from the Santiago Bernabeu with a draw and the tie still in the balance. The Sky Blues will be confident of finishing the job at the Etihad Stadium but they had to dig deep after Vinicius gave Los Blancos the lead with a brilliant strike.

City had dominated the early exchanges and Thibaut Courtois was forced into making four saves within a quarter of an hour while the Madrid fans became restless with their team’s lack of possession. But there was nothing the Sky Blues’ keeper Ederson could do about Los Blancos opener. Eduardo Camavinga made a brilliant driving run into the Manchester half and fed Vinicius who hit a 25 yard pile driver beyond the Brazilian and into the corner of the net. Take a look at the Champions League 2023 highlights when you get the chance…you won’t regret it.

It was Real Madrid’s only real opportunity of the first half but what a goal!

Champions League: Vinicius Junior opened the scoring in Real Madrid's 1-1 draw against Manchester City
Vinicius Junior scores Real Madrid’s first goal against Manchester City

That wonder strike seemed to change the game as Los Blancos searched for a second goal after the break, but then they were stopped by City’s screamer and, this time it was De Bruyne leaving Courtois standing as his 25 yard thunderbolt flew into the net. It was just what City deserved as they went unbeaten in 21 games, a run which includes 17 victories, and their dreams of a treble are alive and kicking. With 55 per cent possession and six shots on target to Los Blancos’ four the Sky Blues edged it. But Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti was angry during and after the game because he thought Bernardo Silva had taken the ball out of play in the run up to De Bruyne’s pile-driver.

The Madrid boss was booked for his remonstrations but continued to fume at the final whistle.

Real Madrid do have a psychological advantage, having won the last five bouts against English sides, including a semi-final win over Manchester City last season. Pep Guardiola’s Sky Blues are aiming for revenge for that 6-5 aggregate loss and now they have a steely look about them, almost unbeatable, and they will be favourites when the two sides meet in Manchester.

The Champions League 2023 betting odds are right behind the Sky Blues and the SBOTOP team will be on the ball with all the odds, stats and updates before, during and after what promises to be a must-watch second leg.

Inter out of the blocks at lightning speed 

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The Champions League Milan derby kicked off in explosive fashion as Inter became only the fourth team in Champions League history to take a 2-0 lead within 11 minutes of the start of a semi-final. The first, on eight minutes, was a vintage strike from the 37 year old Edin Dzeko who met a corner with a brilliantly taken volley high into the net. The second, three minutes later, was a beautifully sculptured goal; Federico Dimarco cut the ball back and Lautaro Martinez left if for Henrikh Mkhitaryan to slot home, first time from around 12 yards.

It could have been much worse for Milan in the first half as Hakan Calhanoglu cannoned a fierce drive off the post and VAR intervened to overturn a penalty awarded when Martinez appeared to have been pulled back by Simon Kjaer; the Argentine striker had gone down a little easily.

Without the injured Rafael Leao, I Rossoneri struggled to make an impression up front but in a second half where they tried to work their way back into the game their fans stood by them, making a deafening noise inside the San Siro. Sandro Tonali almost halved the deficit but his low shot hit the post and that was as close as Milan came. So Milan is Blue and Black tonight and while I suspect AC Milan may feel a little bruised… this tie is not over yet.


 

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17-May 2023 Wednesday 5:52 PM (337 days ago)            #71
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Champions League: Inter Hold the Ace Card in Milan Derby

Inter Milan vs AC Milan

For one team, it was a nightmare start; for the other, a dream come true.

After weeks of hype about the first Milan derby in the Champions League since 2005, AC Milan trailed 2-0 inside 11 minutes.

This had not been the plan. Before kick-off, the ‘home’ supporters – both legs are being played at the San Siro ground AC and Inter share – unfurled a giant display of a devil’s face, along with the words: ‘Hell is empty, all the devils are here!’

What followed was a version of hell for players and fans of the hosts alike.

So now, on the eve of the second leg, the question is can AC Milan, who pipped their city rivals and neighbours to the Serie A title last year, save their season?

I suspect not and the SBOTOP Champions League betting odds concur.

Talking Points

Inter, the last Italian side to lift the trophy, come into the second leg riding a big wave after five consecutive wins in Serie A, scoring 18 goals and conceding just three in the process.

The latest was a 4-2 victory over Sassuolo on Saturday to cement third place in the table.

Of course, they are further boosted by their lightning quick start in last week’s first leg, a contest in which manager Simone Inzaghi saw his faith in experience handsomely pay off with 37 year-old Edin Dzeko and 34 year-old Henrikh Mkhitaryan the scorers.

It was actually the first time two players aged 34 or above had netted in a Champions League knockout match.

All that means it will take a turnaround of massive Champions League highlights proportions for Milan to rescue the tie.

They are in patchy form, as shown again on Saturday when, just a week after seeing off Lazio 2-0, they went down by the same scoreline at 18th placed Spezia.

After that match, some Milan players listened to what a group of their fans had to say before heading back down the tunnel – a gesture which seemed to be appreciated by what is considered a hardcore group of their supporters whose backing they will need more than ever if they are to turn the tie around.

Rafael Leao of AC Milan return to training for their Champions League semifinal match against Inter Milan
AC Milan forward Rafael Leao during training at Milanello

Milan received a boost when Rafael Leao took part in training with the rest of the first team squad at Milanello on Sunday morning.

They have a chance but surely will need an early goal if they are to harbour any doubts in the minds of the ‘home’ team in the second leg.

Inter hold all the ace cards right now.

History

They have already met four times this term.

In September, Milan won a five-goal thriller in Serie A when Leao scored twice as the defending champions came from a goal down.

Leao opened his account by levelling after Croatia midfielder Marcelo Brozovic had opened the scoring for Inter.

The Portugal forward crossed for Olivier Giroud to score, before beating two defenders to add Milan’s third and what proved to be the winner.

Dzeko brought Inter back into the game but Stefano Pioli’s side were the victors.

Inter have since gained a double dose of revenge.

In January, they defended their Italian Supercoppa crown with a 3-0 win over their city rivals.

Federico Dimarco opened the scoring with Dzeko doubling the lead inside the opening 21 minutes.

World Cup winner Lautaro Martinez rounded off the win by scoring his team’s third.

A few weeks later Martinez netted the only goal as Inter won the return league fixture.

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And then there was last week’s first leg.

Of course, these sides have real history in this competition.

Milan have won both previous contests on aggregate against their neighbours, including at this stage of their victorious 2002/03 campaign.

In the semi-finals that season, Héctor Cúper’s Inter drew 0-0 in the first leg for which they were the designated away team.

Andriy Shevchenko broke the deadlock in the tie with Milan’s opener in the return. Obafemi Martins levelled six minutes from time but Inter were unable to score again and bowed out on away goals.

Carlo Ancelotti’s Milan went on to beat another Italian side, Juventus, 3-2 on penalties after the final at Old Trafford had finished goalless.

Shevchenko was again on target in the 2004/05 quarter-final between the clubs when his 74th minute strike added to a first-half goal from Jaap Stam to claim a 2-0 home first-leg win against Roberto Mancini’s Inter.

Milan progressed after being awarded a 3-0 forfeit victory in the return.

The sides have met in 220 previous fixtures, Inter winning 82 – including four of the last five – and Milan 71 with 67 draws.

Inter also won the last two-legged contest between the clubs, running out 3-0 victors in last season’s Coppa Italia semi-finals. After a 0-0 draw in the away first leg, two first-half Martínez goals in the return put Inter in charge before Robin Gosens completed the win with a third.

Betting Tip

For me, much of Inter’s work are done and I think they will overcome a spirited start from Milan and progress to the Istanbul final with a 1X2 Draw @ 3.20 – my ** prediction.

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17-May 2023 Wednesday 5:54 PM (337 days ago)            #72
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Champions League: Things are Suddenly Looking Up for Manchester City

Manchester City vs Real Madrid

Manchester City head back home to the Etihad in high spirits ahead of the second leg of their Champions League semi-final tie against Real Madrid. That is because the rare treble is still in the cards this season, and they’re in full control of their destiny.

After holding Real Madrid to a 1-1 draw in the first leg, they seemingly have the edge in this tie, but it’s tight. They’re also one league victory away from securing yet another Premier League title, and they’re also through to the FA Cup Final to face Manchester United in June.

As for Real Madrid, the Champions League is the only one left to play for after they ceded the La Liga title to Barcelona recently.

The first leg certainly didn’t disappoint, so SBOTOP football fans can expect nothing less in the second leg this Wednesday.

Talking Points

Haaland can land the knockout punch for Manchester City

Pep Guardiola recently declared that Erling Haaland would play better in the second leg against Real Madrid.

Haaland had a difficult night at the Bernabeu in the first leg because Real Madrid’s defense, particularly Antonio Rudiger and David Alaba, subdued him. The Norwegian had the fewest touches in the opening game of any starting player, including goalkeepers Ederson and Thibaut Courtois, with only 21.

Given how he has performed at the Etihad this season, scoring 35 goals on home soil so far, Haaland is in line for a breakout performance. He just scored his 52nd goal of the campaign against Everton last time out.

Erling Haaland could be the key to Manchester City’s quest of reaching the final stage of the Champions League
Manchester City’s Erling Haaland vies for the ball against Real Madrid’s Vinicius Jr. during their recent first-leg tie

He was recently named England’s footballer of the year on Friday in recognition of his record-breaking campaign at the Etihad, winning by a whopping margin with 82-per cent of votes.

Since arriving from Borussia Dortmund, Erling Haaland has been living up to his promise, and it feels like he’s the final piece in the Manchester City jigsaw as they aim to win their first-ever Champions League trophy.

But Manchester City wouldn’t be in this position in the first place if it weren’t for Kevin De Bruyne, who scored their only goal in the first leg.

The Belgian talisman was given the night off in their 3-0 victory against Everton, so he will have fresh legs against Real Madrid.

Real Madrid need Benzema at 100-per cent

Carlo Ancelotti is sweating on the fitness of Karim Benzema, who was one of three Real Madrid stars missing from training ahead of the second leg against Manchester City.

Karim Benzema, Rodrygo, and David Alaba were all absent against Getafe last weekend, so the news of them sitting out practice is a cause for concern.

Benzema and Alaba have struggled with fitness issues all season, while Rodrygo was nursing himself during the latter stages of the first leg against the Sky Blues.

One would hope that this is all precautionary because all three of them are important in Carlo Ancelotti’s plans. But the most important is going to be Benzema, because they really don’t have a bona fide backup for him.

The Frenchman leads the team in scoring with 22 goals, and he also has five assists. If he’s not available against the Sky Blues, Vinicius Junior is going to lead up front for Los Blancos alongside Marco Asensio and Fede Valverde.

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History

Since Pep Guardiola took over as their manager, the Sky Blues have only lost one of their last five meetings against Los Blancos in the Champions League (W3, D1).

Prior to this stretch, Manchester City were winless in their first four games against Real Madrid in this competition between 2012 and 2016 (D2, L2).

Real Madrid are winless in their previous four away games against Manchester City in the Champions League (D2, L2), losing each of the last two. However, they won their last two away games against English sides in the Champions League knockout stages earlier this season.

Carlo Ancelotti is going to coach his 191st Champions League game, which is the most of any manager in the competition’s history, overtaking Sir Alex Ferguson (190).

Betting Tip 

The Champions League 2023 odds will have Sky Blues fans giddy because they have Manchester City priced to win at 1.55, whereas Real Madrid are 4.90 underdogs, and a draw is at 4.00 in the 1X2 market.

Just like in the first leg last week, this game is going to be another tough call filled with Champions League 2023 highlights. So, the safest bet here is going for Total Goal 2-3 at 2.00 because of the aggregate attacking quality of these two sides.

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01-Jun 2023 Thursday 6:07 PM (322 days ago)            #73
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Europa League: Will Sevilla Deal Mourinho His First Career Final Loss?

Sevilla vs AS Roma

Sevilla are looking to win another Europa League trophy when they take on AS Roma in the final at the Puskas Arena in Budapest, Hungary. They got this far after beating Juventus in the semi-finals, while AS Roma are here after they eliminated Bayer Leverkusen via a slender margin.

