Senior Member
Posts: 769
Liked By: 376
Joined: 20 Jul 10
Tipsters
Championship:
Player
has
not started
|
Energy
Buy: Coal
Obama's second term has been marked by vigorous efforts to fight climate change. His administration initiated the Clean Power Plan, a set of regulations meant to reduce the nation's harmful ecological impact, including by taking steps to minimize the pollution emitted from coal burning power plants. While campaigning in Detroit this past August, President-elect Donald Trump said he intends to "put our coal miners and our steelworkers back to work."
One company positioned to benefit from Trump's view on energy regulation is Peabody Energy Corp (OTC:BTUUQ), the St. Louis-based coal and gas provider that filed for bankruptcy protection last April, after years of declines and thousands of jobs eliminated. Despite its coal mines still showing a profit, the ongoing collapse of coal as an energy commodity forced the company to declare bankruptcy after years of accumulated debt. A renewed interest in coal as an energy resource, and a fresh injection of capital could lift Peabody and the entire industry out of its misery. That could have started yesterday when shares of the company jumped from $8.50 to $12.80 per share, a 50% up-move on the Trump victory news.
Sell: Renewable Energy
If the concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S manufacturing non-competitive as Trump famously claimed, will he repeal renewable energy subsidies? It's possible.
Should that occur, there are a few solar energy companies, including Elon Musk's SolarCity (NASDAQ:SCTY), or Vivint Solar (NYSE:VSLR) that could take a hit if their customers no longer receive government rebates on purchases. Similarly Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA).
If Trump's energy-related plans turn out to be more than just stump speech rhetoric, there will indeed be some very clear winners and losers in this sector.
Technology
Buy: BioTech
Biotech shares have been depressed during the past year, as industry pricing practices were put under the microscope by presidential hopefuls, specifically Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. Mylan (NASDAQ:MYL), Teva (NYSE:TEVA) and Valeant Pharmaceuticals (NYSE:VRX) among others, all found themselves under sharp scrutiny by the public and politicians. Investors were correctly afraid of government intervention into healthcare pricing models. Though Trump won't necessarily benefit the industry in any way, Clinton would have certainly hurt it. So a Trump win is also a giant win for Big Pharma.
Sell: High-Tech
Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Mr. Trump have been sparring on multiple issues, but it's not the words exchanged that matter. Rather it's two of what appear to be Trump's central issues, immigration and offshore outsourcing.
Trump has strongly come out against H-1B visas which are used to hire qualified high-tech employees from outside the US (he's also decried the practice of sending work overseas, which Apple is known for, but more on that below). Since Trump's platform relied heavily on saving and adding jobs for American workers, anything initiated to stop the influx of foreign labor will hurt high-tech companies by raising their operating costs and potentially slowing their growth. Apple and ******** (NASDAQ:FB), Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) will all suffer from a move limiting worker immigration.
Machinery
Buy: Infrastructure
According to a late October report, Trump plans to spend over $1 Trillion dollars on infrastructure, as part of his plan to create jobs for American citizens. Trump's plan would rely heavily on private funding, with the help of a government tax credit. Infrastructure companies such as Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) and U.S Steel (NYSE:X)) will certainly try to make the most of the renewed interest in their services.
Sell: Automobile manufacturers
Trump's frequent, and vehemently stated opposition to the relocation outside the country's borders of US-based manufacturing will hurt those companies that are currently heavily dependent on offshoring – such as automakers. In June, Trump promised to block Ford's (NYSE:F) new plant which is set to open in Mexico. Ford isn't the only manufacturer looking at potentially large setbacks to the way they now do business. General Motors (NYSE:GM) and all American automakers are in the same boat. Any tariffs imposed on trade with Mexico, and any regulations on importing goods manufactured abroad, will increase costs for all parties involved. And that will likely include more than just automakers.
Conservatively speaking, there’s about a 100% chance the market is in the middle of a moderate and possibly major stock market bubble.
How do I know this?
Well, as someone who’s lived— and reported—through several bubbles, including the mother of all, which preceded the 2008 banking collapse, I recognize the telltale signs, all of which exist at this very moment: extremely low interest rates (which we’ve had in spades in recent years); a slow-growth economy (which means stocks are trading above levels where they should, given corporate earnings; and the fact that the Federal Reserve knows it has to raise them at some point or they’ll create another housing bubble like the one that led to the 2008 crash.
So does that mean it’s time to start unloading? Not by a long shot. There’s a simple rule of thumb for investors: Never pick a market bottom or top. If you’ve been in the market for a while, you’ve had a nice run. There’s no reason to bail now, even if you lose a few bucks when the correction comes—as it will when the Fed starts to raise interest rates.
My advice? Hold tight and wait for the next major rate raise. When that day comes—and it will—then start thinking about selling stocks and find some safe muni bonds to park your money in.
Until then, enjoy the ride up, because there’s going to be nothing fun about the stock market when this thing begins to tank.BY CHARLES GASPARINO
This message was edited by ferari on 28-Nov-2016 @ 8:09 PM
This message was edited by ferari on 28-Nov-2016 @ 8:22 PM
已有 36 人購買此篇文章！
控盤轉折
1. 它的理論是:
股價若要上漲, 今日 (3日均價 - 6日均價的差) 要大於昨日的差.