Los Palanganas may be the winningest team in this competition with six trophies, but Jose Mourinho is in their way, and he has yet to lose in a final. So something has to give on Wednesday night.

The pre-game SBOTOP odds predict a close affair between these two sides, with Sevilla slightly favoured over AS Roma. Either way, football fans are in for a treat since we can expect numerous Europa League 2023 highlights from this game.

Talking Points

Sevilla still dangerous despite poor domestic run

No one would have expected Sevilla to be in the Europa League final given everything they’ve been through this season. They’re outside the La Liga Top 7, so they’ve got nothing to lose ahead of Wednesday.

Their main focus at this stage of the campaign will undoubtedly be winning the Europa League because a victory in the final would see them qualify for the Champions League next season.

After eliminating Juventus in the semi-finals, Sevilla hadn’t won in their last three La Liga games (D2, L1). They also lost key players due to red cards, although the good news is that it doesn’t apply here in the Europa League.

Still, Sevilla remain a dangerous customer because they have the quality to beat opponents. Once again, they’ll be led up front by Youssef En-Nesyri, their only double-digit scorer with 14 goals, with Erik Lamela and Rafa Mir flanking him on the wings (seven goals each).

First-choice centre-back Tanguy Nianzou is expected to be 100-per cent fit on Wednesday, likely replacing Nemanja Gudelj at centre-half. And in the midfield, Ivan Rakitic and Lucas Ocampos will pull the strings.

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 Mourinho sweating on the fitness of AS Roma trio

Similar to Sevilla, AS Roma come into this game in lacklustre form, as they haven’t won in any of their last four matches across all competitions.

Their most recent result was a 2-1 defeat against Fiorentina in a match that saw them choke a 1-0 lead after Luka Jovic and Jonathan Ikone scored within the last five minutes to nullify Stephan El Shaarawy’s early goal.

Jose Mourinho is hoping to have a full squad to choose from on Wednesday. Right now, he is waiting for updates about Paulo Dybala, Lorenzo Pellegrini, and Leonardo Spinazzola.

Paulo Dybala’s fitness is improving but he is set to miss AS Roma’s Europa League final against Sevilla
AS Roma’s Paulo Dybala celebrates with teammates during their semi-final match against Bayer Leverkusen

Dybala suffered an ankle sprain in their loss against Atalanta last April following a crunch tackle by Jose Luis Palomino. Lorenzo Pellegrini was rested against Fiorentina, while Leonardo Spinazzola is dealing with a muscular issue.

But reports from Italy claim that the three of them are improving, so it’s likely that they’ll be in the squad for the Europa League final.

History

Sevilla and AS Roma are set to meet in Europe for the second time ever. Their last meeting saw the La Liga side win 2-0 in the Round of 16 of the 2019-20 Europa League, which was the last season in which Sevilla won the tournament.

Los Palanganas have reached the final of the Europa League for the seventh time, which is at least two more than any other club. They have yet to lose in the final of this particular competition (2006, 2007, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2020).

On the other hand, AS Roma are in the Europa League final for the second time ever. The last time they got this far was in 1991, when they lost to Inter Milan 2-1 on aggregate. Overall, this is their fifth major European final in club history (1961, 1984, 1991, and 2022).

This will be the 14th time a Spanish side faces an Italian side in a European final. The head-to-heads are in favour of Spain, as they were crowned champions nine of the previous 13 times, including each of the last three in a row.

Betting Tip 

Predicting the winner of the 2022-23 Europa League final is a tough call. The updated Europa League 2023 odds had Sevilla at 2.45, while AS Roma aren’t far behind at 2.87, and a draw after 90 minutes is at 2.90 in the 1X2 market.

So, instead of choosing between these two, we will take a look at the possible goal count, and we’re going for Total Goal 2-3 at 1.86 given its decent payout.

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01-Jun 2023 Thursday 6:09 PM (322 days ago)            #74
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Europa League: Sevilla in Seventh Heaven

Sevilla 1-1 Roma

Sevilla win 4-1 on penalties  

Sevilla are the Europa League 2023 champions, winning the trophy for a record seventh time as Argentine defender Gonzalo Montiel slotted home the winning penalty in a shootout at Budapest’s Puskas Arena.  

Paulo Dybala gave Roma a first half lead but Sevilla hit back thanks to a Gianluca Mancini own goal and then a tightly contested match went to extra time and penalties. Roma boss Jose Mourinho came into the match with a 100 per cent record in European finals while Sevilla were record six times winners of the Europa League and it was Jose’s record which went.  

For Sevilla boss, Jose Luis Mendilibar, this was his first chance of a major trophy but, when he arrived at the club in spring, if someone had told the Sevilla players they would be comfortably mid table and in this final by May they would have been delighted.

Neither side finished in the top four of their domestic leagues so this was the only hope of reaching next season’s Champions League and Sevilla’s campaign has ended on a high. Los Sevillistas saw off Juventus to get to the final so they probably fancied this, though the Europa League 2023 betting odds here at SBOTOP rated Roma as slight favourites at a price of 1.83.  

Highlights of the game

In a cagey first half Roma’s game plan went to perfection. Sevilla had the possession and the shots but I Giallorossi went into the break with a one goal advantage. 35 minutes were on the clock when Bryan Cristante won the ball in midfield and passed to Gianluca Mancini who slid a perfect pass through to Dybala and the Argentine striker did the rest, firing the ball, low into the corner, to send the Roma fans wild. 

Paulo Dybala puts Roma in front of Sevilla with a slick goal in the Europa League final
AS Roma’s Paulo Dybala celebrates scoring their first goal vs Sevilla in Europa League final

Sevilla almost levelled when Ivan Rakitic took aim from 25 yards, but his shot cannoned back off the upright and Roma keeper Rui Patricio was lucky the rebound didn’t hit him as it flew to safety. 

The Spaniards had the 45 minute challenge of trying to break down a Mourinho team which has a 1-0 lead… and that is some task. But within ten minutes they were level. Jesus Navas stole a yard on the wing and fired a cross into the danger area where Youssef En Nesyri challenged and the ball flew into the net off the unfortunate Mancini. And, on 75 minutes, the Spaniards thought they had a penalty when Roger Ibanez felled Lucas Ocampos and referee Anthony Taylor pointed to the spot, but a quick look at the VAR screen showed that Ibanez had won the ball.

And so to extra time when, well, virtually nothing happened as both teams prepared for penalties, but in a rare piece of action Roma’s Chris Smalling saw a looping header bounce back off the bar.

The penalties were taken at the end occupied by the Sevilla fans and when Bono saved Mancini’s spot kick that gave the Spaniards a 2-1 advantage. And when Ibanez hit the post, the door was open for Montiel to win the trophy for Sevilla.    

Key statistics

While they have struggled in the league, Sevilla’s Europa League 2023 results were pretty much perfect, and they had a decent first half tonight, despite going behind, with seven shots to Roma’s two. 

The stats favoured the Spaniards throughout, as they led by 16 shots to nine by the 90 minute mark but neither keeper was overworked, and after 36 minutes of extra time the count went to 18 to nine.   

FA Cup
MANCHESTER CITY

MANCHESTER UNITED
1X2 Manchester United @ 5.40
Manchester City Asian Handicap -1.25 @ 2.06
3.00 Over @ 2.02
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

What’s next?

After this epic battle both teams still have a league match to come. Sevilla are away to Real Sociedad in their final La Liga game, while Roma host Spezia in their last Serie A match. I Giallorossi can’t make a top four place but they are in danger of slipping out of the top six if they fail to win and Juventus beat Udinese. Spezia desperately need a result as they sit outside the drop zone on goal difference alone.

Los Sevillistas can rise as high as seventh with a win while La Real’s fourth place is already confirmed.

And there is plenty of big match action to come this weekend. On Saturday the FA Cup final, which pitches the two Manchester giants together at Wembley, is the big draw in England and the Red Devils have an uphill task against the treble chasing Sky Blues. Meanwhile Red Bull Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt play it out for the DFB Pokal in Germany’s flagship final. Die Roten Bullen are on a six match winning run and will start as strong favourites for that one.   

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

 

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08-Jun 2023 Thursday 3:29 PM (315 days ago)            #75
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Europa Conference League: Fiorentina and West Ham Fight for a Place in History

Fiorentina vs West Ham United

Fiorentina and West Ham United are going to battle for all the marbles in the Europa Conference League final at the Eden Arena in Prague on Wednesday night.

Opportunities like these only come once in a blue moon for these two teams, and the team that wins will get to bring home only their second major European trophy in their history.

After finishing second in Group A, Fiorentina had to go through the knockout round playoffs. However, they steamrolled their way to the final, eliminating Braga, Sivasspor, Lech Poznan, and Basel in the knockouts.

West Ham United, meanwhile, went undefeated in Group B, and they beat AEK Larnaca, Gent, and AZ Alkmaar to get to this point.

The pre-game SBOTOP betting odds predict a tight affair between these two sides, so football fans should expect nothing less with so much on the line.

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Talking Points

Fiorentina have a frontline dilemma

Fiorentina have looked particularly impressive in the Europa Conference League this season, particularly in the final third, as they outscored their opponents 22-10 en route to the final.

Arthur Cabral is leading the tournament’s Golden Boot race with seven goals, alongside Basel’s Zeki Amdouni. If he scores again on Wednesday, Cabral will be the solo winner of the award.

Luka Jovic, Nicolas Gonzalez, and Antonin Barak have also produced Europa Conference League 2023 highlights this season, as Jovic has six goals, while Gonzalez and Barak have five goals each.

In their past few games, Vincenzo Italiano has taken turns installing either Luka Jovic or Arthur Cabral as their lead striker. Both of them have done well so far, so it’ll be interesting to see who Italiano goes with on Wednesday.

Or maybe he can consider having the two of them together up front, although they play much better in a 4-2-3-1 formation, especially with Sofyan Amrabat, a key cog in Morocco’s 2022 World Cup run, playing as their pivot man.

Reports from Italy claim that Italiano has emerged as a candidate to be Napoli’s next manager following the news that Luciano Spalletti is taking a year off from coaching.

If Italiano gets the job in Naples, then winning the Europa Conference League will be a fitting end to his La Viola stint.

Is this Moyes and Antonio’s final West Ham United match?

Despite escaping relegation this season, West Ham United are back to considering relieving David Moyes of his head coaching duties this summer, which adds to the pressure on the manager before Wednesday’s clash.

West Ham United gear up to lift their first Europa Conference League title in club's history
West Ham United manager David Moyes looks disappointed after losing to Leicester City in the Premier League

Moreover, reports from England claim that Michail Antonio, their top scorer this season with 13 goals, is pushing for an exit from East London this summer.

However, if West Ham United win on Wednesday, perhaps Antonio will think twice about leaving the club, and Moyes might get to stay at the helm for at least one more year.

Antonio, who might be playing his final match for the Hammers like Moyes, should continue to lead up front on Wednesday, with Pablo Fornals and Said Benrahma backing him up on the wings.

Tomas Soucek was given the night off against Leicester City, so he should rejoin Declan Rice and Lucas Paqueta in midfield.

History

Wednesday marks the first time that Fiorentina and West Ham United face off, let alone in a European tournament.

Fiorentina and West Ham United won their only European trophies during the 1960s. La Viola were the UEFA Cup Winner’s Cup victors during the 1960-61 campaign, while the Hammers won the same exact award four seasons later.

In terms of recent form, Fiorentina have the edge with three wins, one draw, and a loss, while West Ham United have lost three times and won twice in the same five-game stretch.

Both of these teams missed out on European spots from their domestic leagues, so the winner here will get to qualify for next season.

Betting Tip

The Europa Conference League 2023 odds have given West Ham United a slight edge in the 1X2 market. The Hammers are priced at 2.57 to win, but their margin for error is small because Fiorentina are at 2.73 and a draw is at 3.10.

Because this is a tough match to call, we will take a look at the possible goal count for this match, and we feel that Total Goal 2-3 is your best bet considering the collective attacking quality from these two sides.

You might also want to consider going for Over 2.50 at 2.23, while Correct Score 1-1 at 5.00 is also offering a generous payout.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

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14-Jun 2023 Wednesday 5:53 PM (309 days ago)            #76
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Champions League: Moment of Truth for City Awaits

Manchester City vs Inter Milan

The 2022-23 football season is set to reach a climax in Turkey on Saturday night and history beckons.

Should Manchester City defeat the Italians of Inter Milan in Istanbul – and they are overwhelming favourites to do so – they will emulate Manchester United and become just the second English club to have ever won the ‘holy grail’ of football.

The Treble – the three prized possessions of Premier League, FA Cup and European Cup (now Champions League).

In the build-up to the final, media coverage has focused on such a feat and where it would rank.

And while some will argue that the state-owned billionaires of City are a very different beast to their city rivals who reached such heights with half of their youth team 24 years ago, they do compare favourably in other areas.

The question now is can they take a final step and match the accomplishments of their illustrious predecessors.

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Talking Points

Anyone who watched City’s dismantling of Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in the quarter-finals and semi-finals respectively will know that they have already created Champions League highlights aplenty and faced tougher opposition than should await them in the showpiece.

Yet, despite being red-hot favourites, City will still have to be professional to see off the challenge of an Inter team which has just finished third in Serie A and reached this stage after knockout victories over FC Porto, Benfica and city rivals AC Milan – generally a much lower calibre of opponent than City faced n route.

City defender Kyle Walker has this week spoken of the desire to emulate United’s team of 1999 and there is no doubt desire has fuelled the talent and character they have displayed in abundance this season, seeing off many teams with a consummate ease at home and abroad.

They should be near enough at full strength for the final, a depth which was impressive when you saw their bench in last weekend’s FA Cup Final.

Although it is acknowledged, even by sections of the partisan Italian media, that It will take some performance if Inter are to prevent Guardiola and his team from making history, Simone Inzaghi and his players will have kept a close eye on that encounter and will know they have attacking threats of their own and won’t make life easy for City with their rigid defensive set-up.

Inzaghi mist choose between Romelu Lukaku or former City man Edin Dzeko to partner Lautaro Martínez up front. Another former United man, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, is pushing to reclaim a place in midfield after injuring a hamstring in the semi-final win over Milan, although Marcelo Brozovic is hardly a weak alternative.

Last month’s Coppa Italia final against Fiorentina was telling for a number of reasons.

Inter Milan win Coppa Italia ahead of their Champions League final tie with Man City
Inter Milan players celebrate with the trophy after winning the Coppa Italia

Inter were victorious thanks to a first-half brace from Martinez, however it was not without falling behind to a third minute strike from Nicolas Gonzalez.

A slow start against City must be avoided at all costs given their track record of going ahead early in games throughout this campaign.

Whilst the world focuses on double footballer of the year Erling Haaland, Inter have a prolific goalscorer on their hands, too and, with a World Cup winner’s medal already in his collection, El Toro has big game experience and a tendency to crop up with goals when Inter need it the most.

It’s almost time for battle to commence. Will history be made?

History

This will be the first competitive meeting between the teams Milan. This is because their spells in European competition have not coincided until recently.

Man City first qualified for the Champions League in the 2011/12 season and have featured in every edition since then. Inter were not in the competition from 2012 to 2018 and only made it back into the knockout rounds for the first time in  more than a decade last season.

The two finalists have met twice in pre-season matches, each side winning once by a scoreline of 3-0.

Betting Tip

There are a plethora of bets to consider with the SBOTOP Champions League betting odds.

City are priced 1X2 @ 1.43 and Asian Handicap -1.50 @ 2.31 with a comprehensive 3-0 victory on offer with Correct Score @ 10.00.

Inter are priced 1X2 @ 5.80 and Asian Handicap +1.00 which is available @ 2.14.

Obviously the match must be settled on the night and could go to extra-time and penalties (the last Champions League Final to do so was in 2016) but a 1X2 Draw after normal time will pay out @ 4.40.

Goal options include Total 0-1 @ 3.85, 2-3 @ 1.94, 4-6 @ 2.99 and Over 3.00 @ 2.25.

For the final to be level at the break and City go onto win, how about Half Time Full Time Draw Home @ 3.95.

My ** tip is for City to take charge early on and First Half Asian Handicap -0.50 @ 1.99.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

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14-Jun 2023 Wednesday 5:55 PM (309 days ago)            #77
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Champions League: Immortal Manchester City Reach the Promised Land

Manchester City 1-0 Inter Milan

It was the moment of truth for Manchester City.

The chance to make history, to win the ultimate in the club game, ‘The Treble’, and secure their first ever European Cup/Champions League.

Standing in their way were the Italians of Inter Milan. Big underdogs with virtually every media organisation, including the SBOTOP Champions League betting odds, and a side said to be a distinct class below the light blue of Manchester.

But would this clash in the capital of Turkey go to form or was there to be one final twist in the compelling season we have witnessed?

Highlights of the game

City made two changes from the FA Cup Final a week ago, one expected and one not so much.

Ederson replaced Stefan Ortega between the sticks, but Kyle Walker dropped to the bench with Nathan Ake taking his place.

Inter lined up as expected with the main call going the way of former City frontman Edin Dzeko who was handed a starting berth ahead of Romelu Lukaku.

The former Man Utd Belgian joined another former United man, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, alongside Joaquin Correa and Milan Skriniar on the bench – the latter trio all returning from injury.

The fifth ever European Cup/Champions League Final contested between English and Italian sides, anyone who watched City’s dismantling of Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in the quarter-finals and semi-finals respectively knew they had already faced tougher opposition than should have awaited them in the showpiece.

Yet Inter, who finished third in Serie A and reached this stage after knockout victories over FC Porto, Benfica and city rivals AC Milan – generally a much lower calibre of opponent than City faced en route – insisted they weren’t here to make up the numbers.

UEFA Nations League
NETHERLANDS

CROATIA
1X2 Netherlands @ 2.05
Croatia Asian Handicap +0.25 @ 2.25
Under 2.00 @ 2.21
Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

Goalkeeper Andre Onana said as much when he conceded that City are ‘the strongest team in the world,’ but that Inter would aim to win if they ‘play without fear.

Champions League highlights were expected.

This was so important even City’s owner Sheikh Mansour, the man who masterminded the billions of investment since 2008 which has helped turn City into such a dominant force, was in attendance – only his second match watching his team since 2010.

City had the first sight of goal as early as the sixth minute when Bernardo Silva, such an influence in both previous rounds, fired a shot wide.

Double English footballer of the year, 53-goal Erling Haaland, was next just before the half hour mark but Onana was able to repel his effort.

The sight of seeing City’s midfield maestro Kevin de Bruyne leave the pitch shortly afterwards with a suspected hamstring injury was sad indeed and a body blow, although their own young sublime talent Phil Foden highlighted the strength in depth of the English champions.

Into the second half and it wasn’t too long before Lukaku replaced Dzeko as my feeling grew that it may take just one goal to separate the sides as City bossed possession but Inter held firm.

Then came the key moment midway through the half as the Spanish midfielder, Rodri, expertly passed the ball into the bottom corner following a cutback from Silva.

Inter’s defence, which had kept eight clean sheets in 12 Champions League matches this season, including five in six knockout games, had disappeared at a crucial juncture and City were on the verge of history.

The Italians were almost level immediately but Federico Dimarco’s looping header beat Ederson but not the crossbar before the same player headed the rebound off Lukaku’s leg.

A goal behind, the spirited I Nerazzurri had to attack more now, something which was likely to suit City and Foden had a chance to make sure of victory but shot straight at Onana.

Could they do it when it mattered most or was this to be a third successive disappointing European final night for Italian football after Roma were beaten by Sevilla in the Europa League and West Ham defeated Fiorentina in the Europa Conference League.

The answer was no as City had too much quality as expected, although how Lukaku failed to score when he headed straight at Ederson from point blank range will haunt him for some time.

History has been made and Manchester City, just as their neighbours did 24 years ago, can now also be called the greatest team English football has ever produced.

Key statistics

Rodri's goal wins Manchester City's first ever Champions League
Manchester City’s Rodri celebrates after winning the Champions League

Rodri is the 19th different Spanish player to score in a European Cup final. No country has had more final goalscorers.

This was the first ever competitive meeting between City and Inter. It was also the first time two teams have met for the first ever time in a final since 2005. On that occasion AC Milan played Liverpool, also at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium in Istanbul.

This was Inter’s 11th major European final. Only Juventus (16) and AC Milan (14) have a better record among Italian clubs.

This was City’s third European final. They defeated Polish side Gprnik Zabrze 2-1 in the 1970 Cup Winners’ Cup final, before losing the 2021 Champions League showpiece 1-0 to Chelsea.

What’s next?

And that’s a 2022-23 wrap!

 

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06-Nov 2023 Monday 4:43 PM (164 days ago)            #78
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Champions League: A Big Moment for Milan

AC Milan vs Paris Saint-Germain

Champions League action is back on our screens this week and there’s a blockbuster clash at the San Siro where AC Milan host Paris Saint-Germain in a Group F shootout.

This could be the point of no return for I Rossoneri, who sit bottom of the group with just two points as the only side yet to register a victory, while PSG are on track to reach the knockout phase, leading Group F by six. The Champions League 2023 betting odds rate Luis Enrique’s PSG as the sixth favourites to win the tournament, at odds of 15.00, while after a slow start to the campaign, Stefano Pioli’s AC Milan have drifted out to 81.00.

PSG won the return match 3-0 as Kylian Mbappe opened the scoring and he’ll be a huge threat again on Tuesday, but Milan need to find a way of staying in the competition, and that means picking up at least a point when the Parisiens come to town. If I Rossoneri can fashion a victory they will blow the group wide open.

It could be a huge night in Milan.

Talking Points

Milan’s mini-slump

Rossoneri head coach Pioli has work to do. His team has just gone four games without a win after falling at home to Udinese on Saturday, and he acknowledged after the game that the home fans had every right to make their frustration known, which they did in no uncertain terms.

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Despite having 72 per cent possession, the hosts managed to lose to a side that had failed to win a Serie A game before rocking up in Milan. On the back of defeats to Juventus and PSG, I Rossoneri surrendered a two-goal lead to draw with Napoli, but this defeat was a new low.

Milan’s flair players, Rafael Leao, Yunus Musah and Tijjani Reijnders both struggled to sparkle, and Pioli will hope they are back to their best against Paris. The Milan boss is under no illusions what is required from his team on Tuesday: “We know there is only one result we can afford and we need a great game in every area, technical, tactical and physical. After a disappointment like this, perhaps it’s better to prepare for a fixture like that.”

Udinese to Paris is about as far as you can get in terms of riches and Pioli knows if his players don’t improve, they will lose to PSG. He has new injury worries as Theo Hernandez was ruled out for the Udinese game and midfielder Rad Krunic limped off during the defeat. But there was better news for utility man Ruben Loftus Cheek who made a substitute appearance after being sidelined for a month.

After BVB made a slow start to their Champions League campaign they hit back with a win away to Newcastle last time out, and that result left Milan stranded at the bottom. But it did open up second place and Pioli and his team now need a quick uptick in Champions League 2023 results to take advantage.

Three and easy for Paris

While Milan can’t buy a victory at the moment, the Parisiens have been winning for fun, beating Montpellier 3-0 on Friday night to go top of the Ligue 1 table. It was PSG’s fifth win on the run, and they have scored three goals in each game since their 4-1 defeat to Newcastle United early in October.

Kylian Mbappe scored the opener in Paris Saint-Germain's 3-0 rout of AC Milan in the UEFA Champions League

Paris St Germain’s Kylian Mbappe in action against Montpellier

Kylian Mbappe seems happier now that Neymar and Lionel Messi have left the club, and though he had a rare quiet day against Montpellier, he leads the race for the French Golden Boot with ten goals. Alongside Randal Kolo Muani and Ousmane Dembele, he forms a front three for the national team, and Les Bleus will continue to benefit from their growing relationship at club level.

Dembele has made a big impact since arriving from Barcelona, and the 26-year-old has helped to build team spirit at the club, which has been divided for so long. He has an explosive pace on the pitch but an inner calm that looks like it might just be rubbing off on Mbappe.

PSG are at odds of 1.63 to win the group, and if they avoid defeat at the San Siro, they will inch a little closer to the knockout phase.