所以簡化為:
今日轉折價 = 2 * 3 日前價 - 6日前價.
例如 (3/10) = 2* (3/5) -(2/29)
2. 若今日收盤站上此價,
控盤轉折簡易用法
當今日收盤的價格站上三個轉折點時
預告著次一交易日有利於買進
可於次一交易日
漲過今日的高點
才是進場作多的訊號
以今日最低點為停損點即可
同理
當今日收盤的價格低於三個轉折點時
預告著次一交易日有利於作空
在次一交易日裡,
跌破過今日的低點
就是進場操作作空的訊號.
以今日高點設為停損點
其他用法
如轉折點的扣高扣低
有利於預測未來行情
This message was edited by ferari on 10-Mar-2017 @ 4:53 PM
控盤轉折
明日: 三天前收盤價*2-六天前收盤
後天: 2天前收盤價*2-5天前收盤
大後日: 1天前收盤價*2-4天前收盤
舉例 如果指數為 1000 1100 1050 1122 1150 1200 1250
則我們可以算出明天轉折為 1200 後天為1350 大後天為1378
則以收盤1250來對比 未來三天則是多,空,空 假設今天禮拜五
則就可以說 1,2是交接變盤 變盤是會高檔強攻OR短空OR多空易位趨勢反轉
則要看主力成本以及周月的改良式轉折 (這我就不會算了)
至於期指的操作(股票也是用) 主力成本線為15分鐘線中的13,30,90 ma
站上三條均線三線反多會大漲 跌破三條均線並反空先出場OR放空
江國中的主力成本線就是平均線
只是他另創個名詞而已
日線設10 20 30 40 50 60等六條
60分設58 71兩條
轉折價：最早是傳於禪學股市的。
它是在計算出3-6乖離的數值。
（因是算3-6乖離值，所以可以提早算出三天的轉折價）
就是當正乖離擴至最大時，股價暫不上轉則價時，
代表股價將拉回修正，
乖離在負值時也一樣，當股價站上轉則價時，
也代表股價將反彈。
如果只是用這樣的研判，可能仍會是出現虧錢的機會很大。
必須加上但書才能讓勝數記率更大！
看完後，只有一句重點
今天轉折價=[3天前收盤價*2]減6天前收盤價
但是這個使用方法的理論基礎是什麼？
自創的嗎？
次重點是：價破轉折則跟進
亦即，價破支就作空，價破壓就作多
應該是這樣吧
...未來三日轉折點的計算:
(今天收盤*2)減4天前的收盤=三天後扣底價(C)，明天為(A)，後天為(B) ?
減4天前的收盤? 若今是7/1 那減4天前 是從6/30起算嗎?
該是用「禪學」的轉折價，算法如下：
你可以運算看看，是否一樣？
36y轉折控盤法
3-6ma稱為3-6差離子36yy(DMA)雙均線乖離乃衍生於均線原理與乖離率有異曲同工作用短天期的均線乖離，比較適合於盤整行情，如3-6MA差離值。
長天期的乖離率，則適用於趨勢行情，如5-20MA差離的運用輔助以計算未來三日的轉折點，預測乖離持續的可能性或轉折。
未來三日轉折點的計算:
(今天收盤*2)減4天前的收盤=三天後扣底價(C)，明天為(A)，後天為(B)
36Y差離子運用法則:
(1)在證負乖離擴散到最大時，且遇到短線支撐點，壓力點，等待\"過高\"或\"破低\"之訊號，方出手交易。
(2)多方趨勢，差離子由上而下破零軸得支撐，(死叉得撐)而進多。
(3)空方趨勢，差離子由下往上破零軸而遇壓，(生叉遇壓)而作空。
(4)靈活運用街下來的三的扣抵值(A，B，C)的扣高，低值的排列。
a.如隨後的扣低值為低值，短線則稱助力，除非出現助長而不長(扣抵值)，而出現大長黑，則為極弱值。
b.扣高值，價不易突破，除非十分利多，出現壓力非壓力的極強勢行情。
c.善用扣抵值的位置及排列，一般扣抵abc排列有六種排列，其有不同層次與力道表示。
36y轉折公式
明天轉折=2天前收盤價*2減5天前收盤價。
後天轉折=今天收盤價*2減3天前收盤價。
大後天轉折=今天收盤價*2減三天前收盤價。
今天轉折價=[3天前收盤價*2]減6天前收盤價
http://tg2066.pixnet.net/blog/post/
This message was edited by ferari on 10-Mar-2017 @ 5:00 PM
|
Main Menu >
Stocks, FX, Cryptocurrencies & Commodities Forum >
HISTORY WILL REPEAT ITSELF....
[ 296 Chatters Online
]
1
) 
Find all Topics Started by Les Kriminale
Find all Posts by Les Kriminale
Follow / Unfollow
PM Les Kriminale
03-Nov 2016 Thursday
12:57 PM (2725 days ago)
1 Likes
Like
03-Nov 2016 Thursday
4:41 PM (2725 days ago)