History

The Parisiens are streets ahead in Ligue 1, in terms of recent success and resource, winning 11 league titles and nine of the last ten, but they are yet to break through in Europe, losing the 2020 final to Bayern Munich.

Milan have a much richer history in Europe, as well as winning 19 Serie A titles, the last in 2022, I Rossoneri have won seven Champions Leagues (or European Cups).

Betting Tip

⭐⭐

AC Milan VS Paris Saint-Germain

November 08, 04:00 (GMT+8)

AC Milan Asian Handicap 0.00

@ 2.35

At SBOTOP odds of 2.69 to win, AC Milan are the outsiders in this match, with the Parisiens at 2.18 and the draw at 3.55.

The visitors are in better form, but I expect Pioli to get a response from his players after the shock loss to Udinese, and as Newcastle have proved, PSG can be beaten.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

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06-Nov 2023 Monday 4:48 PM (164 days ago)            #79
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Champions League: Dortmund Seek Double Delight but could Confidence be an Issue?

Borussia Dortmund vs Newcastle United

What a contrasting weekend these two clubs had.

For as Borussia Dortmund and Newcastle United prepare to do battle in the Champions League for the second time in a fortnight, their build-up could hardly have been more different.

Now with qualification for the last 16 on a knife edge in the so called ‘group of death’, how will their respective confidence levels be for a potentially crucial Group F contest.

Talking Points

When Dortmund grabbed victory on Tyneside a week and a half ago, it was slightly surprising given the ‘barcodes’ had thrashed PSG just a few weeks earlier.

It was also considered something of a reality check for Newcastle on their European adventure.

Since then, they have drawn at Wolves, knocked holders Man Utd of the League Cup and, on Saturday, defeated previously unbeaten Arsenal.

Their winner may have been controversial but it also underlined a display which highlighted an organisation and resilient streak they have developed under manager Eddie Howe.

They are heady days on Tyneside.

Borussia Dortmund will welcome Newcastle United at Signal-Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund fans during their Bundesliga match against Bayern Munich

Not so in Dortmund who were hammered at home by arch rivals Bayern Munich.

As they shipped four goals on their own turf without reply, I couldn’t help but think back to my words in May when they experienced ultimate devastation.

On that occasion Dortmund players slumped to the turf as they became the first team since 2000 to lead the table at the start of the final day but not enjoy ultimate success.

In a scarcely believable conclusion to the Bundesliga season, Bayern pipped them to the title in a moment I said could take Dortmund years to get over.

Six months on and they still are struggling.

That was evident on Saturday as England captain Harry Kane’s impressive start to life at Bayern continued when he netted a hat-trick in the statement win.

In a lightning start, they established a 2-0 lead inside the opening 10 minutes as Dayot Upamecano headed them in front before Kane doubled the lead. He then added the third and fourth goals after the break.

Yes, Dortmund have again seen a summer when they have sold their leading talent.

Yes, this was their first defeat in 18 top-flight games (their previous loss was against Bayern in April.

Yes, this ended a run of 25 home matches unbeaten.

Yet Dortmund were outclassed as Bayern seized control from the first whistle.

Even now they are fourth on 21 points, seven behind leaders Bayer Leverkusen and it’s unlikely they will make that up.

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Team news wise, Emre Can continues to struggle with the hip issue that he picked up against Newcastle two weeks ago, while none of Marius Wolf, Donyell Malen or Salih Ozcan lasted an hour in Der Klassiker.

A few of them could come under threat for a place in the starting XI from Karim Adeyemi and St James’ Park matchwinner Felix Nmecha. Left-back Ramy Bensebaini could also be set for a recall.

Newcastle have injury issues of their own with Jacob Murphy and Dan Burn both picking up knocks against Arsenal on Saturday evening.

Already on the sidelines are the likes of Matt Targett (hamstring), Alexander Isak (groin), Harvey Barnes (foot), Elliot Anderson (back), Sven Botman (knee) and the suspended Sandro Tonali.

There’s much to play for but the key Champions League highlights could be created by the side which produces the most confident display.

With the ‘yellow wall’ cheering them on, Dortmund’s 12th man could prove crucial.

History

Given Newcastle’s absence from elite football for most of the past quarter of a century, it’s no surprise that this is only their second ever meeting between these two teams following Dortmund’s impressive success on Tyneside when Nmecha scored the only goal of the game.

But while the Magpies flapped around in the football wilderness Borussia Dortmund were making themselves known, winning the Bundesliga in 2011 and 2012 and reaching the Champions League final in 2013.

Betting Tip

⭐⭐⭐

Borussia Dortmund VS Newcastle United

November 08, 04:45 (GMT+8)

1X2 Draw

@3.50

Dortmund are slight favourites to complete a double over the Toon Army with the SBOTOP Champions League betting odds.

They are priced 1X2 @ 2.40 and Asian Handicap -0.25 @ 2.23.

Showing these sides are closely matched, Newcastle are on offer with similar odds, including 1X2 @ 2.53 and Asian Handicap 0.00 @ 2.00.

Another 1-0 success for the Bundesliga boys will pay out @ 9.25 with Correct Score, while another low scoring encounter is available with Total Goal 0-1 @ 3.95.

Other goal options are worth looking at such as Total Goal 2-3 @ 1.94, 4-6 @ 3.05 and Under 2.50 goals @ 2.17.

I am expecting this to finish all square as both sides stay in the hunt for the last 16 so my *** tip is 1X2 Draw @ 3.50.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

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⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

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06-Nov 2023 Monday 4:53 PM (164 days ago)            #80
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Champions League: Shakhtar Donetsk to Bounce Back Versus Barca

Shakhtar Donetsk vs FC Barcelona

Barcelona and Shakhtar Donetsk will meet at the Volksparkstadion in Germany for their second Champions League group stage bout. Xavi’s team dealt with the Ukrainian powerhouse when Hirnyky visited Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys. Torres and Lopez blew the game open for the home team before halftime and settled for a 2-1 victory.

This time, the narrative of these two clubs has changed, and both of them have a chip on their shoulders coming into the match. Hirnyky aim to prove their form against the best clubs in Europe as they try to transcend their dominance in Ukraine to the Champions League.

Meanwhile, Barcelona are having a streaky time in La Liga, suffering a grueling El Clasico and then barely hanging on against Real Sociedad. Xavi’s group is not forcing the issue, as they’ve kept their composure all throughout, but a convincing win against Shakhtar Donetsk will do wonders for Barca moving forward.

Talking Points

Barca quick to bounce back from El Clasico defeat

Last month, Barcelona hosted Real Madrid at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys for one of the most revered rivalries in all of sports. The stage was set, and all eyes were on the players as they took the field. It was a competitive match all throughout, and it was just what the fans were hoping for.

Barca drew first blood as Ilkay Gundogan capitalised on a Madrid blunder. Ancelotti’s defenders seemed to struggle to get hold of the ball, and what seemed like routine passing cost the Los Blancos the lead. Gundogan pestered the Madrid defenders until they conceded the ball entirely. All the German midfielder had to do then was flick the ball past Courtois, which he did, resulting in a 1-0 Barca lead.

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The home team was controlling the pace of the match for the next 60 minutes, but then Jude Bellingham happened. Bellingham single-handedly carried Real over the hump, scoring an equalizer in the 68th minute, then proceeded to put the nail on the coffin during the dying minutes of the match.

Xavi and the rest of his team were obviously shattered after suffering a come-from-behind loss in an El Clasico, but it didn’t take long for them to recuperate and go back to their winning ways. Yesterday, they marched to Reale Arena and took care of business against Real Sociedad.

It was a surgical 0-1 win for Barca. They were neck and neck for almost the entire match, as both teams had convincing carries and attacks, but it was Barca who came out as the victors thanks to a late goal from Ronald Araujo.

The 24-year-old timed a perfect header to edge out Sociedad and give Barcelona their much-needed confidence back. A rejuvenated Barca squad would be a tall order to go against for any club. And surely they’ll be no pushovers when they face Shakhtar Donetsk to be the top seed in Group H of the UEFA Champions League.

Can Hirnyky’s success in UPL fare against the best in Europe?

Darijo Srna and his club are having a stellar campaign in the Ukrainian Premier League, as they sit in third place with 24 points, just a point behind Polissya and two points behind league leaders Kryvbas. They have won three of their last five UPL matches, which includes a clean sheet victory over Kyiv, LNZ, and Rukh Vynnyky. Hirnyky’s dominance also translates in the Ukrainian Cup, where they trampled over Mykolaivka in the quarterfinal with a score line of 0-3.

Shakhtar Donetsk are hoping to revenge their Champions League loss to Barcelona last time out

Shakhtar Donetsk’s Georgiy Sudakov celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates

There is no doubt that Srna’s team is a force to be reckoned with in Ukraine, but how do they fare against the top clubs in Europe? Shakhtar Donetsk is coming into their Champions League match against Barcelona, trying to avoid their third loss in four matches. They are currently third in Group H, falling behind Barcelona and Porto.

This will be the second part of the double round robinin the group stages, and this should be when Hirnyky should step on the gas pedal and rack up favourable Champions League 2023 results. Currently, they are poised to go to the Europa League group stage, but with only one win above last place Antwerp, Srna and his team are still in danger of getting eliminated from the Champions League with nothing to show for.

History

Historically, Shakhtar Donetsk has struggled against Barcelona in the Champions League, as the Ukrainian club has lost five of their seven outings against their Spanish rivals. To add insult to injury, Barcelona have had Hirnyky’s number in not just the Champions League but also the Super Cup. Barca have won their last four meetings against Hirnyky across all the European competitions they’ve met in.

Betting Tip

⭐⭐⭐

Shakhtar Donetsk VS Barcelona

November 8, 1:45 (GMT+8)

1X2 Barcelona

@1.25

There are two lines that I personally think every punter should consider, and the SBOTOP Champions League 2023 betting odds suggest so too. Barcelona are the heavy favourites to come out of this match as the victors, but their price of 1.25 holds enough value to consider. With all due respect to Shakhtar, most fans expect this to be a cake walk for Barcelona, especially since they just came off a recent win in La Liga. Shakhtar Donetsk are the underdogs at 7.00, while the draw price is at 6.40.

Another line worth considering is Asian HCP -1.5 at 1.79. Barcelona have scored eight total goals in their first three matches in Group H, and it’s smart to consider that Shakhtar have conceded seven goals to start their Champions League campaign. These statistics are a perfect storm for Barcelona to uphold its -1.5 value. A line that goes hand in hand with Barcelona’s act of getting goals and Shakhtar conceding them is O/U Over 3.00 at 1.73. Just like the two betting lines mentioned above, this holds enough value and excitement for punters to keep an eye on.

A SHORT EXPLANATION ON HOW OUR (⭐) BETS ARE WORTH:

⭐⭐⭐= €20 (HIGHLY CONFIDENT)

⭐⭐= €10 (CONFIDENT)

⭐= €5 (SOMEWHAT CONFIDENT)

Disclaimer: Odds are correct at time of publish.

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06-Nov 2023 Monday 5:09 PM (164 days ago)            #81
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VAR Takes Centre Stage Yet Again on Controversial and Emotional Premier League Weekend

So much of the Premier League is centred around VAR (video assistant referee) right now.

That is highly frustrating but, until something changes, the position is unlikely to alter.

This weekend was a case in point and, alongside much debate, the acclaimed football writer Henry Winter summed it up best for me, when he wrote: ‘It’s not VAR that’s killing games. It’s the ridiculous amount of time taken. 4 mins for offside? A joke. It’s the absence of communication. It’s the paucity of quality of too many officials. It’s an offence to fans who fork out fortunes.’

How right he is.

The first mistake came in the first game of the weekend when Scott McTominay was denied a Manchester United goal at Fulham in a decision which was made far too late (after the celebrations had died down) and, even more frustratingly, was a wrong call for an offside which didn’t exist.

That took several minutes to make and was only the start.

A few hours later in Sheffield came a decision which was equally contentious.

It was in the dying seconds when Wolves substitute Fabio Silva fouled George Baldock in the box and, after a VAR check, Sheffield United were awarded a last-gasp penalty at Brammall Lane.

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Ollie Norwood converted from the spot in the 10th added minute of the contest to earn the Blades their first league win of the season and prompt Wolves manager Gary O’Neill to say he had given up on ‘referees’ and that football was in a ‘crazy, crazy place’. How right he is.

Then it was up to the North East for the teatime encounter between Newcastle United and Arsenal and an even crazier set of Premier League highlights – or should they be called lowlights.

Anthony Gordon’s controversial second-half winner gave the hosts victory in a feisty encounter, but only after the video assistant referee had checked whether the ball had gone out of play, for a possible foul and, finally, for offside before Newcastle were finally allowed to celebrate.

Referee Stuart Attwell awarded the goal – and then the VAR checks began. Just over four minutes of them.

First there was a check to see if former Gunner Joe Willock had kept the ball in play. In a check that lasted 33 seconds, the VAR decided there was no conclusive evidence the ball was out of play.

There was then a check to see if Joelinton had fouled his fellow Brazilian Gabriel to reach the ball first. This one lasted 50 seconds and it was deemed there was not sufficient contact to award a foul – highly dubious.

And then the final question. Was Gordon offside when Joelinton played the ball? Exactly 90 seconds later the decision was made – there was no conclusive evidence of offside. They could not find an available camera angle for the VAR to draw the line.

So, the goal stood. Three tight decisions, but the officials could not be sure any of them were offences.

All that on Saturday made Sunday’s action seem relatively tame as Nottingham Forest gained their first win in seven matches with a victory over in-form Aston Villa.

Ola Aina gave Forest a fifth-minute lead with his first goal for the club, powerfully side-footing into the net from 25 yards after Anthony Elanga’s burst down the left was followed by Harry Toffolo’s pass.

They then doubled their advantage just after the restart when Orel Mangala’s powerful 25-yard strike embarrassed World Cup-winning goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez.

Luis Diaz lifts his t-shirt after scoring for Liverpool vs Luton Town in the Premier League

Liverpool’s Luis Diaz celebrates scoring their first goal against Luton Town

There was no VAR controversy and, on a brighter note for Villa, looking at the bigger picture, this marked a year since the appointment of Unai Emery and the improvement since he succeeded the sacked Steven Gerrard has been emphatic.

There was still time for one more game on Sunday where newly promoted Luton Town were not expected to have too much hope against the rampant reds.

Yet the Hatters defied the SBOTOP Premier League betting odds to produce their best performance of the season so far and move out of the drop zone on goal difference.

Substitute Tahith Chong sparked wild celebrations among the home fans, who were eyeing a famous win after he steered home an Issa Kabore cross at the climax of a superb counter-attack with 10 minutes.

There was to be one final twist, though, when substitute Luis Diaz salvaged a point for the Merseysiders in stoppage time with a header.

It was his first match since his parents were kidnapped in his homeland of Colombia.

Diaz’s father remains missing and the forward lifted his shirt to show a message of “freedom for papa” in an emotional conclusion to the contest.

In the Premier League, the only thing to expect is the unexpected – with or without VAR!

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20-Feb 2024 Tuesday 1:51 PM (58 days ago)            #82
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Champions League: It’s Simone versus Simeone!

Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid

Two clubs who love the Champions League, who crave the Champions League, who, presumably, would swap any of their recent domestic successes to taste European glory.

While neither side can be classed as among the big favourites to win this season’s tournament, both are capable of going toe-to-toe with anyone on their day.

That is why we can justifiably expect Champions League highlights in the San Siro on Tuesday night.

 

Talking Points

Atletico Madrid’s most recent La Liga results seem to have summed up the inconsistency which must irk manager Diego Simeone.

A fortnight ago, they grabbed a last-minute leveller in the Bernabeu to frustrate city rivals and league leaders Real.

The following weekend they went down to Sevilla, albeit opponents who are much better than their league position suggests.

In addition, forward Alvaro Morata limped out of that game with bruising on his knee bone, and a strain of his knee ligaments, although he is expected to recover some time towards the end of the month or the start of March.

Inter warm up for Champions League clash with Atletico by going 10 points clear in Serie A

Inter Milan’s Lautaro Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal vs Salernitana

That means, while he will miss this clash, he could be back in time for second leg next month.

Memphis Depay is the obvious replacement and has been in fine form in 2024, scoring and assisting at a rate higher than a goal per game.

Angel Correa is also an option.

Both were on target on Saturday lunchtime when Atletico made short work of Las Palmas in a 5-0 romp, a game in which Simeone could even afford to leave Antoine Griezmann on the bench.

It’s been said for some time that, despite losing key men and not being able to sustain the success they regularly enjoyed for the first five years or so under the Argentine, they remain a tough nut to crack and the manager continues to deserve huge praise for his impact.

That includes two appearances (and two defeats) in the Champions League Final in 2014 and 2016 respectively, although I suspect they would need a kind draw to get back to such an occasion any time soon.

Key defender Jose Maria Gimenez also made his return against Las Palmas and played for just over an hour.

He rejoined full training this week and will be needed as Atletico take on an Inter side who have built up a clear lead at the top of Serie A in recent weeks.

That period has included a fine 4-2 win at Roma when the Nerazzurri overturned a half-time deficit to outline their credentials.

On Friday night, Inter further lived up to expectations as they cruised to a 4-0 home win over bottom-placed Salernitana to strengthen their grip at the summit.

It was a contest in which Lautaro Martínez became only the third player to score at least 20 goals in three consecutive Italian league seasons after Giuseppe Meazza and Stefano Nyers.

Yes, they benefited from a kind draw but it should not be forgotten that Simone Inzaghi’s men also reached last season’s Champions League Final.

They will start as favourites.

 

History

Believe it or not, these clubs have only met once competitively.

That was in the UEFA Super Cup in 2010 when reigning European champions Inter met Europa League winners Atletico in Monaco,

By then Jose Mourinho had departed and successor Rafa Benitez could not prevent his side conceding twice in six second half minutes through the late and much missed Jose Antonio Reyes and Sergio Aguero.

Atletico, managed at the time by Quique Sanchez Flores, held for a 2-0 win after Diego Milito saw a last minute penalty saved by a young Daid De Gea.

Their only other meeting was a friendly in the summer of 2018 in Spain which Inter won 1-0.

 

Betting Tip

Inter Milan VS Atlético Madrid

February 21, 04:00 (GMT+8)

Half Time Full Time Draw Home @ 4.58

Last season’s defeated finalists have a distinct edge as far as the SBOTOP Champions League betting odds are concerned.

You can back Inter in a number of ways, including First Half 1X2 @ 2.52, First Half Asian Handicap -0.25 @ 2.09, 1X2 @ 1.89 and Asian Handicap -0.75 @ 2.19.

Atletico are adrift of that, including First Half 1X2 @ 4.24, First Half Asian Handicap 0.00 @ 2.63, 1X2 @ 3.85 and Asian Handicap +0.50 @ 2.01.

Atletico concede more than they used to but can still be hard to break down and that is reflected on odds of Total Goal 0-1 @ 2.84, compared to 2-3 @ 1.89. Other options include 4-6 @ 3.93 and over 2.50 goals @ 2.21.

A repeat of their only previous competitive meeting will pay out @ 23.00 with Correct Score 0-2.

I have considered honours even in this first leg with 1X2 Draw @ 3.19 but my ** bet is Half Time Full Time Draw Home @ 4.58.

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20-Feb 2024 Tuesday 1:58 PM (58 days ago)            #83
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Champions League: Eindhoven Will See Yellow and Black

PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund

The winners of the Group of Death will finally have the chance to prove that their supremacy in the group stages was no fluke. Dortmund will march to Philips Stadion for the first leg of their Champions League Round of 16 clash against Eredivisie’s top dogs, PSV.

This bout will not be a task for BVB, but it will also be a chance for PSV to attest that their reign in the Dutch top flight should be revered and that they are a worthy adversary against the best clubs in Europe.

But it won’t be a walk in the park for the Dutch side, as they need to contain BVB’s Niclas Füllkrug, who has been one of the hottest players in the German top flight in the past few weeks.

 

Talking Points

Niclas Füllkrug will be key to Dortmund’s success

The German national team’s No. 9 has been locked-in for Dortmund, especially in the past few weeks. The prolific striker is the main catalyst as to why BVB have been unbeaten since the start of the calendar year, as he time and time again delivers on the attacking end.

His production has been more evident in their last five Bundesliga matches, where he produced eight of his 18 goal involvements in the season thus far.

He put the whole football world on notice when he scored a hat-trick against Bochum last month, then proceeded to follow it up by delivering a dagger of a goal while claiming two assists to boot against SC Freiburg on what was his 31st birthday.

The 31-year-old now has 11 goals and seven assists in the Bundesliga this season, while notching one goal and claiming one assist in their Champions League campaign. Füllkrug’s success lands him in the sixth spot in the Bundesliga Golden Boot race while also claiming the sixth spot in the Bundesliga assist race as well.

Given his pivotal role in Edin Terzic’s system, how well Füllkrug plays should be Dortmund’s barometer of success in the Champions League, where they will be looking to continue their strong form after winning the “Group of Death.”

 

PSV are pulling away in Eredivisie

Like Dortmund, PSV had respectable Champions League 2024 results as well, finishing second in Group B, and are aiming to do more of the same in the Round of 16.

If their performance in their domestic league, Eredivisie, is directly proportional to what they’ll be producing in the Champions League, then everyone is in trouble.

PSV are ready to dominate BVB at home when they meet for their Champions League last 16 tie

PSV Eindhoven’s Luuk de Jong celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal during their Eredivisie clash against Ajax

PSV are leagues ahead of any other adversary in the Dutch top flight, where they boast 62 points after 22 matches played, 13 points clear of second-placed Feyenoord.

Head coach Peter Bosz’s philosophy has been a headscratcher for their adversaries in Eredivisie, as his men have already netted a whopping 70 goals while only conceding 10. Talk about unstoppable.

At this stage of their season, I think it’s safe to say that the Eredivisie title is theirs to lift this 2023–24 campaign.

The question now is if they can extend their dominance in the Dutch League to the pinnacle of European club football. The odds at SBOTOP have PSV as the slight favourites to win against Dortmund, so it seems like their bid for European dominance isn’t as farfetched after all.

 

History

In recent history, PSV and Borussia Dortmund have only played once. It was a club friendly way back in 2017 at Estadio Municipal de La Línea de la Concepción, where the German side overwhelmed PSV with a flurry of attacks that garnered them a 4-1 win.

As for their performances in the Champions League 2024 group stages, Dortmund topped what was deemed the toughest cluster in the group stages. Edin Terzic’s outfit was able to fend off football giants in PSG, Milan, and Newcastle to attain supremacy in the Group of Death.

Meanwhile, PSV were clustered with Arsenal, Lens, and Sevilla in Group B. PSV started their campaign on a rough note, suffering a humbling 4-0 defeat against Arteta’s Gunners. But Bosz and his men quickly rallied and stayed undefeated from that point on, garnering enough points to finish second in Group B and qualify for the next stage of the tournament.

 

Betting Tip

PSV VS Borussia Dortmund

February 21, 04:00 (GMT+8)

Over 2.75 @1.84

This is going to be a close one, folks! The Champions League 2024 betting odds suggest that this will be a tight and well-matched skirmish, as neither team has a considerable advantage to win.

The Dutch side, PSV, are the slight favourites to win with a price of 2.14, while Bundesliga’s Dortmund are right there at 2.93 with a draw price of 3.41.

Personally, I think that the winner of this match will be known with a toss of a coin. Which is why if punters want to bet on the main lines, biases aside, they might as well go for the offer with the highest value, which is the draw price at 3.41.

But as mentioned above, these teams have potent offences to showcase, which is why the total goals over 2.75 at 1.84 should be the line to consider as it holds the sweet spot for both excitement and value. PSV as a whole already have 70 goals to their name in their top flight, while BVB’s Niclas Füllkrug has been steamrolling the Bundesliga. So it’s not hard to imagine this clash to have a high aggregate.

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21-Feb 2024 Wednesday 5:03 PM (57 days ago)            #84
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Champions League: How can Porto Handle the Explosive Gunners?

FC Porto vs Arsenal

Arsenal are back on the European trail on Wednesday when they head to Porto for a Round of 16 first leg clash. 

The hosts come into the game on the back of a 2-0 win over Estrela Amadora, a result which cemented their third place in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Meanwhile Arsenal slapped Burnley 5-0 to keep their Premier League title hopes in good shape.

Mikel Arteta’s side has been rampant in recent weeks, and the Champions League odds have responded; and here at SBOTOP the Gunners are now third favourites to win the title at a price of 6.50. But Champions League: Porto vs Arsenal is a good test of the Londoners’ European credentials and Porto manager Sergio Conceicao will aim to help his team produce a shock result.  

 

Talking Points

Porto’s Samba threat

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Conceicao’s boys were impressive at the group stage, finishing joint top with Barcelona on 12 points to qualify comfortably from Group H. And Porto’s Brazilian duo of Wenderson Galeno and Evanilson tore into opposition defences, scoring four goals from five games each and 26 year old winger Galeno also threw in three assists. Galeno bagged the opener in Porto’s 2-0 win over Estrela and made the assist for Neto’s second.

For his part, 24 year old striker Evanilson has attracted a lot of attention this season at home in Portugal and in Europe. He is ruthless in one on one situations, scoring eight goals in the last seven games and his pace and trickery helps him to turn defenders inside out. He has an eye for the spectacular goal and the Arsenal defence will need to keep a close eye on Evanilson.

And the Selecao theme runs through the Porto team with captain Pepe operating at right back, where he knows he’s going to have a hectic night on Wednesday.     

 

Saka is in the form of his life

In an Arsenal team blessed with attacking talent it is hard to pick put one individual, and Porto’s Pepe will look forward to meeting his Selecao team-mate Gabriel Martinelli, should the 22 year old get the nod on the left wing. In their trip away to Burnley Arsenal were in a different class to their hapless hosts as Martin Odegaard opened the floodgates with just four minutes o the clock. And while Leandro Trossard and Kai Havertz got on the score-sheet it was Bukayo Saka who hit the Clarets the hardest with a goal in each half. The England man has scored seven goals in his last six league games and, with 13 goals and 12 assists this season for Arsenal he is one of the hottest properties in European football.   

Champions League: Arsenal's Bukayo Saka bagged a brace in their last match

Bukayo Saka celebrates after scoring against Burnley

Saka also scored twice in Arsenal’s 6-0 destruction of West Ham United last week while former Hammer Declan Rice scored the goal of the match with a second half stunner; and Rice is one of the Gunners’ more defence minded midfielders. That made it 21 goals for Arsenal in their last five league games; all won and with just two goals conceded.    

Back in Europe, front-runners Manchester City and Real Madrid have already won their first legs away from home… and now it’s over to Arsenal. 

 

History

The Gunners have had the better of the head to head Porto vs Arsenal results, winning four, drawing one and losing two of the seven meetings; but they have failed to win in their last three visits to Porto, losing the last two, but the two teams have not met since 2010.

Porto have been very strong at home recently and are unbeaten at the Estadio do Dragao in ten games and they have won four of their last six games, while the Gunners come into the game on the back of those five consecutive victories, preceded by a 2-0 FA Cup loss to Liverpool.      

 

Betting Tip

Porto VS Arsenal

February 22, 04:00 (GMT+8)

Over 2.50 @2.06

The Porto vs Arsenal betting odds give the hosts a slim chance to qualify for the quarter finals at a price of 4.03 while Arsenal are priced at 1.17; and if the visitors win the first leg at 1.65 then Porto will have a mountain to climb. Porto are at 4.47 to win the first tie and 3.34 to Draw, with the Double Chance: Win or Draw at 2.24. Both teams qualified for the knockout phase at a canter and while Arsenal have been in scintillating form over the past few weeks, Porto will be no pushover… and I think with both teams boasting exciting attacks we’ll see some goals.

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21-Feb 2024 Wednesday 5:14 PM (57 days ago)            #85
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Champions League: All Not Well in Dugouts as Diego’s Favourites Prepares to Clash

Napoli vs Barcelona

Champions League action returns to the footballing hotbed of Naples on Wednesday night.

With Napoli’s hopes of retaining the Serie A title long gone and Barcelona well off the pace in La Liga, European glory remains the only remaining chance of silverware for both clubs this term.

So, if further incentive was needed (and it probably isn’t given this is a clash between the reigning Italian and Spanish champions), that scenario could well lead to further Champions League 2024 highlights this week.

 

Talking Points

Initially, the focus could be as much on the dugouts as the pitch.

That’s after Slovakian Francesco Calzona was brought in on a short-term contract on Monday to replace the sacked Walter Mazzarri to become Napoli’s third manager this season.

All this after Sky Sport Italia suggested Mazzarri was expected to oversee a training session on Monday afternoon.

Mazzarri’s position had come under increased scrutiny following a 1-1 draw against Genoa on Saturday, a point they eventually secured thanks to a late Cyril Ngonge goal.

Following the dismissal of Rudi Garcia in November, the arrival of Mazzarri did not lead to an upturn in form, with the coach managing just six wins across his 17 games in charge.

Oh, how they must yearn for title-winning Luciano Spalletti without all the baggage and speculation.

Barcelona remain the favourites to win the first leg of their Champions League tie against Napoli

Barcelona coach Xavi commanding from the touchline during their game against Osasuna

The managerial hot seat has not been without complications for Barca either and last month it was announced that Xavi Hernández will leave the Nou Camp at the end of the season with his side struggling to replicate the form that made them Spanish champions.

They currently sit in third place in La Liga after securing a very late 2-1 victory at Celta Vigo as Robert Lewandowski kept his cool to convert a retaken 97th minute penalty.

The Poland striker had actually put them ahead with a powerful angled drive before Iago Aspas levelled for Celta, who are fourth bottom of La Liga. Lewandowski, who clinched victory from the spot, was a key recruit for Xavi in the summer of 2022.

It’s not yet known who will replace a boss who guided them to the Spanish title by a clear 10 points last season.

Eleven out of their 28 league victories were 1-0 wins and financial difficulties meant he could not reinforce the team how he wanted.

These days, those who know him well, say Xavi feels isolated. He lost authority when directors Mateo Alemany and Jordi Cruyff, allies with whom he had a very good relationship, were taken away from him in the summer.

He will depart himself in four months’ time, as likely will Calzona.

For now, though, the focus is all about progress in Europe.
 

History

Two of Diego Maradona’s former clubs meet at the stadium that now bears his name. The clubs have met in two previous knockout ties, in the 2020 Champions League last 16 and the 2022 Europa League play-offs, with Barcelona progressing on both occasions.

In the first leg of the former, Dries Mertens opened the scoring with his 121st goal for Napoli, moving him level with Marek Hamšík as the club’s all-time leading marksman, but was later forced off through injury.

Antoine Griezmann then turned in Nélson Semedo’s cross for Barcelona’s equaliser. That was their first official clash.

The Spanish side prevailed 4-2 on aggregate after first-half goals from Clément Lenglet, Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez (penalty). Lorenzo Insigne’s spot-kick was all Napoli could muster in response.

The first leg between the teams in the 2022 Europa League knockout round play-offs also finished 1-1.

That game was in Spain where a 59th minute Ferran Torres penalty earned the home side a draw after Piotr Zieliński’s first-half opener for Napoli.

Early strikes from Jordi Alba and Frenkie de Jong gave Barcelona the advantage in Naples and, though Insigne halved Napoli’s deficit from the penalty spot, further goals from Gerard Piqué and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang effectively settled the contest before Matteo Politano netted an 87th minute consolation.

 

Betting Tip

Napoli VS Barcelona

February 22, 04:00 (GMT+8)

1X2 Draw @ 3.29

I was rather surprised when I saw that Napoli were slight favourites with the SBOTOP Champions 2024 League betting odds.

The Italians are priced 1X2 @ 2.50 with Barcelona 1X2 @ 2.54.

It’s just as close with Asian Handicap betting odds with the hosts priced 0.00 @ 1.94 and Barca 0.00 @ 1.96.

Other options include Napoli -0.25 @ 2.33 and Barcelona -0.25 @ 2.25 so a slight switch there in favour of the Catalonians.

A re-run of their most recent meeting, in Europe’s second tier, is available @ with Correct Score 2-4 @ 80.00.

If there’s to be goals aplenty again then how about Over 3.00 @ 2.25 or Total Goals 4-6 @ 2.96, compared to 0-1 @ 3.8

Register Here!

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Facebook: @SBOTOPMYR

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 21-Feb-2024 at 5:15 PM





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21-Feb 2024 Wednesday 5:15 PM (57 days ago)            #86
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Champions League: All Not Well in Dugouts as Diego’s Favourites Prepares to Clash

Napoli vs Barcelona

Champions League action returns to the footballing hotbed of Naples on Wednesday night.

With Napoli’s hopes of retaining the Serie A title long gone and Barcelona well off the pace in La Liga, European glory remains the only remaining chance of silverware for both clubs this term.

So, if further incentive was needed (and it probably isn’t given this is a clash between the reigning Italian and Spanish champions), that scenario could well lead to further Champions League 2024 highlights this week.

 

Talking Points

Initially, the focus could be as much on the dugouts as the pitch.

That’s after Slovakian Francesco Calzona was brought in on a short-term contract on Monday to replace the sacked Walter Mazzarri to become Napoli’s third manager this season.

All this after Sky Sport Italia suggested Mazzarri was expected to oversee a training session on Monday afternoon.

Mazzarri’s position had come under increased scrutiny following a 1-1 draw against Genoa on Saturday, a point they eventually secured thanks to a late Cyril Ngonge goal.

Following the dismissal of Rudi Garcia in November, the arrival of Mazzarri did not lead to an upturn in form, with the coach managing just six wins across his 17 games in charge.

Oh, how they must yearn for title-winning Luciano Spalletti without all the baggage and speculation.

Barcelona remain the favourites to win the first leg of their Champions League tie against Napoli

Barcelona coach Xavi commanding from the touchline during their game against Osasuna

The managerial hot seat has not been without complications for Barca either and last month it was announced that Xavi Hernández will leave the Nou Camp at the end of the season with his side struggling to replicate the form that made them Spanish champions.

They currently sit in third place in La Liga after securing a very late 2-1 victory at Celta Vigo as Robert Lewandowski kept his cool to convert a retaken 97th minute penalty.

The Poland striker had actually put them ahead with a powerful angled drive before Iago Aspas levelled for Celta, who are fourth bottom of La Liga. Lewandowski, who clinched victory from the spot, was a key recruit for Xavi in the summer of 2022.

It’s not yet known who will replace a boss who guided them to the Spanish title by a clear 10 points last season.

Eleven out of their 28 league victories were 1-0 wins and financial difficulties meant he could not reinforce the team how he wanted.

These days, those who know him well, say Xavi feels isolated. He lost authority when directors Mateo Alemany and Jordi Cruyff, allies with whom he had a very good relationship, were taken away from him in the summer.

He will depart himself in four months’ time, as likely will Calzona.

For now, though, the focus is all about progress in Europe.

History

Two of Diego Maradona’s former clubs meet at the stadium that now bears his name. The clubs have met in two previous knockout ties, in the 2020 Champions League last 16 and the 2022 Europa League play-offs, with Barcelona progressing on both occasions.

In the first leg of the former, Dries Mertens opened the scoring with his 121st goal for Napoli, moving him level with Marek Hamšík as the club’s all-time leading marksman, but was later forced off through injury.

Antoine Griezmann then turned in Nélson Semedo’s cross for Barcelona’s equaliser. That was their first official clash.

The Spanish side prevailed 4-2 on aggregate after first-half goals from Clément Lenglet, Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez (penalty). Lorenzo Insigne’s spot-kick was all Napoli could muster in response.

The first leg between the teams in the 2022 Europa League knockout round play-offs also finished 1-1.

That game was in Spain where a 59th minute Ferran Torres penalty earned the home side a draw after Piotr Zieliński’s first-half opener for Napoli.

Early strikes from Jordi Alba and Frenkie de Jong gave Barcelona the advantage in Naples and, though Insigne halved Napoli’s deficit from the penalty spot, further goals from Gerard Piqué and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang effectively settled the contest before Matteo Politano netted an 87th minute consolation.

 

Betting Tip

Napoli VS Barcelona

February 22, 04:00 (GMT+8)

1X2 Draw @ 3.29

I was rather surprised when I saw that Napoli were slight favourites with the SBOTOP Champions 2024 League betting odds.

The Italians are priced 1X2 @ 2.50 with Barcelona 1X2 @ 2.54.

It’s just as close with Asian Handicap betting odds with the hosts priced 0.00 @ 1.94 and Barca 0.00 @ 1.96.

Other options include Napoli -0.25 @ 2.33 and Barcelona -0.25 @ 2.25 so a slight switch there in favour of the Catalonians.

A re-run of their most recent meeting, in Europe’s second tier, is available @ with Correct Score 2-4 @ 80.00.

If there’s to be goals aplenty again then how about Over 3.00 @ 2.25 or Total Goals 4-6 @ 2.96, compared to 0-1 @ 3.8

Register Here!

www.mysbotop.com 

Facebook: @SBOTOPMYR

Instagram: @SBOTOPMY

Twitter: @SBOTOP_MY

Youtube: @SBOTOPMALAYSIA

Telegram: @SBOTOP Malaysia

WeChat: @SbotopMalaysia

This message was edited by SBOTOP on 21-Feb-2024 at 5:16 PM





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21-Feb 2024 Wednesday 5:17 PM (57 days ago)            #87
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Champions League: All Not Well in Dugouts as Diego’s Favourites Prepares to Clash

Napoli vs Barcelona

Champions League action returns to the footballing hotbed of Naples on Wednesday night.

With Napoli’s hopes of retaining the Serie A title long gone and Barcelona well off the pace in La Liga, European glory remains the only remaining chance of silverware for both clubs this term.

So, if further incentive was needed (and it probably isn’t given this is a clash between the reigning Italian and Spanish champions), that scenario could well lead to further Champions League 2024 highlights this week.

 

Talking Points

Initially, the focus could be as much on the dugouts as the pitch.

That’s after Slovakian Francesco Calzona was brought in on a short-term contract on Monday to replace the sacked Walter Mazzarri to become Napoli’s third manager this season.

All this after Sky Sport Italia suggested Mazzarri was expected to oversee a training session on Monday afternoon.

Mazzarri’s position had come under increased scrutiny following a 1-1 draw against Genoa on Saturday, a point they eventually secured thanks to a late Cyril Ngonge goal.

Following the dismissal of Rudi Garcia in November, the arrival of Mazzarri did not lead to an upturn in form, with the coach managing just six wins across his 17 games in charge.

Oh, how they must yearn for title-winning Luciano Spalletti without all the baggage and speculation.

Barcelona remain the favourites to win the first leg of their Champions League tie against Napoli

Barcelona coach Xavi commanding from the touchline during their game against Osasuna

The managerial hot seat has not been without complications for Barca either and last month it was announced that Xavi Hernández will leave the Nou Camp at the end of the season with his side struggling to replicate the form that made them Spanish champions.

They currently sit in third place in La Liga after securing a very late 2-1 victory at Celta Vigo as Robert Lewandowski kept his cool to convert a retaken 97th minute penalty.

The Poland striker had actually put them ahead with a powerful angled drive before Iago Aspas levelled for Celta, who are fourth bottom of La Liga. Lewandowski, who clinched victory from the spot, was a key recruit for Xavi in the summer of 2022.

It’s not yet known who will replace a boss who guided them to the Spanish title by a clear 10 points last season.

Eleven out of their 28 league victories were 1-0 wins and financial difficulties meant he could not reinforce the team how he wanted.

These days, those who know him well, say Xavi feels isolated. He lost authority when directors Mateo Alemany and Jordi Cruyff, allies with whom he had a very good relationship, were taken away from him in the summer.

He will depart himself in four months’ time, as likely will Calzona.

For now, though, the focus is all about progress in Europe.
 

History

Two of Diego Maradona’s former clubs meet at the stadium that now bears his name. The clubs have met in two previous knockout ties, in the 2020 Champions League last 16 and the 2022 Europa League play-offs, with Barcelona progressing on both occasions.

In the first leg of the former, Dries Mertens opened the scoring with his 121st goal for Napoli, moving him level with Marek Hamšík as the club’s all-time leading marksman, but was later forced off through injury.

Antoine Griezmann then turned in Nélson Semedo’s cross for Barcelona’s equaliser. That was their first official clash.

The Spanish side prevailed 4-2 on aggregate after first-half goals from Clément Lenglet, Lionel Messi and Luis Suárez (penalty). Lorenzo Insigne’s spot-kick was all Napoli could muster in response.

The first leg between the teams in the 2022 Europa League knockout round play-offs also finished 1-1.

That game was in Spain where a 59th minute Ferran Torres penalty earned the home side a draw after Piotr Zieliński’s first-half opener for Napoli.

Early strikes from Jordi Alba and Frenkie de Jong gave Barcelona the advantage in Naples and, though Insigne halved Napoli’s deficit from the penalty spot, further goals from Gerard Piqué and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang effectively settled the contest before Matteo Politano netted an 87th minute consolation.

 

Betting Tip

Napoli VS Barcelona

February 22, 04:00 (GMT+8)

1X2 Draw @ 3.29

I was rather surprised when I saw that Napoli were slight favourites with the SBOTOP Champions 2024 League betting odds.

The Italians are priced 1X2 @ 2.50 with Barcelona 1X2 @ 2.54.

It’s just as close with Asian Handicap betting odds with the hosts priced 0.00 @ 1.94 and Barca 0.00 @ 1.96.

Other options include Napoli -0.25 @ 2.33 and Barcelona -0.25 @ 2.25 so a slight switch there in favour of the Catalonians.

A re-run of their most recent meeting, in Europe’s second tier, is available @ with Correct Score 2-4 @ 80.00.

If there’s to be goals aplenty again then how about Over 3.00 @ 2.25 or Total Goals 4-6 @ 2.96, compared to 0-1 @ 3.8

Register Here!

www.mysbotop.com 

Facebook: @SBOTOPMYR

Instagram: @SBOTOPMY

Twitter: @SBOTOP_MY

Youtube: @SBOTOPMALAYSIA

Telegram: @SBOTOP Malaysia

WeChat: @SbotopMalaysia

This message was edited by SBOTOP on 21-Feb-2024 at 5:19 PM





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Tuesday 3:57 PM (2 days ago)            #88
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Champions League: It’s Now or Never for Bayern and Arsenal

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal

By finishing 2-2 in their first leg, both teams will come into this match with no handicaps over their heads, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that the contestants will come into their Champions League match with clear heads.

A lot has happened for Arsenal and Bayern Munich since their first quarterfinal leg, and the narratives of both clubs have drastically changed in terms of their title hopes in their domestic leagues.

But Arteta and Tuchel have no choice but to keep their heads up, pump their chests out, and lead their beloved outfits at Allianz Stadium for the return leg of their Champions League quarterfinal tie.


 

Talking Points

All eyes on Kane

Harry Kane will need to step up to help Bayern Munich advance to the Champions League semi-finalsBayern Munich’s Harry Kane reacts after a missed chance against VfL Bochum in Bundesliga

It’s hard to fathom—maybe even humorous for some—that one of the world’s most prolific strikers, Harry Kane, has yet to lift a significant piece of hardware throughout his illustrious career.

He was the man for Tottenham and even the Three Lions before he made the move to the Bundesliga, where most, this SBOTOP writer included, thought he could finally add a piece of silverware to his trophy cabinet.

But none, surely Kane included, saw what Bayer Leverkusen was capable of and what they’ve done in the German top flight this season. With the Meisterschale out of reach for Kane and Bayern this season, their search for glory all comes down to the Champions League. Not an easy task for the Bavarians, or for any team for that matter, but not impossible.

Like in the Bundesliga, Harry Kane leads the goal-scoring department with seven goals while claiming three assists to boot. He was pivotal in the first leg of their quarterfinal match against Arsenal, where he delivered a stunning goal from the penalty mark to level the aggregate and give Bayern a clean slate coming into their return leg.

Kane, Bayern Munich, and the fans in attendance at Allianz Arena are hoping that their ace, the tip of their spear, and the hilt of their sword will deliver and keep their trophy aspirations for this season alive.

The Bavarians are desperate to avenge their failed season in the Bundesliga, and a win against Arteta’s men would definitely be a huge step in the right direction.


 

Martin Odegaard suffers injury during Villa clash

As the Premier League title race continues to be the talk of the town, Arsenal fought a valiant and inspired match during their crushing 0-2 defeat against Aston Villa yesterday.

Having to juggle two major tournaments and stay competitive in both is a tall task for any club, especially for Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool. Liverpool have one foot out the door after their 0-3 defeat against Atalanta in the Europa League, while Manchester City join Arsenal with clean slates coming into the second leg of their quarterfinal ties.

However, Arsenal might be in a bigger hole than expected, as their skipper, Martin Odegaard, suffered an injury during their humbling defeat against Aston Villa, just three days before their highly-anticipated quarterfinal bout with Bayern Munich.

Arteta was forced to take his captain off the field late in the match without explanation, but it was later revealed that the move was because Odegaard was already feeling something wrong with his body.

After the clash against Villa, Arteta stated that his captain “felt something” and that “he was not able to continue.”  As of the time of writing, there is still no concrete Champions League 2024 news if Odegaard is good to go for their monumental tie with Bayern Munich, so Gunners fans can only hope and pray that their skipper recovers in time.

Amidst the series of unfortunate events for Arsenal, Arteta remains stern and seeks accountability from his players. “We struggled, we conceded two very poor goals, and we lost the game so congratulations to the opponent and now is the moment to stand up as a leader, as a character to make yourself count because when you win and win and win and win for four months, it’s very simple to do it. The moment is now.”


 

History

During the first leg of their colossal clash, Bayern and Arsenal mustered up a four-goal thriller, ending the first leg of their quarterfinal bouts with a 2-2 aggregate. It was the usual suspects for both squads, as Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard scored one goal apiece for Arsenal, while Serge Gnarby and Harry Kane delivered one goal each to level.


 

Betting Tip

Bayern Munich VS Arsenal

April 18, 03:00 (GMT+8)

Over 3.00 @ 2.06

The Champions League 2024 betting odds suggest a highly competitive bout between both the Bavarians and the Gunners, as neither team is priced as an overwhelming favourite.

Bayern, maybe because of home advantage, are the slight favourites at 2.33, while the visiting Arsenal are right there at 2.70 with a draw price of 3.31.

At this point, it’s really a toss of the coin as to which outfit will progress to the semifinals, so opting to go with their 1X2 lines could come down to bias.

Their first leg tallied four total goals, which just shows that both teams have potent final thirds, and I expect more of the same during their upcoming tie, especially because the stakes are too high for them to suddenly become shy around the goal. Which is why my betting tip is total goals over 3.00 at 2.06.

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 16-Apr-2024 at 3:57 PM





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Wednesday 4:32 PM (1 day ago)            #89
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Europa League: Leverkusen’s Treble Quest Continues

West Ham United vs Bayer Leverkusen

Newly crowned Bundesliga champions Bayer Leverkusen are back in Europa League action on Thursday when they head to the London Stadium to take on David Moyes’ West Ham United in a quarterfinal second leg tie.

Xabi Alonso has just led Die Werkself to their first silverware in 30 years, and I doubt it will be their last trophy of the 2023–24 campaign. After beating the Hammers 2-0 in the first leg, Leverkusen are in the box seat, particularly as their hosts fell to a home loss to Fulham on Sunday while Alonso’s team is unbeaten in 45 matches.

Following Liverpool’s loss at home to Atalanta last week, the Europa League 2024 betting odds have installed Bayer as hot favourites to lift the trophy, and they have a DFB POKAL final against Kaiserlautern to look forward to as well.

And I just can’t see the Hammers upsetting the party on Thursday. 


 

Talking Points

What next for the German Champions?

They are the Bundesliga winners for the first time in their 120-year history, but, as Alonso has pledged he will still be in Leverkusen next season, I doubt it will be their last.

Unbeaten in all competitions and seemingly on their way to a historic treble, this is a campaign beyond their wildest expectations last August. But having ended FC Bayern’s 11-year reign at the top of the Bundesliga, Die Werkself have announced themselves as one of Europe’s powerhouses.

Bayer Leverkusen’s coronation as Kings of Germany has been a long time coming, and it was a spectacular sight when their triumph was confirmed in a 5-0 drubbing of Werder Bremen as Florian Wirtz scored a sensational hat-trick.

The 20-year-old is now one of the hottest properties in world football, but he is just one of a number of superstars Alonso has moulded into a winning team.

This is a superbly balanced team with the strength of Granit Xhaka and the flair of Wirtz, amongst some other brilliant performers, including wide man Alex Grimaldo and striker Victor Boniface, who has 18 goals in all competitions.

This is a team to be taken seriously in the 2024-25 Champions League.         


 

Hammers home discomforts

Can Mohammed Kudus guide West Ham to Europa League glory this campaign?

Mohammed Kudus reacts after being substituted during West Ham’s Carabao Cup match against Arsenal on November 1, 2023

West Ham’s loss to Fulham on Sunday meant that David Moyes’ side has won just two of its last ten games at the London Stadium in all competitions, drawing six and losing two. The lack of home form has seen them drop out of the Premier League top seven, and the signs are not good for their task against Leverkusen, a must-win match against a seemingly unbeatable team.

They are Europa Conference League champions, but West Ham fans must fear this year’s European adventure is about to end, particularly as they will be without top scorer Jarrod Bowen, sidelined with injury, alongside defensive midfielder Kalvin Phillips, and Moyes will also be without the creative muscle of Lucas Paqueta, who is serving a suspension after he picked up a booking early in the first leg.

Defender Emerson is also banned for this game, and that news will have alerted Boniface, Wirtz, and co., particularly as the Hammers have picked up just one clean sheet in 18 games. 

Summer recruit Mohammed Kudus, with five goals, is West Ham’s top scorer in the competition, and in the absence of Bowen, he is the host’s biggest goal threat. Up until last week’s loss to Leverkusen, West Ham’s Europa League 2024 results have given their fans hope that they can repeat their European success of 2023, but that looks a long way away right now.


 

History

These two teams have only met twice: last week in the first leg in Germany and then at the start of this campaign, in a friendly match, which Leverkusen won 4-0.

Hammers coach Moyes has gotten the better of Die Werkeslf in the past, managing Manchester United to a double over Bayer at the Champions League group stage ten years ago. 

But this time around, Moyes is coaching the heavy underdogs. Bayer are unbeaten in their last 21 away games, and in their last six matches, they have won all six, scoring 17 goals and conceding just three, while the Hammers have won one, drawn two, and lost three, scoring seven goals and conceding 11. 


 

Betting Tip

West Ham United VS Bayer Leverkusen

April 19, 03:00 (GMT+8)

Over 2.50 @ 1.59

Bayer are at SBOTOP odds of 1.89 to win this second leg, while their hosts are priced at 3.20 and the draw is 3.24.

I suspect the visitors will win the leg, but they don’t have to, and there is the slightest risk they will still be in a celebratory mood, subconsciously. One thing I am confident of is goals. The Hammers have to go for it, and Leverkusen have racked up a whopping 123 this season, only failing to score once in 42 fixtures. 

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 17-Apr-2024 at 4:32 PM





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Wednesday 4:38 PM (1 day ago)            #90
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Europa League: Leverkusen’s Treble Quest Continues

Olympique Marseille vs Benfica

Last week wasn’t particularly the best week for French football in the Champions League and the Europa League, as all of their representatives failed to get ahead in aggregate against their European rivals.

PSG, Lille, and Marseille are trailing on aggregate coming into their respective second-leg clashes, which is why the LFP, Ligue 1’s governing body, granted these contestants some time off from the top flight in order to bolster their chances in Europe moving forward.

Meanwhile, Benfica have been busy on their own slate, but they’ve taken it on the chin and have succeeded for the most part. They march to Lisbon with a goal advantage on aggregate thanks to the efforts of their vets, but they can’t rest on their laurels just yet.


 

Talking Points

Marseille benefit from a weekend off

While some of the SBOTOP football fans around the globe still have their jaws on the floor after witnessing Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga, others have their attention on the Premier League, where Liverpool, Manchester City, and Arsenal are having one of the best title races in the English top flight.

Meanwhile, over in France, the LFP, Ligue 1’s governing body, opted to postpone three of the French league’s weekend fixtures in attempts to bolster the French sides’ chances of progressing in Europe.

Namely, PSG, Marseille, and Lille benefited from this ruling, and that generous break could definitely go a long way, especially since other outfits from other leagues have crammed schedules, juggling domestic leagues and European competitions.

PSG are on their way to Catalonia to brave a hostile Lluís Companys Olympic Stadium for the second leg of their Champions League quarterfinal clash against Barcelona, while Lille and Marseille trail Aston Villa and Benfica, respectively, in the Europa League quarterfinal.

Maybe LFP’s surprise decision was caused by pedestrian performances from all French outfits in the European scene. Giving them extra time to rest doesn’t guarantee that they’ll progress, especially while trailing on aggregate, but the LFP has done great by providing an optimal condition for success for their French representatives.

Now, French fans can only wait and see if this lavish gesture by the LFP will be enough for PSG, Marseille, and Lille to get over the hump.


 

Benfica veterans get it done

Rafa Silva scored on Benfica's last Europa League match against Olympique MarseilleRafa Silva playing for Benfica

Benfica definitely piled on more misery on Marseille, and they’re surely feeling confident in their chances to progress to the Europa League semifinals after the amazing display from their veterans at Estádio da Luz last week, one of the most competitive Europa League 2024 results in the campaign thus far.

30-year-old Rafa Silva and 36-year-old Angel Di Maria did the heavy lifting for the Portuguese side when they played host to Ligue 1’s Marseille.

Rafa Silva scored the opener, which gave Benfica a one-goal lead until halftime. Then, to the delight of Alfacinhan fans in attendance, World Cup winner Angel Di Maria doubled their lead in minute 52.

Marseille’s main man, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyaang, scored a goal of his own 15 minutes later to keep his outfit in the hunt.

However, Benfica shouldn’t count their eggs before they hatch, as they’ll be facing a well-rested French outfit in front of a passionate French crowd in a historic French stadium. Yes, they lead by one goal on aggregate, but we’ve seen crazier things happen.


 

History

These historic clubs have had just six head-to-heads since 2010, only meeting each other in the Europa League or for friendlies.

Benfica have won half of said matches, while Marseille only won once and tallied draws twice. It’s not much of a sample size, but the fact that neither team dominates their head-to-heads just means that these outfits are well-matched.

In their most recent encounter, Benfica triumphed thanks to their vets showing up when it counts, but Marseille are still breathing down their necks coming into the second leg of their quarterfinal tie thanks to a spirited goal from Aubameyaang to keep Marseille within striking distance.

In their recent forms, Marseille have been in a not-so-mini slump, losing five in a row across all competitions, but they’ve been unbeaten in their last eight Europa League matches, so it would be interesting to see if they can end their five-game skid against the visiting Benfica.

The Eagles, on the other hand, have won three of their five, winning back-to-back in their most recent bouts to boot. The momentum is definitely on their side, but will that be enough to progress to the semifinals?


 

Betting Tip

Olympique Marseille VS Benfica

April 19, 03:00 (GMT+8)

1X2 Benfica @2.64

The Europa League 2024 betting odds have this match closely priced, with Benfica getting the slight nudge because of home advantage. Marseille are the slight favourites at 2.38, while Benfica are right there at 2.59 with a draw price of 3.16.

Based on their first leg, these outfits are very well-matched, and home advantage could really be the X factor to secure the win, but my betting tip is for the away side. Marseille’s current form has been tepid at best, failing to garner a single point in their past five fixtures, while Benfica remain solid across all competitions, which is enough for me to put them ahead.

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 17-Apr-2024 at 4:41 PM





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Europa League: Italian Rivalry Set to Reach New Heights

AS Roma vs AC Milan

The all-Italian affair part two is heading to the capital Rome.

Roma hold the Europa League aces after a first leg 1-0 win, although neither they nor Milan will feel this tie is over.

The fact that the away goals rule no longer applies has changed the dynamic of some ties and I believe this meeting will be more attacking for it – or perhaps my long-held admiration of the ‘Catenaccio’ Italian defensive game will come to the fore again.

Either way, I expect Europa League highlights with a very domestic rivalry.


 

Talking Points

It’s hoped the hosts are not too traumatised by what they witnessed in Serie A on Sunday when their match with Udinese was abandoned following the collapse of defender Evan Ndicka.

Thankfully, the 24 year-old Ivory Coast player, who was taken off on a stretcher, appears to be in good health and he has now been discharged from hospital.

Although initial tests confirmed he hadn’t suffered a heart attack, Ndicka was kept in hospital overnight for further tests and observations with trauma to the chest causing breathing difficulties and pain in the torso.

This resulted in a collapsed lung and, naturally, the player will now be out of action for some time at the very least.

On the same day as Roma were in Udine, Milan were drawing 3-3 at Sassuolo – a result which cemented second spot in Serie A.

It was a contest in which they twice fought back from a two goal deficit with Rafael Leao, Luka Jovic and Noah Okafor the marksmen.

With the likes of Leao and Olivier Giroud in the team, Milan will always pose a threat, although they also have a tendency to concede away from home.

AC Milan suffer a narrow defeat in the first leg of their Europa League tie with RomaRafael Leão has seven goals and five assists in his last 14 games for AC Milan

In Serie A alone, Milan have conceded 29 times in 17 away games this season, giving them the fourth worst away defence in the League, better only than Frosinone (37), Salernitana (36) and Sassuolo (33).

At the same time, it seems to represent a riskier approach when outside San Siro, as Milan are also the top scorers away from home in Serie A this season with 37 goals in 17 matches.

On Thursday night, midfielder Bryan Cristante is suspended for the hosts and could be replaced by Houssem Aouar, whilst Paulo Dybala will return to the starting line-up after being rested against Udinese. Sardar Azmoun remains ruled out with injury, but new boss Daniele De Rossi has an otherwise full-strength squad to pick from.

Milan coach Stefano Pioli has been handed a boost by the return to fitness of goalkeeper Mike Maignan, whilst defender Malick Thiaw is set to be available despite being forced off against Sassuolo.

They have suffered a blow, however, with fellow centre-back Simon Kjaer ruled out.

The importance of the first goal on Thursday could be key and, while I expect it to be close, that first leg advantage could be just enough to see Roma over the line.


 

History

Last week’s first leg success, courtesy of a Gianluca Mancini header, was the first time Roma had beaten Milan on their own turf since October 2017 in what was their first ever clash in European competition.

Milan have won both league meetings this season.

In September, a Giroud penalty and a Leao overhead kick won the day in the Stadio Olimpico before Leonardo Spinazzola reduced the arrears in the final minute.

Milan then recorded a 3-1 home success at the San Siro in January, courtesy of Yacine Adli’s first Milan goal, a Giroud header and a thumping strike from Theo Hernandez.

A Leandro Paredes penalty was all Roma had to show for their display.

Milan have traditionally had the upper hand in this heavyweight battle.

They have won 85 of their encounters, – I recalled one just as football resumed in the wake of the Covid pandemic in 2020 – Roma have enjoyed 49 victories and there have been a further 57 draws.


 

Betting Tip

AS Roma VS AC Milan

April 19, 03:00 (GMT+8)

1X2 Draw @ 3.08

The SBOTOP Europa League betting odds could barely be closer with Roam priced 1X2 @ 2.62 and Milan 1X2 @ 2.26.

Asian Handicap odds are also pretty close where you can back the home side 0.00 @ -0.95 compared to Milan 0.00 @ 0.77.

Another 2-1 Milan victory in the capital will pay out @ 8.68 with Correct Score, whereas a repeat of last week’s 1-0 Roma success is on offer @ 8.87.

I expect this to be tight and it’s not inconceivable the tie could go to extra-time.

I suspect Roma, urged on by their passionate supporters, will have the overall edge due to their 1-0 first leg triumph.

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This message was edited by SBOTOP on 17-Apr-2024 at 4:46 PM





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